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ozymandias5
13 Sep 12 18:58
Joined:
Date Joined: 20 Apr 11
| Topic/replies: 143 | Blogger: ozymandias5's blog
Is there some value in Lucic?

watched the last match of lucic and oh boy what a match. A match for some real traders, I was so lucky to get some profit but the risk was very high. What is your thought on this one?
Pause Switch to Standard View Flipkens vs. Lucic
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Report tweedy September 13, 2012 7:02 PM BST
Was going for Flipkens - just gut feel I'm afraid
Report ozymandias5 September 13, 2012 7:03 PM BST
I don't know who will win, but I think there is a big change to get lucic for q2.
Report thepunter September 13, 2012 7:08 PM BST
Dont understand why Flip is so low. This WTA ffs. Not far from broken 1st game already.
Report ozymandias5 September 13, 2012 7:09 PM BST
If lucic had taken the ball correctly she could have got a break. but she was too dumb :/
Report tweedy September 13, 2012 7:10 PM BST
Woops, money on Lucic
Report thepunter September 13, 2012 7:11 PM BST
its probably the post-Cibulkova effect who make her a 1,5 shot. But Cibulkova did everything poible to find a way to lose.
Report thepunter September 13, 2012 7:13 PM BST
Lucic found a way, NOT o break before, and probably will find a way to get broken herself now from 40-15.
Report ozymandias5 September 13, 2012 7:16 PM BST
She got lucky. Now breaktime lol.
Report Dado7029 September 13, 2012 7:19 PM BST
Absolutely F***ed this one up
Report ozymandias5 September 13, 2012 7:21 PM BST
Wanted to trade out after the break, but ... it didn't happen. Sometimes she plays very bad.
Report Dado7029 September 13, 2012 7:24 PM BST
Are you serious Flipkens 3 aces in a row FFS
Report Vasek September 13, 2012 7:25 PM BST
It's because Lucic is so inconsistent and unpredictable that she was so high. Flipkens far more consistent and beating Cibulkova was helpful too regardless of the Slovak's current form or lack of match intelligence.
Report thepunter September 13, 2012 7:27 PM BST
market hates lucic big time.
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 7:28 PM BST
gosh flipkens is worse... ****g hell why 1.4x?!
Report ozymandias5 September 13, 2012 7:28 PM BST
Next game break chance, hopefully.
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 7:29 PM BST
no break to wake the market up
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 7:38 PM BST
flipkens frustrated body language cue the break
Report ozymandias5 September 13, 2012 7:39 PM BST
lucic break now and I'm out lol.
Report ozymandias5 September 13, 2012 7:40 PM BST
2.1 good enough for me.
Report ozymandias5 September 13, 2012 7:44 PM BST
Hope you guys made some profit, I did :P
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 7:53 PM BST
flipkens again frustrated body language
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 7:53 PM BST
TB goes to lucic
Report ozymandias5 September 13, 2012 8:01 PM BST
Could have squeezed much more money out of it, but after my huge loss yesterday and my big winnings this morning my risk adversion was very high. I backed 3,1@300 and layed at 2,08
Report experience1 September 13, 2012 8:08 PM BST
I have over 20.5 prematch, and won already. what do you think for continuation of this match? can flipkens turn over or what? i think will not touch this further, its so unpredictable for pick a winner here
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:12 PM BST
big hold
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:12 PM BST
lucic to steamroll 7-6 6-2 now
Report experience1 September 13, 2012 8:13 PM BST
tooked additional small bet over 29.5 at 2:0 in second set for 1.5 odd.
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:14 PM BST
how is flipkens the favourite in this?
she barely wins ANY points on her second serve, and she wins almost none of the rallies... all lucic needs to do is keep the ball in play..
Report dddddew September 13, 2012 8:16 PM BST
flip flop kens, easy for kirsty now
Report experience1 September 13, 2012 8:16 PM BST
prematch odds were unreal, thats sure. and even now market favoring flipkens too much with set down. 1.65 now at 3-1
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:19 PM BST
thank god for lucic's UEs
otherwise flipkens would be out of this by now
Report experience1 September 13, 2012 8:21 PM BST
flip could win this maybe, but im not interested in 1.5 now really. had over 20.5 prematch, one of easiest bets for longer time. and tooked over 29.5 for 1.5 after 2:0 in second, just recreatively
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:22 PM BST
flipy losing plot love 40
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:23 PM BST
and she get broken to luv
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:23 PM BST
break to love eat that market
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:23 PM BST
lol
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:23 PM BST
break galore now
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:24 PM BST
i honestly don't understand the optimism of the market re: flipkens.. I guess after the surprise she pulled late last night that's the only thing that warrants it
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 8:25 PM BST
Guess 1 hold from Lucic is too much to ask for.
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:26 PM BST
come on flipkens, let's start the third set already FFS
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:27 PM BST
won t be a 3rd
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:28 PM BST
erm, yes there will
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:28 PM BST
6-2 or 6-3
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 8:28 PM BST
It will be close if she somehow manages to hold here if not there will defo be a 3rd.
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:29 PM BST
lucic reading books in changeover time?
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:30 PM BST

Sep 13, 2012 -- 8:29PM, jerry maguire wrote:


lucic reading books in changeover time?


her read of the day is "how to serve"

Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:30 PM BST
what am I saying, that's the read of the day for 95% of the WTA
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:30 PM BST
lol
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:30 PM BST
bestseller in wta tennis
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:30 PM BST
and yet they never learn
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:32 PM BST
odds are joke
Report ahmadyar September 13, 2012 8:33 PM BST

Sep 13, 2012 -- 8:32PM, jerry maguire wrote:


odds are joke


How exactly?

Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:33 PM BST
agreed.
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:34 PM BST
the difference is not justified by anything
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:34 PM BST
yes, flipkens can serve, but she wins ZERO rallies. lucic mops the court with her if she manages to keep the ball in
Report ahmadyar September 13, 2012 8:34 PM BST
same odds as start of match... its almost 1 set all, cant see the joke!
Report experience1 September 13, 2012 8:34 PM BST
yes odds are joke, but in the end i decided to take flip win also, had over 20.5 prematch, over 29.5 bet in second set, and now tooked flip also, just feel she will win, shes mistaking less
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:34 PM BST
yes, but it in the meantime we have seen what the two are capable of, and this match does not warrant anything less than 1.75 for flipkens
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 8:34 PM BST
That the thing tho, Lucic needs to "keep the ball in play" which half the time she couldnt if they were playing 2 courts alongside each other.
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:35 PM BST

Sep 13, 2012 -- 8:34PM, Charlesaf wrote:


That the thing tho, Lucic needs to "keep the ball in play" which half the time she couldnt if they were playing 2 courts alongside each other.


HAHA, true dat

Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:35 PM BST
ok, third set... if lucic holds her first two serves, she wins.
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:35 PM BST
which she probably won't, flipkens safer, but wouldn't touch her at this price
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:36 PM BST
if lucic holds here than flip will be 1.71-1.74
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:38 PM BST
good start :)
Report ozymandias5 September 13, 2012 8:38 PM BST
I also think flipkens will win, lucic was only value prematch.
Report dddddew September 13, 2012 8:39 PM BST
go flip!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:39 PM BST
flip too fecking stupid
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 8:39 PM BST
Lucic would have won this match at a stroll if the court was 1 metre longer, 2 metres wider and the net a metre shorter. If only.
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:39 PM BST
wow 2 stupid **** UEs :)
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:39 PM BST

Sep 13, 2012 -- 8:39PM, Charlesaf wrote:


Lucic would have won this match at a stroll if the court was 1 metre longer, 2 metres wider and the net a metre shorter. If only.


hahahaha

Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:39 PM BST
flipkens is so stupid
Report experience1 September 13, 2012 8:40 PM BST
good that i tooked flip win, cause i think my second small bet on over 29.5 could fall here. it smells like 62,61 for flip, more stable, lucic mistaking too much.
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:40 PM BST
lol lucky b!tch
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 8:40 PM BST
luckily lucic is dumber
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 8:43 PM BST
I've gone from +£100 on both thanks to Lucic going 5-4 up to -£0 on Flip and -£332 on Lucic. What a fecking mess.
Report experience1 September 13, 2012 8:43 PM BST
lucic shoulded be out against tabakh already, won there with huge luck. tabak had 53 or 52 something like that, and mini break in tb if i remember good, and lost the match.
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:44 PM BST
lucky lucky fllipkes
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 8:47 PM BST
Going to back Lucic now a little in the hope she can break and i may be able to cut my losses abit.
Report experience1 September 13, 2012 8:48 PM BST
lucic is fightful. she is dangerous when angry and when yelling come on lol. she turned on same scenario against tabak with 2-5 in third. i hope flip win here 6:3 so all my bet on this match win
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 8:50 PM BST
Well, that didn't work out.
Report thepunter September 13, 2012 8:50 PM BST
Serve usually dropping in 3rd sets, should favor lucic but so far she cannot capitalize.
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:54 PM BST
i don't see flipkens holding serve until the end, so I traded out half
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 8:54 PM BST
will trade the other half if she holds now
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 9:02 PM BST
and she's fukced
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 9:05 PM BST
thankful i got out... flipkens is a mess
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 9:06 PM BST
-£82 on both now. Will back Lucic again if she holds as Flip has lost it.
Report ozymandias5 September 13, 2012 9:06 PM BST
Lol damn, I traded my profit to almost nothing lol
Report atlasshrugged23 September 13, 2012 9:08 PM BST
charlesaf, i would just let the loss ride, as it's not that big... this can really go either way
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 9:09 PM BST
I'm loathed to lose on this match tho. Should have been fine. Just cant see Flip holding to stay in the match. If she has to that is.
Report tom497 September 13, 2012 9:10 PM BST
lucic had about 4 chance to close it out at the net in that rally - silly woman
Report thepunter September 13, 2012 9:12 PM BST
Headcase. GSM probably, she wont recover mentaly from that new break.
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 9:12 PM BST
Finally throw of the dice. £50 on Lucic. If she breaks im even, loses then its only an extra £50 loss.
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 9:13 PM BST
2 more, please.
Report Charlesaf September 13, 2012 9:16 PM BST
Go on, TAKE IT!!
Report jerry maguire September 13, 2012 9:18 PM BST
gsm
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