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Dr Kim
08 Sep 12 01:36
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Date Joined: 02 Nov 10
| Topic/replies: 5,799 | Blogger: Dr Kim's blog
Thought i'd get this thread started early. Starting really late at midnight but i will stay up and watch of course.

Azarenka looks good value @5.1 but we all know how strong Williams is.

Can Azarenka realistically win this? I really hope Williams retires at the end of the year

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By:
jin_kazz
When: 08 Sep 12 01:56
aza has some chances
By:
lurka
When: 08 Sep 12 02:04
can't say az is value @5.1 FFS. Serena is.
By:
bb66
When: 08 Sep 12 09:03
Serena always has the potential for implosion if she is challenged, and Aza has enough to challenge her
By:
hornetsman
When: 08 Sep 12 13:37
why would Serena retire? she is clearly the best player on the tour!
By:
Dr Kim
When: 08 Sep 12 15:12
Yeh but she has won so much and maybe feels a bit bored maybe?@ haha i dont know
By:
drwankenstein80
When: 08 Sep 12 15:18
what are y'all smoking?? have you ever seen them play? H2H 8-0 Serena. Azarenka looks like a clueless disabled child holding a ping pong bat every time she plays serena. will be lucky to win 5 games all match.
By:
Dr Kim
When: 08 Sep 12 15:20
stats say serena should win but i never back against my vika
By:
Dr Kim
When: 08 Sep 12 15:20
just a personal thing
By:
bb66
When: 08 Sep 12 15:27
h2h is 9-1, not 8-0, with a retirement from Aza in Melbourne where she already had Serena on the ropes
By:
;[p
When: 08 Sep 12 15:42
its all bullshit azarenka is usually very competitive against serena especially in second set.start of the match will be the key she cant afford getting to the match for 20 minutes as she usually does .Serena level usually drops in second set and at this point she will be vulnerable . but on the other side playing competitive doesnt mean winning ,but azarenka has game to hurt powerful hitters. going to watch and wait for good moment to get involved if i miss the train, dont care at this price
By:
Dr Kim
When: 08 Sep 12 15:57
Good luck to all Vika backers like myself
By:
thaz
When: 08 Sep 12 16:13
My opinion is that the odds are exactly right on this one. No value on either player at the moment. Azarenka at approx. 5.5 is a realistic view of her chances.
By:
Marin1977
When: 08 Sep 12 18:55
Actually there is small value on Serena, however ridiculous it may sound. But not enough for me to get into it and I am likely to go sleep instead of watching this one. Maybe I will put in a small back for spare change Silly
By:
Dr Kim
When: 09 Sep 12 17:15
Kicking off at 9.30 even though most of you probably knew that. Sticking with guns and going with vika
By:
judorick
When: 09 Sep 12 18:06
serena on a mission... destruction awaits for vika
By:
Schalke 04
When: 09 Sep 12 18:17
I dunno how anyone can bet on best of 3's in womans tennis, Ive been burned before when serena was a sure thing, never again
By:
judorick
When: 09 Sep 12 18:20
not betting, just saying serena is gonna cream her
By:
Footiefan111
When: 09 Sep 12 18:25
what about vika aces line under or over 1.5
By:
razz
When: 09 Sep 12 19:01
yang is on vika +5.5 Cry
By:
hollywood85
When: 09 Sep 12 19:02
Laugh
By:
razz
When: 09 Sep 12 19:08
for 4k as well!! Surprised
By:
stu
When: 09 Sep 12 19:11
drwankenstein80 08 Sep 12 15:18 Joined: 01 Aug 11 | Topic/replies: 1,759 | Blogger: drwankenstein80's blog
H2H 8-0 Serena

Making up stats is a bit wrong.
By:
Footiefan111
When: 09 Sep 12 19:13
yang don't bet, he just wants to make sport more enjoyable to watch that's why he posts fake bets
By:
nofx
When: 09 Sep 12 19:13

Sep 9, 2012 -- 7:08PM, razz wrote:


for 4k as well!!


it's "very very confident bet" 2.0

By:
DStyle
When: 09 Sep 12 19:27
azarenka was a more aggressive player in 2009 than she is today.

it's actually that slight reining in of her game that's given her deserved success.

to beat serena today you're looking at a lacklustre serena , which is about a 5% chance in a slam final or a redlining hyper aggressive azarenka, which gives her about a 35% chance of beating her.

based on my assessment, the market is saying there's a 40% chance that the redlining vuvu will turn up.

which is far too high. between 10 and 15% imho.

gives me about 1.11 on serena.
By:
razz
When: 09 Sep 12 19:29

Sep 9, 2012 -- 7:13PM, Footiefan111 wrote:


yang don't bet, he just wants to make sport more enjoyable to watch that's why he posts fake bets


why do you think they are fake? people actually do bet that much you know...

By:
drwankenstein80
When: 09 Sep 12 19:36
@stu : 8-0 or 9-1, WTF is the difference?? serena still completely owns her you total retard

Yang always bets on serenas opponents taking a truck load of games off her, is always "very confident" and always losesLaughLaugh total degenerate gambler who cant see the wood for the trees.

price on serena is generous considering all relevant factors, i suspect the market remembers last years womens final and is worried lightning might strike twice and serena play a horrific match
By:
Dr Kim
When: 09 Sep 12 19:42
I doubt this will be easy for serena, vika always puts up a fight
By:
judorick
When: 09 Sep 12 19:43
what like the Olympics where Vika won 2 games was it?
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 09 Sep 12 19:47
1.25 looks very generous.
By:
Dr Kim
When: 09 Sep 12 19:51

Sep 9, 2012 -- 7:43PM, judorick wrote:


what like the Olympics where Vika won 2 games was it?


That was the olympics though, this is a grand slam, more money and more of a status symbol

By:
Schalke 04
When: 09 Sep 12 19:54
regarding the opening comment/ .... MIDNIGHT?? I sthat when the final starts?
By:
judorick
When: 09 Sep 12 19:54
still a 3 set match and serena blew her off the court

and remind me which one has 14 GS titles?

no contest, Vika will struggle to hold serve
By:
Schalke 04
When: 09 Sep 12 19:55
Betfair says 9:30pm
By:
Schalke 04
When: 09 Sep 12 19:55
Slam 15 for Serena tonight ...
By:
hollywood85
When: 09 Sep 12 19:58

Sep 9, 2012 -- 7:51PM, Dr Kim wrote:


Sep  9, 2012 --  7:43PM, judorick wrote:what like the Olympics where Vika won 2 games was it?That was the olympics though, this is a grand slam, more money and more of a status symbol


Another reason for Serena to walk this

By:
razz
When: 09 Sep 12 19:59
whats the e.t.a? and why is serena now 1.25? those odds seem too big
By:
Schalke 04
When: 09 Sep 12 20:15
start time?
By:
Dr Kim
When: 09 Sep 12 20:18
9/30
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