Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
Marin1977
05 Aug 12 19:58
Joined:
Date Joined: 13 Feb 08
| Topic/replies: 9,057 | Blogger: Marin1977's blog
Two players who showed the best form in the final.

I think Haas wins it since:
1. He has been serving incredibly well
2. During rallies he played extremely smart and aggressive tennis, Dolgo is much more erratic and it is gonna cost him.
3. Experience counts, he has 13 titles (+Olympic silver), has been around a long time and has played Dolgo type players before.
4. We are now on 5 match underdog winning streak (all 3 matches in Washington yesterday + 2 Olympic matches), bookies have to get something right eventually WinkSilly
Pause Switch to Standard View Tommy Haas v Alexandr Dolgopolov
Show More
Loading...
Report Jonpeter August 6, 2012 1:10 AM BST

Aug 6, 2012 -- 1:10AM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:


a lot of effort.


has it/does it pay off? Genuine questions from a genuine wannabe trader.

Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:10 AM BST
it is easy to go from excel to a database, save it as a .csv file and open as a database, or just copy it into a database.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:10 AM BST
yes, sometimes, but as with all stats they can go wrong.
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:12 AM BST
So Haas should be 1.1, Dog is being way too wild..
Report Jonpeter August 6, 2012 1:12 AM BST

Aug 6, 2012 -- 1:10AM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:


yes, sometimes, but as with all stats they can go wrong.


where did you start? did you have previous experience of data entry/analysis or is it self-taught?

Report Jonpeter August 6, 2012 1:13 AM BST
SOA sorry for the 20 q's in this thread, just curious.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:13 AM BST
I would say 1.14-1.19 at a set up.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:14 AM BST
its not all entered manually, some from online, then added bits to it.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:15 AM BST
then from the database I do an index, which tells me the players and their numbers of matches from different match positions etc.
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:17 AM BST
well I've laid Haas despite thinking he's too high because Dog is serving first
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:17 AM BST
Nice database! If things ever go tits up trading wise, you could make a nice wage from selling and maintaining that!
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:17 AM BST
I could but I would doubt the person buying it and think they would do something with it to make even more profit, so I probably wouldnt sell it.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:18 AM BST
such as putting it online for other people to use and charging for it.
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:21 AM BST
It could be a program that your members have to log in to.
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:21 AM BST
8-0 on home soil Haas
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:21 AM BST
Therefore they have access to the database, but never actually have it.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:22 AM BST
yes maybe, I wouldnt know where to start.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:22 AM BST
I just added to it the other day total games in the match, and handicap.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:22 AM BST
so I can compare results to some of the peripheral markets on Betfair, not that there is ever much liquidity.
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:23 AM BST
There are sites where you can post your job up for software writers to quote.
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:26 AM BST
Shouldn't be a difficult job as all the data is already there, so all they need to do is to create a graphical user interface and set up secure server etc. Just remember me when it's up a running! Cool
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:26 AM BST
I doubt I would do it.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:27 AM BST
If you want any stats just ask or send me a private message. I get those every now and then.
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:28 AM BST
Will do, thanks man.
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:28 AM BST
Dog struggling on Haas 2nd serve, Haas would have won 1st easy and holding easy if he wasn't DF'ing
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:30 AM BST
Haas wins this, Dog could take 2nd if he's very fortunate, these guys seem to be ranked the wrong way around for me though.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:32 AM BST
I still think Dolgopolov will never get to the top of the game, nor win a Grand Slam, while he plays on talent and has not standard game for the tricky situations in matches.
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:32 AM BST
I hope Dol gets some constancy to his game one day as then he will go far. More likely though he will waste his talent and always be a nearly man.
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:32 AM BST
How many towels and shirts does Haas get through per match Srich? Or does your database not cover that?
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:33 AM BST
You know that the Federers and Nadals, in tough situations, have particular shots to rely on. Dolgopolov seems not to have those.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:34 AM BST
strangely enough, no.
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:34 AM BST
Weeeak datebase IMO! Laugh
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:36 AM BST
It has 55 sets of data for each match though!
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:36 AM BST
But no shirt data! Shocking, I'm out.
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:39 AM BST
Dog is relying on winners, going for really risky shots.  Haas will win eventually.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:39 AM BST
It is quite unusual that Haas is at half the odds he was at the start of the match.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 1:40 AM BST
but then when have the odds in Dolgopolov's matches ever done what they should?
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:40 AM BST
1.5 was a gift just then...
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:41 AM BST
Fav's over 1.50 will always be around 1.25 after winning first set, or 1.15-1.20 if 6-0 / 6-1. Dol would have been 1.50 had he won 1st set.
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:43 AM BST
This was a tiebreak 1st set but in terms of play Haas is far better at the moment.  Dog only saw break opportunity from UE's and DF's.
Report bflame August 6, 2012 1:47 AM BST
these commentators are pr1cks. misleading puntrs
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:48 AM BST
What did they say?
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:49 AM BST
They give me the impression they are on Haas.
Report bflame August 6, 2012 1:49 AM BST
he said haas was about to break in previous game
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:50 AM BST
Set point comes out of nowhere
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:51 AM BST
1.6 Cool
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:51 AM BST
If this goes a 3rd, I hope they get it finished before the rain returns!!
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 1:52 AM BST
Wow, nearly evens

C'mon Dog!
Report Footiefan111 August 6, 2012 1:53 AM BST
dolgo win this now
Report simsalabim August 6, 2012 1:54 AM BST
haas is changing shirt...its on like donkey kong i dong
Report Footiefan111 August 6, 2012 1:55 AM BST
dolgo win this set quick
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:55 AM BST
All green on Haas for me, glory or nothing
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 1:55 AM BST
Okay, when the set ended Haas was still fav, now by the time the full set changeover has happened Dolgo is favourite? Anything happen on changeover? Wasn't looking ...
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:56 AM BST
No, just two good points from Dolgo.  Market is clueless, Haas still 1.7 favourite for me.
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 1:56 AM BST
Just fearful market as dol break to win set unexpected, just the normal rise.
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 1:57 AM BST
Beginning to think my stream is behind. Dolgo lower odds at 30-0 than after holding.
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 1:57 AM BST
Dog was lucky, was leading in games and a very strange turn of events lead to a break.  3rd set will be neck and neck for a while, Dog might get nervy again
Report Bravely bold Sir Robin August 6, 2012 1:58 AM BST
0-0 @ 2

0-1 @ 2.2

0-1 15-0 @ 2
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:00 AM BST
Market is just laying server before game and backing during after some comfortable serves.  Rookie market, must be low liquidity and little conviction.  Dog so lucky again, Haas left a ball he could have put away.
Report simsalabim August 6, 2012 2:00 AM BST
ExcitedExcited
Report Footiefan111 August 6, 2012 2:00 AM BST
6-1 this set dolgo win boys
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:00 AM BST
Well well well ... Excited
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:00 AM BST
laid Dog for what little green was left on him Sad
Report Footiefan111 August 6, 2012 2:00 AM BST
haas backers red out now
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:01 AM BST
1.2 on Dog is insulting though. Should only be 1.35 with a break this early in the set.
Report simsalabim August 6, 2012 2:01 AM BST
Whoops
Report Footiefan111 August 6, 2012 2:01 AM BST
hass shut up boy
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:02 AM BST
Tommy just UEing now.
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:02 AM BST
Although Haas is beginning to look no more stable than Dog and that was his major advantage
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? August 6, 2012 2:02 AM BST
Unbelievable the odds people will push markets to when there is nothing else going on just to get their bet on.
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:03 AM BST
-11p on Dog now, can't lay him anymore despite the ridiculous price.  1 break up.
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:04 AM BST
Market is treating this as a '3 game' lead like in WTA rather than just being a break
Report Redbull5 August 6, 2012 2:04 AM BST
Jesus hass...
Report Footiefan111 August 6, 2012 2:04 AM BST
6-1 this set dolgo win don't waste your money
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:05 AM BST
New column, Add +1 for Haas shoe change as well Srich.
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 2:06 AM BST
Do you still find you run faster after purchasing new trainers? I do.
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:06 AM BST
I ran faster when I bought running shoes instead of slip-on trainers Wink
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:06 AM BST
Those new shoes working a treat for Haas.  I normally run faster if I nick em
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:07 AM BST
great service game from Haas, squeaky bum time Footie.
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 2:07 AM BST
Gimp was in the riots!
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:08 AM BST
Market is 5-10 seconds ahead of the Betfair stream I think
Report jackhulk August 6, 2012 2:09 AM BST
OF course, feed boys in the US will be well ahead.
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:10 AM BST
What a waste of a second serve opportunity from Haas
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:12 AM BST
strange match, Dog seemed inconsistent and nervy, when he broke in the first set it screwed my trade.  Now Haas seems to be b1tching about everything and really tired
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:12 AM BST
2 more dolg serv games to get back in the match.
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:14 AM BST
He might not get those two chances at this rate
Report Redbull5 August 6, 2012 2:14 AM BST
Switched just in time . Fewwww really thought hass would have taken this set though
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:15 AM BST
Well, I really did not see this match being determined by Haas' consistency and mental state falling below Dolgopolov's.
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:15 AM BST

Aug 6, 2012 -- 2:00AM, Footiefan111 wrote:


6-1 this set dolgo win boys


Excited

Report simsalabim August 6, 2012 2:15 AM BST
ExcitedLove
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:16 AM BST
really was a shock turnaround. I like how the commentator said a few hours ago that whoever wins the first set will win the 2nd.
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:18 AM BST
1.01 lay of Dog, down a quid now instead of up £30 at start of 3rd
Report simsalabim August 6, 2012 2:18 AM BST
always greeeen out guysExcitedExcitedExcited
Report loadedgimp August 6, 2012 2:19 AM BST
disappointing stuff
Report Footiefan111 August 6, 2012 2:19 AM BST
dolgo won his 1st decent title Laugh
Report Marin1977 August 6, 2012 2:19 AM BST
Yup, very disappointing.

SoA can check the last time 6 underdogs in a row won in SF/F matches in 2 days. ****ing inceredible.
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:20 AM BST
Nice to see Dog getting a title, the last time he won one was my first week of tennis betting Grin
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:23 AM BST
Yeah, just look at all these from Washington + Wimbledon put together in last few days

HAAS v Fish
DOLGOPOLOV v Querrey
DOLGOPOLOV v Haas

RYBARIKOVA v Pavlyuchenkova
RYBARIKOVA v Stephens
PAVLYUCHENKOVA v King

MURRAY v Djokovic
MURRAY v Federer
DEL POTRO v Djokovic
KIRILENKO/PETROVA v Huber/Raymond
Report nixie August 6, 2012 2:30 AM BST
hope those favs losing didnt dent the guy's wallet who is doing the back fav to make a mint blog. mind u u never know who he is backing b4hand so...
Report smb360 August 6, 2012 2:32 AM BST
If you're talking about bb66 he won't have bet on a single one of those - none of those matches fit his selection criteria. Unless he jumped on Murray in play or something; the market was really giving away value vs Fed at 2 sets up and crushing him.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com