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yang
30 Jul 12 15:49
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Date Joined: 13 Aug 11
| Topic/replies: 1,526 | Blogger: yang's blog
July is not good enough yet.
The total stats is like this.
Win  36,Lost  42, Void  7,Net  -16900e
Now this year's deficit in sports bet is about 23000e.
It is the very time to change this.
I am sure i can do that.
There are so many sports matches in August and i am ready to punish the bookmakers.
Good luck to all of us.

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Replies: 348
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 30 Jul 12 15:54
£23,000 down in 7 months... jesus.
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 30 Jul 12 15:54
i think there might be a clue in that
By:
drwankenstein80
When: 30 Jul 12 15:59
Good luck Yang. I hope the second half of the year is kinder to your bank than the first. Hows it going in the casino? Any winnings there?
By:
yang
When: 30 Jul 12 16:01
drawnkenstein80,it is ok in casino.
Good luck to you!!
By:
drwankenstein80
When: 30 Jul 12 16:05
are you planning on raising your normal stake this month yang or keeping the same strategy?
By:
Rumblingbelly
When: 30 Jul 12 16:15
can i suggest registering more sportbooks so that you can shop for the best lines/odds, your not getting enough value to win long term and just upping the stakes wont fix that.
By:
RioGrande
When: 30 Jul 12 16:16
i think he must use odds checker at least. why doesnt he use betfair? atleast lay off bet if **** hits fan
By:
Northbouy
When: 30 Jul 12 16:21
should buy a new calendar, its not AUGUST yet.
By:
thepunter
When: 30 Jul 12 16:22
There are several matches were he would have hit a fortune if he laid (at least greening out), with such kind of stakes, you can easely sacrify 100 from your green at low odds. Hitting 5k here and there would have heavely reduced the actual red. But his strategy involves to beat the bookies, not the other punters...
By:
dlarssonf
When: 30 Jul 12 16:25
greening up just of the sake of it will see you lose long term also
By:
thepunter
When: 30 Jul 12 16:29
Certainly not if you green at the correct time. thats the secret most dodnt understand :
Low odds = greed time = no value = only risk => cheap lay => stake covered => easy, no stress, re-entering market later allowed or just let the greens run and go to another market/match and win time.
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 30 Jul 12 16:30
agreed the punter

but sometimes you won't get the low odds you want and the bet turns bad.

it's hard get it right all the time.
By:
Rumblingbelly
When: 30 Jul 12 16:31
i think not laying off bets is the smallest problem yang has atm, its not the main reason he has lost, I dont usually lay off either and ive managed to hit +30% roi this year.
By:
dlarssonf
When: 30 Jul 12 16:31
Disagree , if you are giving away value by greening up you will lose long term.  Value can be found at any odds short or long. The secret isn't greening up for the sake of it as you say, the secret is to let your winners ( greens ) run and cut your losses ( reds )
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 30 Jul 12 16:32
Yang missed a great opportunity to lay off his Murray outright bet at Wimbledon i told him but he just won't listen  to anyone.

would of been a big profit instead he lost the lot in the final to Fed.
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 30 Jul 12 16:34
there is no helping him he will do it his way most likely lose again but clearly money is no issue to this guy.
By:
thepunter
When: 30 Jul 12 16:38
I speak about very low odds, and for WTA just as an example, there are quite a few players you just cant "let run" how you say to win 5 € more (refusing to sacrify). its ridiculous. just take Serena and Azarenka this year, if you laid them for 100 stake 1,01 (and lower sometimes) every time, and backed them with half green the many times they went back to 1,5 you would be rich now.


If you need to green out at medium-low odds, there is always the possibility to reduce your exposition with partial out-redding.
By:
dlarssonf
When: 30 Jul 12 16:40
no it's not ridiculous as you put it.  If you are laying @ 1.01 and its value to do it then that is fine.  Doing it for the sake of it is ridiculous.
By:
thepunter
When: 30 Jul 12 16:45
1,01 is NEVER value. There is always 1 out of a hundred chance the player hurts himself. many dont even play 100 matches a year, and they all have at least one choke.

Except if you bought at 200/1 or higher, then you may back it with your green.
By:
dlarssonf
When: 30 Jul 12 16:47
I am afraid we disagree mate but each to their own.  Also to say 1.01 is never value is wrong
By:
jin_kazz
When: 30 Jul 12 16:53
give these money to people who needs them. charity or something like that. kids that don't have parents.

you need to clean your bad karma
By:
yang
When: 30 Jul 12 20:23
Rumblingbelly,i have followed your suggestion and registered in Pinnacle.
So i will place some bets in Pinnacle later!!
Good luck to you!!
By:
yang
When: 31 Jul 12 04:17
1 Basketball
Olympics 2012-Men
China vs Russia
(Point Spread),China +16.5
Odds  1.900   Stake  1500e
By:
Rumblingbelly
When: 31 Jul 12 08:16
Great, im sure you will notice a big improvement in odds, I havent used it myself but I have heard they accept big stakes too.
By:
RioGrande
When: 31 Jul 12 08:54
i agree with jin_kazz, u cud have built an orphanage in uganda with the amount u lost
By:
drwankenstein80
When: 31 Jul 12 11:02
RioGrande and jin_kazz can we assume you donate all your betfair winnings to african orphans then? what ridiculous posts

are you going to place any bets on betfair now yang? might be easier as you have to log in here anyway to update your forum
By:
yang
When: 31 Jul 12 13:13
2 Soccer
Womens Olympic Soccer
Canada Women v Sweden Women
(Alternative Goal Line),Over 2.0
Odds  1.575   Stake  1500e
By:
yang
When: 31 Jul 12 13:58
3 Soccer
Womens Olympic Soccer
Japan Women v South Africa Women
(Alternative Goal Line),Over 3.0
Odds  1.525   Stake  1500e
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 31 Jul 12 14:05
Yang man
By:
supersmith
When: 31 Jul 12 14:16
What does "alternative goal line" mean? Confused
By:
yang
When: 31 Jul 12 15:27
4 Soccer
Finland Division 1
AC Oulu v FC Hameenlina
(Alternative Goal Line),Under 3.5
Odds  1.500   Stake  1500e
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 31 Jul 12 16:17
god knows
By:
smb360
When: 31 Jul 12 16:20
Another name for Asian Handicap
By:
yang
When: 31 Jul 12 17:54
5 Soccer
UEFA Champions Lg Qual
Dynamo Kiev v Feyenoord
(Alternative Goal Line),Over 2.0
Odds  1.600   Stake  1500e
By:
VT90
When: 31 Jul 12 18:17
good luck yang :)
By:
yang
When: 31 Jul 12 19:13
6 Soccer
Womens Olympic Soccer
Great Britain Women v Brazil Women
(Alternative Goal Line),Over 2.0
Odds  1.625   Stake  1500e
By:
drwankenstein80
When: 31 Jul 12 21:42
CryCry
By:
yang
When: 31 Jul 12 23:45
Stats Time
1  Lost  -1500e
2  Win   +870e
3  Lost  -1500e
4  Win   +750e
5  Win   +900e
6  Lost  -1500e
New Net  -1980e
By:
hdieu
When: 31 Jul 12 23:57
that hurts...
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