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Norma Spoobs
28 Jun 12 22:14
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Date Joined: 03 May 02
| Topic/replies: 614 | Blogger: Norma Spoobs's blog
£1,225 @ 1000 lucky or shrewd punters?
Now only 34 after beating Nadal

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Replies: 63
By:
nofun
When: 28 Jun 12 22:16
got matched @50s. His frying pan serve no1 will stop!! come on rosol!
By:
incaseof
When: 28 Jun 12 22:18
good luck...should still be 1000s Laugh
By:
caramba
When: 28 Jun 12 22:22
still has to beat:
kohlshreiber
baker/paire
probably tsonga/fish
probably murray/potro/ferrer/cilic
probably Djoko/fed

So 36 Confused
By:
incaseof
When: 28 Jun 12 22:33
1.32 Kohli
1.30 Baker
2.00 Tsonga
2.50 Murray
4.00 Fed/Djoko

Cool
By:
aaronh
When: 28 Jun 12 22:44
should be still at least 200
By:
caramba
When: 28 Jun 12 22:50
I just had a look at his results this year.

http://matchstat.com/Player/Lukas%20Rosol

How is he supposed to win Wimbledon?

Have laid at 34, but am not greening out at 46. Will see where the odds are before his next match. Might have to back him match by match and hope that Tsonga/Murray etc don't all crash out.
By:
jsimpson67.
When: 28 Jun 12 22:53
kohl 2.3
baker 2.4
tsonga 3.5
murray 4
djok/fed 5

Confused

i mean i'm being generous to his pricing, no?

= 386.4
By:
MWDS
When: 28 Jun 12 22:56
"How is he supposed to win Wimbledon?"

Carrying on playing like he just did would be a pretty good place to start.

Irrespective of anything he has done before, you can't decry what he has done tonight.  There was no element of fluke there.  How many times did you hear "Where did that come from?" in the commentary?  Answer - exactly the same place as all the other amazing shots.
By:
aaronh
When: 28 Jun 12 22:58

Jun 28, 2012 -- 10:53PM, jsimpson67. wrote:


kohl 2.3 baker 2.4tsonga 3.5murray 4djok/fed 5i mean i'm being generous to his pricing, no? = 386.4


i wouldn't argue with any, other than Baker who i can't really judge so will take your word with that Whoops

By:
jsimpson67.
When: 28 Jun 12 22:59
well markets love baker too, but maybe im wrong with 2.4, not sure

but paire is 2.5 to beat him, who is playing very well himself
By:
RMB ©
When: 28 Jun 12 22:59
If he plays like that, he'll win.
By:
aaronh
When: 28 Jun 12 23:02
anyone who thinks Rosol will play even half as good as that ever again is crazy
By:
MWDS
When: 28 Jun 12 23:06
Why.  Was he possessed tonight or something?
By:
aaronh
When: 28 Jun 12 23:08
he was yes Laugh
By:
jsimpson67.
When: 28 Jun 12 23:08
He wasn't playing THAT well for the 1st 4 sets

1 set - mediocre and choked a bit
2nd set - good
3rd set - very good
4th set - not bad

5th set - phenomenal
By:
MWDS
When: 28 Jun 12 23:11
OK!  Well, if anyone wants to lay me 350-1 I'll bite!
By:
sir_lancealot
When: 28 Jun 12 23:29
If Rosol wins Wimbledon I will cut off my penis and sell it on ebay
By:
jjjjj
When: 29 Jun 12 06:38
rosol was fantastic, but nadal was there for the taking. his game is just so very, very badly suited for the grass courts.
his ridiculous spin doesnt give him any advantage as it is neutralised by the surface. those shots sit nicely up in the hitting zone. if he faces an opponent who can "make" shots from the baseline and can serve big, he is in trouble (some guys: berdych, anderson, querrey, raonic, gulbis, paire, tsonga,...). im sure any of those players would have nadal for the taking yesterday - but most likely they would have choked before the finnish line. rosol didnt choke, which was a big surprise to me.
By:
stu
When: 29 Jun 12 10:33
Been tonnes of players in tournaments who upset a favourite - how many go on to win the tournaments?
By:
stu
When: 29 Jun 12 10:33
Not many I would say
By:
scarecrow
When: 29 Jun 12 10:38
im with you stu he could well be drained after that match,on the mental side he has probably in his own mind played his final.it would not surprise me if he loses in the next round,but only time will tell.
By:
RMB ©
When: 29 Jun 12 10:41
Consistent flat hard and deep is kryptonite to Wafa. That level of consistency would be brutal against anyone. Definitely the biggest shock I've ever seen. A good question to ask would be, who wouldn't Rosol have beaten yesterday?
By:
jsimpson67.
When: 29 Jun 12 10:44
A better question to ask is 'who wouldnt have rosol beaten in that 5th set'? No-one, it was unplayable.

But against any other top player he'd have lost in 3 or 4 sets. Average in the 1st set, average in the 2nd, very good in 3rd, average in 4th. So I think a lot of players would have beaten Rosol yesterday.
By:
stu
When: 29 Jun 12 11:07
Saw this thread and was about to congratulate whoever posted for an amazing tip Laugh
By:
good value losers
When: 29 Jun 12 11:08
Laugh
By:
asdasf
When: 29 Jun 12 11:12
People missing the point here big time...32 was the lay of the century
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 29 Jun 12 11:22
Agree.
By:
scarecrow
When: 29 Jun 12 11:31
asdasf yes it was a good lay but i think i would prefer to be the layer of heather watson in the outrights in the ladies market at 2.0 Shocked.
By:
asdasf
When: 29 Jun 12 11:32
you can't be serious! Surprised
By:
asdasf
When: 29 Jun 12 11:33
lol@50 quid matched on Heather to win Wimbly@2...not only that. Heather Watson is the player matched to the lowest price I could see to win...unbelievable!
By:
scarecrow
When: 29 Jun 12 11:36
i know i could not believe it Laugh someone really should give up gambling i think.
By:
bb66
When: 29 Jun 12 11:46
not a big deal beating Nadull on grass utilizing a big serve, forthcoming opponents will have bigger weapons, Rosol not like McEnroe coming from nowhere into the semis.
By:
high_lander
When: 29 Jun 12 12:01
I've thrown a few quid on him @46 - I've never seen anyone hit the ball so flat and hard with so much venom and so accurately. I know he probably won't repeat it but he can beat anyone if he plays the way he did against Rafa.
By:
aaronh
When: 29 Jun 12 12:02
i thought you were shrewd h_l, stick to the footballCry
By:
jjjjj
When: 29 Jun 12 12:04
highlander has the balls to admit it. Happy
By:
aaronh
When: 29 Jun 12 12:06
i wish the same mugs on the o/r market would move to his market vs Kohly
By:
high_lander
When: 29 Jun 12 12:16
aaronh, it's a tiny bet in the hope that this guy and grass courts = perfect combination.
Shocks do happen at Wimbledon - a sudden breakthrough is possible. Maybe he will play out of his skin for one tournament and go back to being carp again.

I heard Becker was 100/1 when he won it the first time
What were the odds on Michael Stich and Richard Krajicek?
By:
aaronh
When: 29 Jun 12 12:23
Boris Becker was like 17 and won Queens previous to Wimbledon

you're better off just staking him each time to win and you're more likely to get something in  the 300-400 range

he's 2.5 to win on Saturday. is he gonna be like 20's to be Tsonga, Murray and Fed Crazy
By:
edy
When: 29 Jun 12 12:24
Don't know the Becker odds for sure, but he was a top30 player and entered Wimbledon having just won Queen's Club for the loss of just one set.

Doubt his odds were at 100/1
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