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MathewC
05 Jun 12 08:17
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Date Joined: 11 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 681 | Blogger: MathewC's blog
So the first match of the day is kicking off in a couple of hours with Stosur taking on Cibulkova. Stosur is at $1.69 and Cibulkova is at $2.42. Sam has yet to drop a set but is very wobbly when it comes to serving out crucial points which is why I think this will go to 3 however I do think Stosur will win. Thoughts?

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By:
timmy2988
When: 05 Jun 12 09:36
Stosur all day for me. Words cant sum up how truly awful Vika was against Domi but we should be thankful because thats given us a much better price on Sam.

The stats for Domi in the 2 sets were: 47% first serve. She gave up 13 break points. 5 double faults. 20 unforced errors and 28 winners... Is that going to be good enough against Sam? Not for me...
By:
youaintseenmeright
When: 05 Jun 12 09:39
stosur = kick serve around the slovaks head, heavy top spin forehand kicks around dominika's shoulders. Stosur should be 1.5 ish, but can certainly make life difficult for herself. but should find herself in alot of dom's service games. dom on the other hand won't have so many chances.
By:
kiwipirate
When: 05 Jun 12 10:18
timmy2988

Sure, Stosur is perfectly capable of beating Cibulkova.
However, in respect to unforced errors, Stosur looks very bad:

18 ue in 22 games v Stephens
18 ue in 18 games v Petrova
17 ue in 17 games v Falconi

That is big v 3 weak opponents

Cibulkova is in a different league and despite her own problems,
she will force Stosur into even more ue in particular on her back hand.

This game is 50/50
By:
thebook
When: 05 Jun 12 10:19
Sam for me.
By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 05 Jun 12 10:23
i think this might be a complete blow out, 6-2 6-1 to stosur
By:
StRaphael
When: 05 Jun 12 11:08
After reviewing stats post Aza game, I also would conclude this is a 50/50 game. Im gonna bet against Stosur when serving for match though. Since Stosur wants revenge for 2010 misery in the final and many difficult opponents are out of this tournament, it would be no surprise to me if this great opportunity for Stosur makes her go into "ultra tight mode" and lose 2-6 3-6.
By:
bazzer31
When: 05 Jun 12 11:13
Hard to be too confident in Sam

Seems to choke too much in big matches but slightly less these days and plays best on clay

Also agree, she has not beat much yet

If Cibulkova can keep it close early, make few errors and chase down everything and make Sam hit heaps of winners. The pressure may mount and she will tighten up big time.

So maybe Sam in 2 sets or more likely Cibulkova 3 tight sets

All comes down to Sams backhand errors and how good she serves
By:
StRaphael
When: 05 Jun 12 11:28
The problem with Stosurs way of playing is that she uses her arm and wrist too much. Works great when calm where that added extra touch excels. A recipe for disaster when under pressure. She should work out an alternative back up technique, where she works with the larger muscles when she´s feeling pressure. Taking her wrist out of the game at those times.
By:
good value losers
When: 05 Jun 12 11:38
youaintseenmeright     05 Jun 12 09:39 
stosur = kick serve around the slovaks head, heavy top spin forehand kicks around dominika's shoulders.


i was thinking about this as being a massive factor. but the thing is cib's had to deal with this sort of thing her entire career so it's nothing new to her.
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 05 Jun 12 11:48
Seems like an easy Stosur win to me.
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 05 Jun 12 11:50
Baltacha, Falconi, Petrova and Stephens are not really going to have tested her. Cibulkova had theoretically tougher matches and could be tired.
By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 05 Jun 12 12:12
Cibu is no worldbeater, Aza was poor in her match...
By:
disicipline=£££££££££££££sssss
When: 05 Jun 12 12:12
sammy 1.70

By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 05 Jun 12 12:13
could be a train here, 1.7 is huge imo
By:
robd270
When: 05 Jun 12 12:20
Stosur @ 1.71 or Kerber @ 1.79.

Which is the better bet????
By:
StRaphael
When: 05 Jun 12 12:22
A long march in the terrain(desert) you mean arsenal?
By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 05 Jun 12 12:26
strong possibility it could be a demo job by stosur
By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 05 Jun 12 12:26
if its not, then im out :)
By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 05 Jun 12 12:26
but 1.7 seems huge
By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 05 Jun 12 12:29
but laying stosur at 1.7... can be expensive. but market seem to trust Cibu, our new star :)
By:
StRaphael
When: 05 Jun 12 12:31
There you go arsenal, when in doubt, stay out. Be picky :-))
By:
StRaphael
When: 05 Jun 12 12:33
Bet hard when Stosur has to serve for match
By:
Mystery_Man007
When: 05 Jun 12 12:38
are you guys crazy? cibu should be favourite here, i expect straight wins for cibu
By:
Mystery_Man007
When: 05 Jun 12 12:38
straight sets
By:
rablow
When: 05 Jun 12 12:38
Am i the only 1 who thinks that Dominika can win??? Im backin Cibulkova all the way to the final :)
By:
thebook
When: 05 Jun 12 12:39
Morning Mystery, i didn't stop laughing yesterday, keep up the good work.LaughLaughLaughLaugh
By:
disicipline=£££££££££££££sssss
When: 05 Jun 12 12:41
robd270
05 Jun 12 12:20
Joined:
24 Jan 12
| Topic/replies: 78 | Blogger: robd270's blog
Stosur @ 1.71 or Kerber @ 1.79.

Which is the better bet????

ask marin1977 he will tell you for a fee
By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 05 Jun 12 12:43
Do shdvova have a problem with her eyes? on ES game, set and match.. with sun glasses on.
By:
Del Potro in 2009
When: 05 Jun 12 12:53
Morning arsenal79overs - your with Stosur here?
By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 05 Jun 12 12:54
si
By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 05 Jun 12 12:54
but if its close, im gonna get out..
By:
Del Potro in 2009
When: 05 Jun 12 12:56
Cibulkova doesn't appear scared of anything. I do agree with the 2nd serve kick that could have too much spin for Cib to cope with.
By:
maikzervas
When: 05 Jun 12 13:04
STOSUR WIN
By:
Kal84
When: 05 Jun 12 13:04
SHall watch for a bit before deciding who to back. Fairly new to betting on the tennis
By:
Dani_
When: 05 Jun 12 13:08
Does anybody have a decent stream ?
By:
Dani_
When: 05 Jun 12 13:08
Does anybody have a decent stream ?
By:
youaintseenmeright
When: 05 Jun 12 13:10
youaintseenmeright     05 Jun 12 09:39 
stosur = kick serve around the slovaks head, heavy top spin forehand kicks around dominika's shoulders.


i was thinking about this as being a massive factor. but the thing is cib's had to deal with this sort of thing her entire career so it's nothing new to her.

yeah i'd agree to an extent, the extent being how well sam executes. should be a good battle anyway
By:
MathewC
When: 05 Jun 12 13:10
Good start from Cibulkova, lol.
By:
arsenal79overs_
When: 05 Jun 12 13:10
cibu looks nervous
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