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vector_99
04 Jun 12 08:14
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Date Joined: 22 Aug 11
| Topic/replies: 297 | Blogger: vector_99's blog
the easiest route to semifinals seems to be for andy murray.
to win the tournament
murray 50
ferrer 36
gasquet 200
most likely andy murray will defeat Gasquet and that will set up a quarters meeting with david ferrer, and all said and done Murray will be a favourite to win that match and will book a place in semis.
Taking a punt on murray at 50 is not a bad option.here is what I did my liability on this market is 1000£ and profits for both andy murray and gasquet is 33000£. I feel andy murray will win against richard gasquet how ever to eliminate the risk gasquet comes at a handy odds of 200. So no harm in buying him too. The good thing is that this will set up a meeting with ferer and again I feel andy murray is a favourite here. How ever at this time you can lay him too or do a set betting in favour of Ferer. Usually this has good odds ie
ferrer to win 3-0 odds 6
ferrer to win 3-1 odds 5
ferrer to win 3-2 odds 9 or 10.
now you can put 300£ on first 2 options and 100 on 3rd option, if Murray wins you loose 700£ but your man is still safe and profit is still 33000£ with a liability of 1000£ on that market, or you can sit and wait because most likely David ferrer will loose and Murray will be safely into the semis with Nadal. Now here is the big thing. Now 2 things will happen
Murrays rate will drop alarmingly at this point from 50 to 20 or something like that. You can either decide to lay him in this market or better still to make more profit go fully in favour of rafa with out any fear of loosing. At this point i will bet 4000£ on rafa nadal to win with out any worries. if rafa starts at odds of 1.2 or 1.25 you can atleast cover some of your 1000£ liability or what ever you decide to punt. How ever if the match gets tough and rafas odds shoot upto 1.5 then the chances are with a bet of 4000£ you will get 2000£ that covers  ur 1000£ liability on the winner market. Or better still bet on rafa to win 3-0 and odds will be better like 4 and 3-1 will be like 6 etc. That way with a buffer of 33000£ even if u bet heavily on Nadal to win you are not worried as in case murray wins u will still have 29000 thousand and im sure in the finals u can make more than 10K if you are smart. How ever I feel Murrays ride will come to an end when he takes on Rafa. bet 4000£ in favour of rafa on open market. and lay Murray too on the winners market. Remember that at semifinals stage Murrays odds will drop alarmingly from 50 to 20 odd. so it will be best to then go fully for rafa and u can cover ur 1000£ liability. guys please read this and if you have any suggestions kindly let me know?????

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