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haileselassie
27 May 12 17:12
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Feb 12
| Topic/replies: 332 | Blogger: haileselassie's blog
Is very confident in a Johansson win... 60k
Pause Switch to Standard View Lumpy on the Johansson game
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Report zzzzzzzzzz May 27, 2012 5:14 PM BST
4-4 0-15 and 1.75  so interesting..
Report zappy May 27, 2012 5:18 PM BST
not Lumpy, this is money laundring or money swapping between accounts...
Report zappy May 27, 2012 5:22 PM BST
lovely sheep effect, some followers could be in huge trouble shortly...
Report zappy May 27, 2012 5:25 PM BST
like now...
Report haileselassie May 27, 2012 5:29 PM BST
Rodionova is the better player anyway - if she keeps her head together she will win.
Report DStyle May 27, 2012 5:29 PM BST
so she'll lose then
Report zappy May 27, 2012 5:29 PM BST
ok guys, can you finish this sh1t...? followers trying to limit losses via speculation now...?

man...
Report haileselassie May 27, 2012 5:30 PM BST
lol Dstyle :)
Report zappy May 27, 2012 5:30 PM BST
DStyle, what is this carp...? Big bot players swapping money between accounts to avoid the PC or...?

I'm growing old... ;-)

Glad I laid the 1.75 massively tho...
Report DStyle May 27, 2012 5:34 PM BST
hi zappy.

i have absolutely no idea what it was; i layed some of the 1.5 on Johansson, but wasn't watching and started wondering whether she was injured.

surely there is no way anyone would risk swapping money between accounts on a match that's in play, when you could easily go and find something much quieter with no in play delay.

looking at the graph, is there any chance that it was someone trying to bail from a position too big for the market?
Report kiwipirate May 27, 2012 5:35 PM BST
diabolical
Report zappy May 27, 2012 5:39 PM BST
DStyle,

surely, you're right about the easier options available if one should want to swap...I was just trying to find an answer...

losing on purpose (i.e. gambling massively against odds) sounds ridiculous. I know from very reliable sources that e.g. at Russian tennis tournaments very strange odds movements occur because mega-millionaires with little odds understanding enter the markets - this could be up that alley...amazing it is, tho

could be the big position, but still...?

I'm still growing old...oh well ;-)
Report zappy May 27, 2012 5:41 PM BST
but tbh, I dont like giving up the short-term trade just to wait and see if lunacy loses...but hey, it had to be laid...

DStyle, do you lay these blatantly wrong prices at every time...? There seem to be several occasions lately...
Report DStyle May 27, 2012 5:42 PM BST
we're all growing old. Happy
Report DStyle May 27, 2012 5:43 PM BST
not straight away, no.

i need some justification or to get a feel of the texture of what's going on.
Report DStyle May 27, 2012 5:46 PM BST
and in these r1 matches, you have to be exceptionally careful how big a position you take on.

there are times in the past where i've skewed markets just because i'm trying to dump money the market can't absorb.

and i'm not talking about that much either (thousands rather than tens of thousands), just that these r1 markets can't often support it.
Report zappy May 27, 2012 5:48 PM BST
DStyle, MJ backed fairly big at 2.10 but still, nowhere near those numbers that were put up at 1.75

Sure, could be a cover for a big bet with a bookie, but on Johansson-Rodionova...???

Speculation, with these number, doesnt make sense either.
The only logical explanation I can cling to is that a profoundly rich gambler out there felt relatively certain MJ would win...

Advanced pocket money...?
Report DStyle May 27, 2012 5:59 PM BST
looking back at what happened, in an otherwise quiet market (100k matched) lumpy got on johannson at 1.7ish from 4-3* to 5-4*.

i reckon the counterparty/counterparties got spooked and looked to dump some of their exposure trying to back her at 1.5ish.
Report zappy May 27, 2012 6:03 PM BST
yeah could be, but the big position was at 1.75 (around EUR 100K), the sum just stayed there, the guy(s) wanted to be matched. Then sheep went below with 1.74 to 1.70...

Dont you agree we can rule out speculation since no equally big positions at lower odds were entered into the market...?

DStyle, dont you agree that this is not the old Lumpy...? He played GBP 30K and he mostly laid 2-0 set victories for huge favs...
Report zappy May 27, 2012 6:04 PM BST
he did have some match odds plays but not this lunatic...
Report zappy May 27, 2012 6:08 PM BST
Dodders, at 4-4 *0-15 in an even match, on paper...it is simply crazy to back the server, as she was behind by one point so intensely at 1.75(moreover, she had just been rebroken twice and Rodionova had held so momentum was massively on the Aussie's side...).

Cant help thinking there's more to it than utterly strange millionaire gambling...but I dont see it, oh well...cant see all the lights in life...
Report tenniso May 27, 2012 6:08 PM BST
don't question it too much, just try to profit from it Laugh
Report haileselassie May 27, 2012 6:09 PM BST
at least it looks like Rodionova kept her calm.
Report haileselassie May 27, 2012 6:16 PM BST
uhm.
Report Dummy Runner May 27, 2012 6:17 PM BST
Total mug mode for Roddchick
Report Szilard May 27, 2012 6:19 PM BST
sp 1.9, one set up 1.9?
Report Dummy Runner May 27, 2012 6:19 PM BST
Rod not even on the court now
Report Szilard May 27, 2012 6:23 PM BST
that 1.9 was ridiculous
Report nofx May 27, 2012 6:24 PM BST
what is this?? evens without set?
Report Szilard May 27, 2012 6:25 PM BST
johhanson @ 1.5 if she wins the tie break
Report haileselassie May 27, 2012 6:34 PM BST
oh oh
Report tenniso May 27, 2012 6:35 PM BST
wahey
Report nofx May 27, 2012 6:35 PM BST
lovely tb
Report owning May 27, 2012 6:37 PM BST
its safe to say now that RODIO has 0 chance to win now, what a choking b1tch she is
Report owning May 27, 2012 6:38 PM BST
rodio's mind must be sooooooooo FECKED NOW lol loving it
Report tenniso May 27, 2012 6:42 PM BST
that and against a french lady in Paris..  zero chance for rod
Report matt hughes May 27, 2012 7:01 PM BST
mathilde is biggest choker on wta
Report Marin1977 May 27, 2012 7:11 PM BST
We need a choke
Report Marin1977 May 27, 2012 7:24 PM BST
Choke serving for the match coming right up (I hope Silly) Love
Report mike0015 May 27, 2012 7:24 PM BST
come on mathilde.. just serve.. please..
Report Marin1977 May 27, 2012 7:24 PM BST
0-15 Wink
Report pinoc May 27, 2012 7:29 PM BST
thank god for that!
i was the one backing at 1.75
Report pinoc May 27, 2012 7:29 PM BST
why didn't we lay rodio at 1.01?!
Report Marin1977 May 27, 2012 7:30 PM BST
Damn
Report pinoc May 27, 2012 7:30 PM BST
was 80k down today
Report ;[p May 27, 2012 7:30 PM BST
rod didnt shake hand with ref
Report asdasf May 27, 2012 7:31 PM BST
rod was a bit pissed off or just part of the french drama they love
Report pinoc May 27, 2012 7:32 PM BST
why not suspended?
Report pinoc May 27, 2012 7:33 PM BST
finally
Report asdasf May 27, 2012 7:36 PM BST
any particular reason you placed all that money on Johansson pinoc? Just gambling or because she is french maybe?
Report twomatchpoints May 27, 2012 7:39 PM BST

owning
27 May 12 18:37   
its safe to say now that RODIO has 0 chance to win now, what a choking b1tch she is


owning
27 May 12 18:38   
rodio's mind must be sooooooooo FECKED NOW lol loving it


oh dear... Laugh
Report pinoc May 27, 2012 7:55 PM BST
just gambling and rodio is so bad!
Report haileselassie May 27, 2012 7:58 PM BST
just gambling with 60k?
Report pinoc May 27, 2012 8:00 PM BST
chasing and i had another 35k at 2.1
Report pinoc May 27, 2012 8:00 PM BST
30k at 2.1
Report pinoc May 27, 2012 8:01 PM BST
don't think i should be gambling
Report betchat May 27, 2012 8:05 PM BST
Shame they've managed to stick the scoreboard.
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