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YER MAN
26 Apr 12 10:19
Joined:
Date Joined: 06 Aug 06
| Topic/replies: 494 | Blogger: YER MAN's blog
Anabel beat her in their only meeting. Anabel has won more clay court titles than any other active player. Is there an injury?
Pause Switch to Standard View Why is Halep fav to bt medina...
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Report iloveback April 26, 2012 10:25 AM BST
AMG is an old mug.Halep rising star
Report seahawk April 26, 2012 12:18 PM BST
I'm backing AMG , Anabel beat Simona last year , I hope AMG didn't grow too old in just one year .
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 3:17 PM BST
don't think i've ever seen all 4 qfs won by the dogs, so halep is naled on shirley! Cool
Report disicipline=£££££££££££££sssss April 26, 2012 3:19 PM BST
come on ladies give me a match that makes me proud
Report ggekko April 26, 2012 3:24 PM BST
Halep has a Chaos Factor of 42.35%. That means over 42% of all her matches in the last year have ended with an unexpected or inconsistent result (eg if she is the favourite, she loses... and if she is the outsider she wins). Haleps Chaos Factor is one of the Top 3 (most unpredictable/ inconsistent players in the Top 100 WTA)
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 3:28 PM BST
wtf? Laugh and what is amg's chaos factor?
Report Marin1977 April 26, 2012 3:29 PM BST
Holy crap, never heard this statistic. Well done.
Report Marin1977 April 26, 2012 3:29 PM BST
aaaaargh ****ing double posts are killing me
Report danik64 April 26, 2012 3:34 PM BST
1)Halep plays better in the season
2)Halep was in the final here last year
3)Medina had leg injury at AO, after that her best results were 2nd round in some tourneys
4) Last year they met in Estoril it was 7-6 7-6 Medina, but Halep last year and now are 2 different players.
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 3:34 PM BST
what is amg's chaos factor?
Report hollywood85 April 26, 2012 3:36 PM BST
chaos factor = beating the odds
Report hollywood85 April 26, 2012 3:36 PM BST
I think Confused
Report nofx April 26, 2012 3:37 PM BST
this chaos factor, isn't 40% chaos the norm in Wta?  Grin
Report ggekko April 26, 2012 3:38 PM BST
Medina Garrigues Chaos Factor was 27.5% up until early April. That's about mid-range. The lowest (and therefore most predicatble on the WTA is Schiavone (19.23%) which means she wins when she is supposed to and she loses when she is supposed to. The model of consistency. The worst (and therefore most inconsistent) is Flavia Pennetta. Her Chaos Factor is 46.29% up until early April. Everyone else falls in betweeen somewhere, but Halep is right up near the top. Hope this is useful...
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 3:38 PM BST
well yes, looks like that. but ggecko gave a figure for halep, just asking what the figure is for amg, as you can't just look at one player.
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 3:39 PM BST
oh thanks, sorry posts crossed.
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 3:39 PM BST
ggekko     26 Apr 12 15:38 
Hope this is useful...


indeed, any new way of looking at things is interesting.
Report nofx April 26, 2012 3:40 PM BST
i find it mind boggling that an italian is the lowest on that scale
on the other hand i don't find it at all surprising penne is the queen of chaos
Report hollywood85 April 26, 2012 3:42 PM BST
On the other hand, Halep has won 87% of her games on this price range...
Report nofx April 26, 2012 3:44 PM BST
Excited
Report nofx April 26, 2012 3:44 PM BST
now that is a statistic I like!
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 3:45 PM BST
can't bet on this, too close.
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 3:53 PM BST
this could be decided by fitness, probably give halep the edge there.
Report betchat April 26, 2012 3:55 PM BST
Chaos factor - now we're getting somewhere.
Report hollywood85 April 26, 2012 3:59 PM BST
My stat worked Excited
Report nofx April 26, 2012 4:02 PM BST
Excited
feckin awesome
down price down!
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 4:02 PM BST
the drawback with stats like those are they can't cater for sudden increases/decreases in form, like halep, mona, kuz, bepa. su=ince doha, halep has only lost once to someone outside the top 10, that's way above the level she was playing at before.
Report ggekko April 26, 2012 4:08 PM BST
I totally agree! The Chaos Factor I mentioned doesn't take into account surface, current form... or any of that stuff. It perhaps suggests which players are the unpredictable ones (female Davydenko's) I don't make any great claims. I just shared a little bit of research I'd done. I tend to use the info to get an idea on who is most likely to lose the match (choke/melt-down etc) if I'm unsure.
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 4:11 PM BST
sorry if i sounded critical. i think your index is a fine idea Happy
Report ggekko April 26, 2012 4:15 PM BST
Hell no! I didn't think you were critical at all, my friend.
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 4:22 PM BST
i remember seeing an index either on the wta site or on matchstat that listed how often players lost to lower ranked players. a similar idea.
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 4:23 PM BST
iirc daniela was the best at not losing to lower ranked players
Report sheldon April 26, 2012 4:36 PM BST
Annabel tried to go shot for shot with Halep. Total failure.
Sometimes you have to wonder about the intelligence of these WTA players.

Not a single drop shot by Annabel and constant attempts to play the Halep backhand which made no sense at all.
from game 4 (on serve) is was clear who the winner would be
Report sheldon April 26, 2012 4:41 PM BST
lol what a beatdown. Not a single BP for Annabel all match
Report nofx April 26, 2012 4:42 PM BST
ain't she awesome  Love
Report good value losers April 26, 2012 4:43 PM BST
wow that's some beating she gave a good oppo. can't see any of the other 3 giving her any kind of a match. halep nailed on for the title with 18" nails Cool
Report nofx April 26, 2012 4:45 PM BST
Giant killer
Report sheldon April 26, 2012 4:46 PM BST
2 more games with Halep  == 100% FREE MONEY
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