Marion Bartoli v Lucie Safarova

u saying she wouldnt beat paszek and schiavone if no retirements?
paszeh is in horrible form and lucie was 3-0 on hard court agains franny

barto was in fhe final last yr here

We will never know. Safarova not the most reliable out there.

isnt lucie playing well atm?
fartoli is a slow starter, you know

One has done well here in the past the other hasn't.
But 1.4 is no value, 1.5+ on Bartoli earlier was.

I took 1.47, good enough. Would take anything over 1.4 in any case.

i think the match can be close, lucie isnt in a bad shape i think, but the question is who got the flu who not, many players r contaminated but some feel ok and can play others retired , so its tricky here and its ver hot out there as well

that would work in favour of Lucie i suppose but by the time they play it will have cooled down considerably?
anyway think 1.4~ is terrible value

dont know she get into final last yr barto, so the weather doesnt affect her seems to me

The matchup is clearly in Bartoli's favor.

She won 5 out of 6 matches vs. Safarova and last year took down Niculescu, Petkovic, Clijsters, Ivanovic and Wickmayer, so I don't see how 1.4 is terrible?

Explain your research and statistic please.

they played three times in the last year. twice Bartoli won. twice it wasn't easy. statistically bulletproof this.

it will be a train from 1.45 you say?

I have a feeling that ctrl-z might be proven right later on. Reckon it will be tight. Not having a bet myself though. Good luck if you are.

fartoli has the edge but given fartoli's tendency to get broken early and lucie's good recent form, this looks like a 3 setter during which im sure you can grab better than 1.45ish

Possible, but prematch positioning has to take into consideration the likely final result. Safarova likes to lose set 1 BTW, check her stats.

Irrelevant in any case.

Did anyone else notice that the markets gave around 5 point on average bonus on all favs today, across the board? It happens sometimes, people just go crazy with laying.

u cant realy expect straigt forward match between players like lucie and barto,it can happen, but most likely the odds will be jumping up and down

In most matches odds jump up and down.

so both are value then

By that logic you should almost never get involved prematch, and yet I am doing it all the time with very decent profits.

correct. again i'm not arguing a Bartoli victory but the odds of 1.4~, i'm not afraid that will quickly go away to never come back

Nope, if market behavior stays consistent the price will get up to 1.5+ before kickoff

is there a stream for this, saw it's moved courts?

think its on aftre nalband.

No live view so far

Bandy almost over anyway, why move it

Bandy finished

no cameras on stadium 3?!

really pissed off now

no stream

Bartoli cannot keep getting to finals. She isnt that good!

scum yenks

I have never seen such idiocy... they saved 5 minutes, max

Liquidity is total crap, naturally.

At least the match is going as expected.

layed fartoli at 1.16
hopefully she will have her usual brain fart in the 2nd

i dont think so,,put your lay back

Looks like murder

yeah, ffs

I am still seething that this is not streamed because Americans wanted to save 5 minutes.

No,they wanted to save our money,if it was streamed then we all be lying bartoli @ 1.55

I wouldnt

and i did not

lol, lost money on vampire, should have listened to you guise.....

well fair is fair, time for some negative aftertiming
1.5 wasn't far from the truth. doesn't make me move one iota from my convictions though, c'mon not a single break of the mighty Bartoli serve ffs. this is why there was no broadcasting so that we wouldn't all be bored to death but watch Woz and Uevanovic show how it's done instead
Congrats

Well, I did say it will go to 1.5+ before kickoff still think it is extremely bad idea to lay that kind of odds in that matchup (which is now 6-1 for Bartoli).

he he didn't say to lay it...   
just because a price is to short doesn't mean you have to get involved, it's bit more tricky to comment on it now as there was no coverage in the last minute and i hardly did. only layed some 2nd set now for much smaller stakes.
like you said earlier, especially in Wta, often i prefer not to have a position prematch. as in Woz match sp drop or rise is only a service game away so that's basing your position on a flip of a coin