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shiraz
02 Mar 12 05:46
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Date Joined: 14 Jun 04
| Topic/replies: 6,599 | Blogger: shiraz's blog
Murray has pushed Djokovic in all of their matches in the last twelve months.  Djokovic was a higher price against Murray at the AO so should'nt really be shorter over three sets. 

Perhaps this 1.39 / 1.40 is because Murray has not been playing extremely well in the two matches here.  No bet at these odds.

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Replies: 568
By:
yyyy
When: 02 Mar 12 05:49
Djokovic was a higher price against Murray at the AO so should'nt really be shorter over three sets.
-------

Confused
By:
contacthigh
When: 02 Mar 12 05:53
murray looked like ( or was pretending to) have a knee injury against Berdych last match as well. If he really isn't 100% and has a knee injury, the bet has got to be djokovic
By:
gururav
When: 02 Mar 12 05:53
thanks
By:
yyyy
When: 02 Mar 12 05:53
you mean: djoko won't be traded below 1.4 at any time during the match??
By:
shiraz
When: 02 Mar 12 05:58
I mean that if a player is priced at 1.43 over five sets, all other factors being equal, he should then not be shorter odds over three sets.  But the odds here may be because all other factors are not equal.
By:
yyyy
When: 02 Mar 12 06:03
what all other factors being equal?
By:
jin_kazz
When: 02 Mar 12 08:43
djoko should crush him
By:
Copenhagen27
When: 02 Mar 12 09:01
Novak win this yes, big big back bet from me :-) free money
By:
hunt3r
When: 02 Mar 12 09:03
murray will blame his knee againLaugh
By:
sheldon
When: 02 Mar 12 10:09

Mar 2, 2012 -- 9:01AM, Copenhagen27 wrote:


Novak win this yes, big big back bet from me :-) free money


my feelings exactly. I got 1000€ on Novak and not stressed about it at all.

By:
rickysomas1
When: 02 Mar 12 10:13
World number 1 vs World number 4... close H2H, no one of this two has had recent injuries... Murray almost won over him in the Aussie Open.... what let you be you be so confident on Novak boys? I'm not saying he won't win but I don't understand why you are so confident about this...I think it will be a great match, and it can even be good for brave traders...
By:
defka
When: 02 Mar 12 10:14
murray is so ridiculous. he fakes injuries almost every match. in fact his game's rarely affected. nobody should believe that crap. djokovic raised his quality of tennis from the stakhovsky match yesterday cause he had to and he will do so again. big back for djokovic
By:
rickysomas1
When: 02 Mar 12 10:25
wow...it's hard to say but: I hope you're all wrong... at least for one set.... Laugh
By:
jin_kazz
When: 02 Mar 12 10:26
ricky: key word "almost"

he almost won many times but who cares?
By:
jin_kazz
When: 02 Mar 12 10:27
we're so confident 'coz this guy never lose
By:
jin_kazz
When: 02 Mar 12 10:28
and looks like he's in a good form. no sudden chokes from ozzie open and murray is playing not good.

berdy had mupltiple bp opportunities but berdshyte is berdshyte. he played like shyte
By:
rickysomas1
When: 02 Mar 12 10:29
yes Jin...he has been many times so close to win the whole match and 4 out of 11 he made it... I mean: I see your points about Djoko, he raises his level, he's great of course... but A.Muz is ranked#4 maybe cause of Del Potro injury... but he still is #4... is he can't trouble djoko... who can? No one maybe...we'll see...
By:
rickysomas1
When: 02 Mar 12 10:30
I have to disagree here.... Berdych played great at 30 40 first set but Murray defense was extremely good there and Berdych tilted after 3/4 impressive forehands... I don't know... we'll see later what happens...
By:
jin_kazz
When: 02 Mar 12 10:31
yeah, he's giving 200% in matches against djoko. probably there will be higher odds in-play
By:
Copenhagen27
When: 02 Mar 12 10:32
Novak win the trophy for the fourth time.
By:
jin_kazz
When: 02 Mar 12 10:32
but in 2nd set berdy choked at the end. game 4 and 5 in his serve were horrible. he made 2-3 ridiculous USs and 1 df in every of these games
By:
jin_kazz
When: 02 Mar 12 10:33
I meant UEs
By:
Copenhagen27
When: 02 Mar 12 10:34
Jin is spot on
By:
rickysomas1
When: 02 Mar 12 10:36
Yes Berdych would probably serve way better vs a Granollers, a Kubot or anybody else.... but even Tipsy would have take that tie break vs anybody else... I don't think djoko will cruise through this one... maybe we'll have 2 sets but I don't think we'll think we'll have to wait an hour between this match and Roger's one...
By:
rickysomas1
When: 02 Mar 12 10:36
sorry for english tilting Laugh
By:
Topper Harley
When: 02 Mar 12 10:47
Imo this can go either way pretty easily which I think will be determined in the 3rd set.  Going to be a very tight affair for me.  My bets have got to be

Over 21.5 games @ 1.7
Tie Break Played? Yes @ 1.8
Lay Djoko @ 1.37 to (back)trade out @ evens
Back Murray @ 3.7 to (lay)trade out @ evens

May lay 2 sets or Djoko 2-0 as well, looking at stats just now.

Good luck all, hopefully get some spare time at work to watch this Happy
By:
bwinnnn
When: 02 Mar 12 10:53
Djokovic to start at 100% and break murray, then make his own game, and maybe then breaks again. Quote me if it not goes like I said
By:
bwinnnn
When: 02 Mar 12 10:59
Market will get crazy and big traders will just think "LAY" Nole and lose a % of his account money
By:
rickysomas1
When: 02 Mar 12 11:01
so you think 20 easy for Nole?
By:
wilson1
When: 02 Mar 12 11:03
anyone think over 21.5 games is a good bet?
By:
bwinnnn
When: 02 Mar 12 11:06
easy ricky.. I really can't see Murray winning here
By:
Topper Harley
When: 02 Mar 12 11:07
Can't understand all this over confidence for Djoko from some today, he finished off a woeful Tipsa with difficulty yesterday where as Murray Never looked in any trouble against a far better player in Berdych.

By all means Djoko should be fav - but 1.37 Laugh NA!

Some need to take into account this is a minor 500 tournament, the loss of a few games could see either player give it 50% less to save themselves for the big ones this month, it could easily happen to Djoko - seen it from him before.
By:
bwinnnn
When: 02 Mar 12 11:07
Even a lay at 1,38 djokovic is very very bad lay. If you don't trust me, let's see the first set when djokovic breaks murray and the same at the second
By:
;[p
When: 02 Mar 12 11:15
1.39 is a nice lay. djokvic always have problem with murray recently and the price is a joke. doesnt matter how bad murry played(beat berdy in formCrazy) nobody expect him to play top level against some mugs. this match is different. murray will be borken but he will be breaking serb as well. thinking taht it will be easy for serb is extremely naive

maybe he wont win it today but 1.39 or so is a good shot to lay here
By:
bwinnnn
When: 02 Mar 12 11:22
then better to lay when he is a break down.. because a 1,40 lay is no value no value
By:
Topper Harley
When: 02 Mar 12 11:31
1.4 will be great value lay when Djoko hits 2 imo.
By:
;[p
When: 02 Mar 12 11:32
meybe he willl be break up?

layed some at sp and will lay bit more when he go down, but im not gonna watch it so its more simple punt from me


gl all
By:
Topper Harley
When: 02 Mar 12 11:33
You gona trade out or let it ride?
By:
Laymyegg1
When: 02 Mar 12 11:59
odds low on djok i think cause of murray knee injury (which i think is rubbish). I think the odds should be closer
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