Riki "The Mug" Thread....

managed to void loss on thi silly bet on Berlocq.... I wanna make this a bit more interesting thought.... after every day I'll post the target for that day and the closing bank of the day... I'll always talk about percentages... I'll post the day number too so that you can have a clear idea of what I'm doing....

starting date was: Thursday, 1 March 2012

days to go: 900
date: Thursday, 1 March 2012
target bank: 101,00%
real closing bank: 126,32%

Today
DTG: 811
Date: Tuesday, 29 May 2012
Target bank: 244,86%
real closing bank: 360,29%

nowadays once I stake a 10/10 I'm staking 7,37% of current bank

7,37% of current bank is = to 26,56% of starting bank

I'm confused still mate... i guess you don't want to say but we don't know if your talking about £1000,s or £100's

I would assume your into the £1000's now if it's going well.

I'm on my way to £5,000 but taken some out of the pot but it's still in my bank account.

surely it's not a problem for you if I'm talking about cents or hundreds.... is it? No, nevermind then.... keep on reading if you think this is interesting for you....

Not trying to offend mate just interested.

Isner tomorrow 1.2 looks alright.

Thoughts?

Mathieu can be a problem playing home... I'm gonna decide tomorrow checking the odd once more... he'll maybe be a bit higher than 1.2... but can even belower... I don't like staking my money on matches hours/a day before they begin...

Del Potro over Roger Vasselin - Roland Garros, Clay, 2° Round
10/10 at 1,06

Berdych over Llodra - Roland Garros, Clay, 2° Round
10/10 at 1,13

Bartoli over Martic - Roland Garros, Clay, 2° Round
10/10 at 1,55

Del Potro over Roger Vasselin - Roland Garros, Clay, 2° Round
10/10 at 1,08


Berdych over Llodra - Roland Garros, Clay, 2° Round
10/10 at 1,14

what makes you sure about Delboy's knee?

imo vasellin to cover handicap is a better shot and better odds

@bb66: the market, odds, money involved in the market...

@addrian: 63 63 62 is a result which doesn't look far from truth here imo... if we have a fit Del Potro this can be a massacre for Roger Vasselin...

u are right everything is possible..i will tale my chances with this bet:)

Good Luck.. let's hope for a 64 64 64 then

didnt start well for me:( we will see later

here it is....

Marion you'd better play the whole match next time instead of starting playing at 26 02*

Tsonga over Stebe - Roland Garros, Clay, 2° Round
10/10 at 1,07

yesterday
DTG: 810
Date: Wednesday, 30 May 2012
Target bank: 247,31%
real closing bank: 340,35%

Tsonga bet pending....

I'll try to get a level up from today on... we'll see what will happen....

1. Tsonga over Stebe - Roland Garros, Clay, 2° Round
10/10 at 1,07 pending from yesterday
  5/10 at 1,22 additional stake

2. Monaco over Rosol - Roland Garros, Clay, 3° Round
   5/10 at 1,16
   5/10 at 1,32 ( position opened prematch, if it gets matched bet will increase, otherwise stake on this event will be 5/10 )

3. Murray over Nieminen - Roland Garros, Clay, 3° Round
   5/10 at 1,07
   5/10 at 1,13

4. Almagro over Baghdatis - Roland Garros, Clay, 3° Round
   5/10 at 1,13
   5/10 at 1,27

1. the bets you post here for today are 2nd rd

2. I can't see money staked on Almugro @1.27 and Monaco @1.32

hello ricky

what means the second price like 1,27 by mugro?

if the price will be higher inplay?

it means to put up stake to be matched in play

yeah bb66 is right... I've noticed that specially in slam events they start like " i have to finish warm up giving up on points and so on" market thinks that "they don't care" like Del Potro yesterday.. this attitude often brings them even to lose a set ( just check Tsonga, Federer, Del Potro, Tipsarevic.... ) or a service game ( Almagro vs Lorenzi for example )... this break/set will drive the odd crazy but honestly a dog who wins a set in best of 5 match is nto that close to win... I'll let this technique work for a while and we'll check if it works better than simpl prematch betting...

but I still can't see those bets put up.

What about Kerber a break down, 1.34 should be a gift?

Govortsova is powerfull thought... but Kerber should come back... I fell more confident on ATP tbh... I could not even see Del Potro getting higher yesterday... or Tsonga.... will see what happens.... I'm curious...

Isner over Mathieu - Roland Garros, Clay, 2° Round
5/10 at 1,27
5/10 at 1,54

Murray topping bet matched....

5/10 more on Murray at 4

if there's one thing I can't handle right it's matches with injured players (Razzano proved it), I won't get involved in tthe Mugray match

it's all about money managemant... I'm in the position I can daer this bet... and I'm thinking abuot letting it run...

am I mad? Maybe yes... I let it run.... Good Luck everybody... I'm on 15/10 on Murray like this:

5/10 at 1,07
10/10 at 2,37

good luck ricky, seems like you might be ok

tbh if I was involved I would green out at least if he goes break up in 3rd set - injury can worsen all the time

bb66 if you don't overstake you're not that scared about losing a single bet.... "core business" is money management...

ricky again it would have been a lot more profitable to lay murray and trade...the same thing yesterday with delpo..I think its easier and very low liability just to lay this 1,08 shots especially with players like murray..

addrian I will never on Earth lay Murray or Del Potro risking my own money hoping in a supposed injury.... that's just crazy.... No, thanks....

it would have been more profitable on this match... it would have been 100% loss on many others....

don't ask me when and how but Monaco topping up bet got matched too....

rickysomas1 • May 31, 2012 11:13 AM BST
it's all about money managemant.

+1

and to avoid WTA

probably you are right.... according to my stats for the moment yes it is... I'm curious to understand when my top up on Monaco got matched... any idea? First set breaker surely?

improving my excel file.... it's getting closer and closer to a NASA file....

wta numbers are just ridicolous if compared to Soccer and ATP tennis....

but I love those girls .... and with this new technique there can be a surpise at the end of June... we'll see....

TB on Isner matched... I doubt Nico's one will be matched from here on...

Isner lost to his Ues number... nevermind... move on... time for May numbers!!!

Stats updated till May:

Winners 218/290
Hitting Rate 75,17%
Average winning odd 1,40
ROI % = 6,75%
ROI Index = 2,638
New Bank ( starting bank = 100% ) = 363,82%

ATP stats

winners 84/105
Hitting Rate 80,00%
average winning odd 1,39
ROI % = 10,39%

Soccer stats

winners 62/81
Hitting Rate 76,54%
average winning odd 1,51
ROI% = 15,16%

Wta stats

winners 69/95
Htting Rate 72,63%
average winning odd 1,38
ROI % = -3,83%

Targets stats:

First Target for May = 249,79%

Second Target for May = 337,50%

Current Bank = 363,82%

Both missions accomplished... still have to improve WTA ROI ( at least turning it into a green one ), impressed about ATP and soccer results... hope June will give me similar numbers.... Good Luck everybody

sorry I missed a thing:

yesterday it was Thursday, 31 May 2012

808 days to go including today....

Berdych over Anderson - Roland Garros, Clay, 3° Round
5/10 at 1,06
5/10 at 1,19

A. Radwanska over Kuznetsova - Roland Garros, Clay, 3° Round
5/10 at 1,21
5/10at 1,71

Ivanovic over Errani - Roland Garros, Clay, 3° Round
5/10 at 1,44
5/10 at 1,95

Tsonga over Fognini - Roland Garros, Clay, 3° Round
5/10 at 1,21
5/10 at 1,71

Morning

"808 days to go including today."

To go?

155% over the target for May,Excellent month for me

To go = to the end of the experiment...

well done on your May swebih...

Verdasco over Seppi - Roland Garros, Clay, 3° Round
5/10 at 1,39
5/10 at 2,14

okej rycky,just missed time of experiment.

what is the target (%)and for how many days?

keep up mate, gl

1% average bank increase for 900 days

ty bb66

thanks

gl

I have a 4 fold multiple bet



Del Potro v Cilic
Juan Martin Del Potro -Match Odds 1.32
Anderson v Berdych
Tomas Berdych -Match Odds 1.06
A Radwanska v Kuznetsova
Agnieszka Radwanska -Match Odds 1.21
Petrova v Stosur
Samantha Stosur -Match Odds 1.35
Multiples Stake per bet Profit
4 Folds (1) $62.00 $80.00

June you're welcome.... LOL I'd better stay in the bed this morning.... LOL

4 fold blown cuz of one b1tch named radwanska

Pennetta over Kerber - Roland Garros, Clay, 3° Round
2/10 at 2,64


Petrova over Stosur - Roland Garros, Clay, 3° Round
2/10 at 3,71

let's see what happens backing everygirl I think has a chance to win.,... litlle stake... many bets... many dogs probably to come.... hopefully to win too... we'll see... good luck...

do you have any stat for WTA bets?

Wta stats

winners 69/95
Htting Rate 72,63%
average winning odd 1,38
ROI % = -3,83%

but Aggie and Ana were not included.... LOL the WTA PUNTER... a couple of posts above you can check every stat of this experiment...

Petrova winning it easily

reduced the Verdasco topping up odd at 1,81... ( I've missed the Tsonga one cause of being geredy )... moving to the alps in a couple minutes... c you boys...

hi ricky!one more time with those law

you in italy you have betfair.it?and the people how can bet in betfair.com if the law prohibits bets in .com

the law would be exacly like in italy but i don t understand how can you bet on .com

who have called custom service?in itlay or englad?and how it s possible to bet on .com?

just calll customer service... the spanish one... they'll explain you how to do it...

Lost on Azarenka through the w.end.... I seriously need a solution for WTA bets.... LOL

Won win Ferrer over Youzhny and Almagro over L. Mayer


Tsonga over Wawrinka from 4*2 0 0 5th Set - Roland Garros, Clay, 4th Round
10/10 at 1,18

Zakopalova over Sharapova - Roland Garros, Clay, 4th Round
2/10 at 14,78

Shvedova over Li - Roland Garros, Clay, 4th Round
2/10 at 6,89


Lepchenko over Kvitova - Roland Garros, Clay, 4th Round
2/10 at 5,37


Rus over Kanepi - Roland Garros, Clay, 4th Round
2/10 at 4,80

maybe not the right day to start the "new WTA technique" but I wanna turn WTA ROI into a +5,00% one... and now it's -10,24%... will see.... Good Luck

WTA DOG-betting system is on paper only

real wta bet:


Kvitova over Lepchenko - Roland Garros, Clay, 4th Round
2/10 at 1,19

will you post your stats regularlarly, and in which intervals?

glad your bet on Zako is only on paper, but I'd stay away from Kvito - not saying she won't win, but odds are crappy

about paper betting you mean? I'll maybe post them weekly for a month... just to check what happens during June backing everyWTAdog....

Big WTA dogs I remember in this Roland Garros:
1. Mattek Sands over Lisicki at 3.4
2. Martic over Bartoli at 2.6
3. M. Sanchez over Safarova at 3.00
4. Kuzzy over Aggie at 5.00
5. Errani over Ivanovic at 3.4
6. Errani over Kuzzy at 2.7
7. Cibu over Aza 3.3
8. Davis over Barthel at 9
9. Arvidsson over Vinci at 3.00
10. Razzano over Serena at 25.00
11. Zakopalova over Kirilenko at 2.6
12. Lepchenko over JJ at 2.7
13. Lepchenko over Schiavone at 2.9
14. Rus over Goerges at 4.6
15. Kanepi over Wozzi at 2.7

and this are only the ones I can remember... last week I can remember Stephens beating Kirilenko at 5 and Panova over Barthel at 10....

this "game" will be interesting imo.... we'll see... it will last at least for June....

no, I meant your regular stats, like you did last Friday

everymonth

well done Jo

Li over Shvedova - Roland Garros, Clay, 4° Round
2/10 at 1,18

voiding Kvitova one....

Li over Shvedova - Roland Garros, Clay, 4° Round
topped up at 1,39 with 2/10

Li over Shvedova - Roland Garros, Clay, 4° Round
8/10 at 1,65 in play 2/10 prematch...

10/10 more on Li..... at 4,2

dont

LOL getting burnt here....

Jesus.... what a loss for Li Na..... I need to start a new thread cause of loading times.... I'll report my current bank there... stats will go on taking into account every bet I had on here......

maybe not the only win for your WTA-dogs test, but if you want to make it a serious test I don't understand why you bet the opposite with regular money?

LOL nice one bb66... I'm stopping WTA real bets probably fot the whole month of June indeed....