Tennis
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17 Feb 12
08:40
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20 Jul 10
I know he has a perfect record against Nieminen but still i think the times when Federer was a 1.07 shot and lower against his fellow top 50 players are long gone now...we are not in 2006 anymore, so every time i see a price like this now i only see value in laying him..
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Replies: 114
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somebody told me last week that Roger himself and Mats Wilander said talking about Roger Federer: "Federer is a better and complete player now than he was in 2006, that's why we have to admit that Novak is something extraordinary for sure..." No bet in this one for me.... a 20 is 90% sure here in my opinion...
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as soon as you mentioned the name Mats Wilander i quit reading on....
you dont know what is the safest way to make long term profits in betting, do you? just Wilander's predictions and you cant miss, i guarantee it. I think my grandmother who doesnt even know what tennis is, would have got more picks correct if she was just guessing who will win in Australia recently. Seriously, you would go bankrupt by following that numpty. |
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lay Wilanders predictions*
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ahahahahh really? :D I didn't notice it.... I'm not saying we should follow Wilander :D :D I'm saying probably Roger will walk over Nieminen as he had done over the Soldier ( ex soldier, I personally love Mika's new beard looking).... even if he'll have to play tennis to do that....
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If 2-0 is 90% sure then surely there is a lot of value in backing that at 1.31? Using Kelly Criterion you should be betting around 58% of your bank!
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Nieminien? NO NO! He almost lost to KUBOT. And Kubot is a Polish mug. The greates mug ever. It should be 2 setter for Federer.
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It was a statement just to underline I really think Roger will take this in two... I don't bet on sets at the moment cause I'm studying another strategy...... I donn't even know what Kelly Criterion is... it might be interesting to know something about it... isn't it?
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Do some reasearch and it is easy to see fed will win 2-0.
they have played 12 times with 12 wins for fed. nieminem has only won 1 set out of 1 set out of 25. of those 25 sets only have even reach a breaker. go large on fed 2-0. it's as certain as u get in betting. sometimes players have good matches up against certain opponents. [u]back fed 2-0 down to 1.25[/u] where da reefer at? |
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research*
1 set out of 25* only 3 have reached tb* |
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I forgot to add Nieminem if Finnish.
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And before you start to mention federer's age, it is worth noting nieminen is the same age.
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only thing that concerns me, the set Fed lost was in their last match in Basel 2011
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Sharkko was on fire in Basel. It was a final wasn't it?
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Nieminen is finish and injured. NAP
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it was 2nd rd in Basel (after beating Bellucci in 1st)
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does anyone know if jarkko has retired
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Jarkko is not injured! He said yesterday "Tomorrow's quarterfinal will be against Federer, that will be in the evening. It's always great to play against him and it's nice to get back to the center court (I played my first match there as well) because there is always big crowd there. This tournament has actually been sold out from Wednesday on... and about 13 000 can fit to the center court, pretty impressive."
Still IMO Fed-Ex will take this 2-0, but I´m considering to take Nieminen +5.5... |
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must be very desprate to back federer at 1.08
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What odds would you say are good odds for Most Aces in this match?
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stockinho. 17 Feb 12 17:55
must be very desprate to back federer at 1.08 should be 1,01 |
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I dont want to have 1.05s on the most aces market, but I think Federer's odds on it should be 1.1s. Anyone agree?
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federer could lose with anybody nowdays, especially when is not motivated
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probably not today, but 1.07- 1.08 is ridiculous
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Of course, Federer had no second round match because Youzhny didnt play, so he will not be as tired as Nieminen who has just played two matches involving deciding sets.
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I predict 7-5 6-2
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maybe 1st set TB... seen Fed do that plenty of times for match practice
 7-6 6-3 for me |
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Have turned Kermit off, nearly as bad as the Brazil Open woman.
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I'm on fed straight sets at 1.33 that is a gift.
I predict 6-4 6-3 federer. let's go federer let's go! |
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Federer has started quickly, not sure if Nieminen can match this for long.
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very stupid market
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+5.5
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I'm not impressed with Roger so far, seems to be missing some pace on the shots
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Federer needs to learn to get the ball over the net
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howcan be mugerer 1.06 when he hardly can have a decent mood for tennis
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Chill it's early days, Nieminen will be broken at the business end of the set in game 7 or game 9.
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Pretty shocking from Fed so far
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1.14 now :)...much better
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lay!
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I dont think he is playing badly, but his return of serve could do with improvement.
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