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rickysomas1
16 Feb 12 08:04
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Date Joined: 02 Nov 04
| Topic/replies: 8,278 | Blogger: rickysomas1's blog
...I think Seppi hasn't enough to trouble Philipp..... Kohli is just better in: serve, forehand, backhand, athletics.... and also leads 32 H2H... Last meeting was last year in Doha it has been a mess for Andreas.... Kohli won 62 64... No italian chances here... any opinion?

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Replies: 142
By:
gaekwon
When: 16 Feb 12 08:32
kohli should win but so unpredictable
btw, is he drifting now?  wasn't he 1.47 or something just an hour ago?
By:
rickysomas1
When: 16 Feb 12 08:36
Gaekwon.... he went 1,65.... he is getting back now.... ;) I've bought 1,63..... so happy with that :)
By:
Leibst
When: 16 Feb 12 08:54
big bet for Kohli, i dont like this kind o bets but i need to risk, im loosing too much opportunities like this only cause prefer not to risk. fear?
so Khol, please have a good day and win. Wink
By:
Olmo
When: 16 Feb 12 09:36
Kohli will be reading this topic before he bets in this match.
Just consider his total gain winning this match in two sets, $1,000? $2,000? Why win in two sets and win $2,000 when you can win in three sets and win $10,000 betting during the match (obviously with external assistance)? Do you really think tennis players are idiots? See how many matches are finishing in two sets. Why a very favourite players usually wins in three sets? See Belluci against Mello yesterday. He wins the first set 6-0 and loses the second 6-1 (obviously he won the third one 6-3 without risking his round).
You can find this behaviour in all tennis players without a top 20 aspiration. They just play tennis to earn money, so they will always try to find the biggest risk/return staff through the bookmakers. Do you think this makes sense? Not betting a lot, just a little (compared to the bet volumes all matches have) doesn't make you suspicious and can help tennis players without a top 20 profile to inflate their earnings perhaps up the 4X.
Does it make sense?
By:
rickysomas1
When: 16 Feb 12 09:41
Olmo it doesn't imo... have you ever played a single tennis point?
By:
tommyhaas
When: 16 Feb 12 09:41
Olmo can't agree!I simply do not believe he has the domination to control such an outcome-especially against Seppi
By:
tommyhaas
When: 16 Feb 12 09:47
Olmo -Somebody in News Corporation will grass him up,or anyone,found doing this kind of thing -particulary at this level.
By:
rickysomas1
When: 16 Feb 12 09:48
when you read my question olmo.... two different answers:
1) Yes, you played a tennis point. Well you surely know
how difficult it is to be focused on every point and how more difficult it is to play key points like break points and so on.
Do you think player are able to control matches? How come Nishikori won over Tsonga then? And that is just an example.... Tsonga is world top 10 and coulsn't control little japanese smashed out of the court by Karlovic?
2) No, you never played a tennis point. I can tell you
how difficult it is to be focused on every point and how more difficult it is to play key points like break points and so on.
Do you think player are able to control matches? How come Nishikori won over Tsonga then? And that is just an example.... Tsonga is world top 10 and coulsn't control little japanese smashed out of the court by Karlovic?

GL with your bets :) :)
By:
Leibst
When: 16 Feb 12 09:52
Olmo then you will be rich betting to this kind of games in 3 sets. gl
i cant imagine Kohl reading here Crazy
By:
rickysomas1
When: 16 Feb 12 09:59
Kohli is not warming up, he has to read olmo's posts :D :D amazing :D :D
By:
Olmo
When: 16 Feb 12 09:59
Rickysomas1, I don't know if you play tennis. I do, and really think you don't need a special skill to manage the situation when you play against "bad" players. Perhaps this match is not the best example for my consideration above (you're right Tommyhaas), but be sure that during the match, if Kohli sees he can manage the situation, he will be betting (and this is also valid for Seppi, very suspicious for me to have this kind of  behaviour) 
What I want to say with that reasoning is the extreme risk you face when you trade during the matches. Only top 20 and top 20 rookies (like Raonic) are reliable. The rest are not and it's very hard to find value without accounting that tennis players usually bet.
By:
tinkyvinky
When: 16 Feb 12 10:00
kohly inform atm for sure
By:
rickysomas1
When: 16 Feb 12 10:05
Yes yes Olmo, Kohli said a friend: "If I hit 2 DFs in a row lay me big, when I start hitting ace back me" come on be serious... if you tell what and when a player bets without aftertiming even once you're a genius....
Secondo it wil be easy for Kohli yto manage it of course, but if he plays me!!! Imagine you trade on your own match, you hit a double fault not on purpose and the other guy hits a winner, you are 0 30 and maybe it's third deciding set.... come on...let's talk about tennis..... tennis only please ;) ;)
By:
Olmo
When: 16 Feb 12 10:07
Rickysomas1, you may also read carefully, i'm only talking about players without a top 20 aspiration. This excludes Nishikori- Tsonga from your analysis.
By:
SIR_Bond
When: 16 Feb 12 10:07
kohly looks a good price to me?
By:
Tgkaplan1970
When: 16 Feb 12 10:08
two mugs
By:
Leibst
When: 16 Feb 12 10:09
just imagine that Seppi is also trading!!!! Excited
By:
rickysomas1
When: 16 Feb 12 10:09
Sir I agree.....Odd is long....

Olm oI can't agree... End of discussion... GL obviously :) :)
By:
fantenisa
When: 16 Feb 12 10:10
it will be wta style! Is Kohli healthy anyway?
By:
rickysomas1
When: 16 Feb 12 10:14
come on Philipp! :)
By:
RogerFerrero
When: 16 Feb 12 10:14
Isn't the market amazing...

SP 1.58. 15-00  --> 1.52.
By:
Tgkaplan1970
When: 16 Feb 12 10:15
fix marquet
only 1 winner filipo the german mug
By:
rickysomas1
When: 16 Feb 12 10:16
is this match on Supertennis?
By:
rickysomas1
When: 16 Feb 12 10:16
at RogerFerrero I backed 1,63 prematch, trade out at 1,53 at 15 0 :D :D gorgeus :D :D
By:
Tgkaplan1970
When: 16 Feb 12 10:17
ricky you need be more agressive
poorhouse coming
By:
Olmo
When: 16 Feb 12 10:17
End of discussion Rickysomas, just tried to put some light that helped me. GL also.
I wouldn't bet in this match. No value at all.
By:
RogerFerrero
When: 16 Feb 12 10:18
1.32
By:
Tgkaplan1970
When: 16 Feb 12 10:18
back 1,63
lay 1,53
you won small money


if you repeat this in 10 matches---> red day
By:
RogerFerrero
When: 16 Feb 12 10:18
mug shot from mugchreiber.
By:
Tgkaplan1970
When: 16 Feb 12 10:19
back 1,63

you need lay 1,07
By:
RogerFerrero
When: 16 Feb 12 10:21
why 1.07... ?
By:
Tgkaplan1970
When: 16 Feb 12 10:22
or 1,08 1,09
By:
RogerFerrero
When: 16 Feb 12 10:22
First serves: 17% vs 38%
Can somebody teach them!?
By:
RogerFerrero
When: 16 Feb 12 10:22
Seppi is just a mug. :)
By:
rickysomas1
When: 16 Feb 12 10:22
back 1,63
lay 1,53
you won small money


if you repeat this in 10 matches---> red day

I do it 3/4 times a day and always traded out since now, so no loss....
By:
Tgkaplan1970
When: 16 Feb 12 10:22
repeat

make this in 10 matches ( back 1,63 lay 1,53 ) ---> red day
By:
Tgkaplan1970
When: 16 Feb 12 10:23
ricky

NO

gl
By:
bwinnnn
When: 16 Feb 12 10:23
darlo big mug here
By:
Leibst
When: 16 Feb 12 10:24
greened out thanks Phillip!
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