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five leaves left
10 May 22 18:51
Joined:
Date Joined: 24 Dec 05
| Topic/replies: 114,001 | Blogger: five leaves left's blog
Not sure how much interest there will be but here we go anyway

Running Order

Albania: Ronela Hajati – Sekret
Latvia: Citi Zēni – Eat Your Salad
Lithuania: Monika Liu – Sentimentai
Switzerland: Marius Bear – Boys Do Cry
Slovenia: LPS – Disko
Ukraine: Kalush Orchestra – Stefania
Bulgaria: Intelligent Music Project – Intention
Netherlands: S10 – De Diepte
Moldova: Zdob şi Zdub & Advahov Brothers – Trenulețul
Portugal: MARO – Saudade, Saudade
Croatia: Mia Dimšić – Guilty Pleasure
Denmark: REDDI – The Show
Austria: LUM!X feat. Pia Maria – Halo
Iceland: Systur – Með Hækkandi Sól
Greece: Amanda Georgiadi Tenfjord – Die Together
Norway: Subwoolfer – Give That Wolf A Banana
Armenia: Rosa Linn – Snap
Pause Switch to Standard View *** Eurovision 1st Semi Final IR...
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Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 8:10 PM BST
Get on with it!
Report timbuctooth May 10, 2022 8:10 PM BST
What can I say, fll! Just another ESC phuck-up from me. But they haven`t won yet and, win or lose, it`s a mad price, just has to be taken on.
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 8:15 PM BST
like a joke act on BGT
Report timbuctooth May 10, 2022 8:19 PM BST
One of the BeeGees on keyboard
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 8:21 PM BST
was that the wiggles
Report timbuctooth May 10, 2022 8:23 PM BST
Lith by far the best so far
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 8:25 PM BST
I nearly nodded off..
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 8:27 PM BST
I prefer this. though apparently he duffed a few notes last night
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 8:35 PM BST
This is proper dire Cry
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 8:36 PM BST
I like the flute. The rest not great. Not a massive response
Report Escapee May 10, 2022 8:38 PM BST
Pink Hat Buddhist gangster rap wins?

lol, I'm to old for thisCrazy

G'luck
Report timbuctooth May 10, 2022 8:39 PM BST
Oh my word! Is that IT??? That`embarrassment is 1.7? Gonna need unmerciful amounts of emotion-driven votes, yet does nothing to engage anybody. Disjointed tosh, red and black from start to finish, LAY!!!!!!!!
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 8:39 PM BST
no market change. perhaps laterCrazy
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 8:44 PM BST
a drift hopefully..
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 8:45 PM BST
damb burst flood i hope.
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 8:47 PM BST
S10 LoveLove
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 8:47 PM BST
i'm liking this
Report timbuctooth May 10, 2022 8:49 PM BST
Don`t know if Ukraine`s camerawork will be the same in the final, (IF they qualify!), but tonight`s was pretty dire, further alienating any emotional response. The drift`s on, and quite rightly so, 12% already in just minutes
Report timbuctooth May 10, 2022 8:50 PM BST
Loving Moldova!
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 8:51 PM BST
a real toe tapper
Report Escapee May 10, 2022 8:52 PM BST
well I just laid Moldova to qualify £50 @ 1.21
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 8:53 PM BST
So dad, so dad Plain
Report timbuctooth May 10, 2022 8:58 PM BST
Drift over already, back where it started, WTF?
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:02 PM BST
Tellystats crashed Cry
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:02 PM BST
Tellystats crashed Cry
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 9:04 PM BST
ok here..
Report Escapee May 10, 2022 9:06 PM BST
Denmark: music to slash your wrists to
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:06 PM BST
All the figures re-set but now they're back

I thought he'd done it intentionally to take all our money Sad
Report timbuctooth May 10, 2022 9:07 PM BST
More Suzi Quattro than Osbourne
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 9:08 PM BST
Best to do your own twitter stats bear
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:08 PM BST
Tellystats has made me lazy
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:09 PM BST
Tiktok has 18k viewers,, what a waste of time that's turned out to be
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 9:09 PM BST
Laugh
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 9:10 PM BST
not surprising, as most videos on there last less than a minute
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:11 PM BST
They're livestreaming it..... to the world,,
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:12 PM BST
I hope these qualify,
Report timbuctooth May 10, 2022 9:14 PM BST
I think bf has crashed too, must have frozen, as Ukraine are still 1.7
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 9:14 PM BST
sucking up to hems again Wink
Report Escapee May 10, 2022 9:15 PM BST
Iceland, they're all crazy smiling like they just had pickled fish and are looking forward to a desert of reindeer testicles
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:16 PM BST
Austria, not this lot
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:17 PM BST
Amanda Love
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 9:19 PM BST
cheery song
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:21 PM BST
I actually like Norway Laugh
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 9:23 PM BST
it's actually not a bad song
Report timbuctooth May 10, 2022 9:23 PM BST
LSD, I suspect
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 9:29 PM BST
Love Armenia Love
Report Escapee May 10, 2022 9:36 PM BST
this is what the market looks like after all semi 1 performances


Semi Final 1 -- To Qualify                    £474,800 Matched


-£0 Ukraine    - - -   1.01   1.05   7   £42,678
                    £3,003 £20 £218  
-£0 Greece    - - -   1.01   1.02   1.05   £10,288
                    £1,281 £1,388 £21  
-£0 Norway    - 1.01 1.02   1.04   1.05   1.18   £43,243
            £2 £2,277     £80 £35 £10  
-£0 Netherlands    - 1.01 1.02   1.04   1.05   1.08   £35,278
            £382 £462     £65 £1,725 £23  
-£0 Armenia    1.01 1.02 1.06   1.07   1.1   -   £46,115
        £38 £867 £325     £6 £807      
-£0 Portugal    1.03 1.04 1.05   1.07   1.08   1.09   £70,421
        £190 £45 £445     £1,746 £234 £28  
-£11 Moldova    1.07 1.08 1.09   1.1   1.12   1.13   £41,323
        £15 £17 £142     £7 £783 £22  
-£0 Albania    1.35 1.4 1.41   1.43   1.44   1.5   £59,811
        £9 £183 £101     £148 £100 £200  
-£0 Latvia    2.2 2.22 2.24   2.38   2.4   2.42   £34,384
        £20 £10 £30     £15 £2 £43  
-£0 Austria    1.12 1.18 1.8   1.9   1.93   2   £23,360
        £1,008 £500 £5     £2 £194 £229  
-£0 Switzerland    2.94 3.05 3.1   3.25   3.3   3.35   £30,237
        £3 £115 £226     £49 £28 £8  
-£0 Iceland    2.66 2.7 2.8   3.05   3.1   3.15   £7,763
        £17 £15 £2     £6 £6 £20  
-£0 Lithuania    1.75 1.82 1.83   2   2.1   2.16   £7,702
        £1,038 £45 £21     £1 £6 £4  
-£0 Croatia    3.35 3.45 3.5   3.6   3.65   3.85   £13,426
        £3 £20 £106     £36 £2 £5  
-£0 Denmark    3.4 3.8 3.85   4.7   4.8   5   £5,823
        £50 £7 £4     £3 £6 £2  
-£0 Slovenia    19 21 22   30   32   80   £1,429
        £8 £8 £20     £43 £103 £12  
£70 Bulgaria    4.2 6.2 7.2   10   10.5   11.5   £1,519
        £9 £7 £63     £2 £4 £6  
Report Escapee May 10, 2022 9:38 PM BST
my P&L has come out skewed
laid Moldova & backed Bulgaria
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 9:45 PM BST
Ukraine 1.68
Report Escapee May 10, 2022 9:49 PM BST
Ukraine 1.68

but the backers money has all but disappeared, they're cacking themselves if Ukraine doesn't win semi 1
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 9:52 PM BST
Top on social media stats but not by much. ITA, UK and SWE could well beat it on those measures in the final
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 9:54 PM BST
..not that the money buyers will know or care
Report Escapee May 10, 2022 9:55 PM BST
If Ukraine win semi 1, what will their price in the outright drop to ? 1.4? 1.2 maybe.
If they don't win semi 1 it'll be chaos in main market
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 9:55 PM BST
If they draw first half expect market meltdown
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:56 PM BST
We won't know Escapee
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 9:56 PM BST
Not till Late Saturday night
Report Cider May 10, 2022 9:58 PM BST
It will light up twatter when the casuals tune in. The moves on the first few jury scores will be mental. Could easily be 1.2 or 3.5
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 9:59 PM BST
True cider. I suspect the much bigger audience will see UKR do better on the sm front
Report Cider May 10, 2022 10:05 PM BST
fwiw I've seen most of the front runners now, I like Italy and Sweden. I'm much deeper into this than I was planning, can't get rid of the bug I guess, and what looks like an incorrect price. Played EW t4 those two and laid Ukr as I feel it's more likely to go out on the jury reveal. There is potential for the price to depress further when the whales see the twitter numbers on Saturday, I will go in deeper if so.
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 10:06 PM BST
wd hems Cool
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 10:06 PM BST
some surprises
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 10:07 PM BST
big surprises
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 10:07 PM BST
i'm lolling at a certain persons Top 10 Laugh
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 10:07 PM BST
POR Love
Report Cider May 10, 2022 10:08 PM BST
only one small bet on tonight, laid alb tq
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 10:08 PM BST
looking good cider
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 10:09 PM BST
Cool
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 10:10 PM BST
CoolLove
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 10:10 PM BST
Lovely. Layed ALB and LAT
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 10:11 PM BST
Layed NED too for fun @1.02
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 10:12 PM BST
MUG
Report Cider May 10, 2022 10:13 PM BST
n1 fig

those thunder thighs very unappealing, too aggressive and awful vocal.
Report Cider May 10, 2022 10:14 PM BST
more of the subtle stuff done well interestingly, Ice, Lith, Ned.
Report Cider May 10, 2022 10:15 PM BST
Sweden is superior
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 10:18 PM BST
cheers cider. POR too did well. Very good sm stats
Report five leaves left May 10, 2022 10:19 PM BST
but agree, SWE best of the female 'ballads'
Report Danzaa May 10, 2022 10:23 PM BST
I had to reset the Twitter stats quick cos I'd forgotten to add Croatia to the contestants list, had to quickly recalibrate.
Report bearcub May 10, 2022 10:26 PM BST
Cheers Danz

If possible could you order them in appearance order, saves me looking up and down .. Mischief
Report Danzaa May 10, 2022 10:35 PM BST

May 10, 2022 -- 9:08PM, bearcub wrote:


Tellystats has made me lazy


Hahaha, see above.

Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 10:42 PM BST
Switzerland draw 1st half
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 10:44 PM BST
7 first half and 12 sceond half slots left
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 10:46 PM BST
Armenia first half draw
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 10:51 PM BST
Iceland 2nd half
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 10:55 PM BST
Lithuania 2nd half
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 10:58 PM BST
Portugal first half
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 10:59 PM BST
5 first half and 10 second half left. more chance for Ukraine to draw second half
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 11:09 PM BST
Norway first half
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 11:12 PM BST
Greece 2nd half
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 11:15 PM BST
Ukraine first half, market drift
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 11:20 PM BST
Moldova 2nd half
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 11:23 PM BST
Netherlands first half
Report Corbyguy May 10, 2022 11:45 PM BST
and Ukraine are now coming in again 1.75 almost back to where it was at start of semi final
Report timbuctooth May 10, 2022 11:58 PM BST
They hit 1.9 a few minutes after the draw
Report Lifter May 11, 2022 9:32 AM BST
Market isn't rational at all.
Report Lifter May 11, 2022 9:32 AM BST
No drift after 1st half draw amongst those songs? Good luck
Report leroyb May 11, 2022 12:18 PM BST
3 point drift on Italy overnight!! that based on draw or rumours from jury panels I wonder?
Report leroyb May 11, 2022 12:19 PM BST
Ukraines song is dreadful imo after Saturday I will never listen to it again.
Report timbuctooth May 11, 2022 10:16 PM BST
Italy`s drift will be mostly down to Ukraine shortening from 1.9 to 1.6-odd; somthing had to give, Italy was one of the sufferers
Report Corbyguy May 12, 2022 1:10 AM BST
The reason for Ukraines price into 1.51 could be due to what is perceived as a leak of the results of the semi-final. There was an article by OIKOTIMES with article headed as follows: ON THE SPOT LIVE FROM TURIN EBU calls alleged leaked results as “fake” link here: https://tinyurl.com/3t2tr66h

The leaked voting split 'FAKED' results were given as follows:

JURIES
196 UKRAINE
145 GREECE
130 SWITZERLAND
109 NETHERLANDS
096 PORTUGAL
095 ICELAND
088 LITHUANIA
078 ARMENIA
040 BULGARIA
030 DENMARK
024 AUSTRIA
022 LATVIA
015 NORWAY
014 CROATIA
011 MOLDOVA
006 ALBANIA
004 SLOVENIA


PUBLIC
205 UKRAINE
148 NORWAY
136 MOLDOVA
106 ALBANIA
090 LATVIA
088 AUSTRIA
074 BULGARIA
050 ARMENIA
039 NETHERLANDS
038 GREECE
032 PORTUGAL
028 LITHUANIA
024 CROATIA
020 ICELAND
013 DENMARK
009 SLOVENIA
000 SWITZERLAND



Obviously the results leaked above are faked. We will all know what the real results are when they are revealed after the final on saturday night.
Report Roger De Bris May 12, 2022 11:20 AM BST
Highly doubtful Ukraine beat Greece in Jury vote....
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