***** JOE'S JIVE TO THE FINAL *****

Yes he's my biggest Green and whilst he's perhaps surprised us and is decent he isn't exactly great is he.  Thought his ballroom this week was quite average.  That said seems a very nice young man which isn't a bad thing so hope he keeps improving.

By the way I had never heard of him before Strictly but I know of 5 people (very young) who never usually watch strictly and are now watching every week because he is in it.

Joe @ 6.00
Laid of the rest of my stake and will take a free ride

They've got to have at least one male going far. So it falls to the stick insect, although Danny looks like he's had some dance training.

Maybe some one knows the voting and that's why he's so short.

if his vote was too much would they try and get rid of him before the final to keep it competitive?

I suspect, as we've seen in many other shows, it's more the market being afraid of his millions of followers, rather than anyone placing bets knowing he's doing very well in the vote.

Awaits Star leak, to be proved wrong

Thing is we all know the sort of standards they reach towards the end where the top few all look really good and worthy of nines, even tens.

Whilst we can see Ash and Faye are almost there already and Stacey seems capable apart from those three with a possible chance too for Vicki who's young, supple and not started badly at all who else is there, the others just aren't going to be that standard mainly due to their age.  How can someone like Kate hit those heights, Charles the same and whilst Lauren is young and fit she's just not good enough IMO.  Graeme or Seann to win it?  Surely not.

With Joe however he does have all the right attributes and has started pretty well.  What with his nice demeanour, "Aah isn't he sweet" way about him and possible big following because of his popular 'Blogger' status and of course he's the only male realistically that can challenge the girls he's in with a shout.

So for me it's the three obvious girls with a possible chance for Joe and Vicki and you can forget the rest.

can accept losing fair and square but hate giving it away.

charlie

Of course though who knows if he's topping the vote every week.  He seems a popular young man and of course his 'Blog' can't be a bad thing but who knows he could be scraping through.  I'm just happy that he goes through each week somehow.

Peter

Yes well said and all these points only sound pluses for Joe so I hope you're right as ideally he's the one I want to win.

Good stuff Sir.

Great post Peter

Thanks for the comments.  I’m not going to post stats every week as they get boring after a while if they’re just saying the same thing.  However, I tried something different this week.

Another argument against Joe’s stats is that his videoblog viewers may not watch the show or catch the voting window.  We can’t test for that directly as the videos are not posted by the BBC until about 21:30 – after the voting window closes.  The best we can do is to look at very early stats and assume that early video viewers are most likely to have been viewers of the show.

Here are three sets of stats showing the build-up of views for week 05.  They are in the same format as before i.e. views, likes, dislikes.  Stats are:

Week 05 @ + 1 hour after publication
Week 05 @ + 24 hours
Top 10 videos of the series @ week 05 + 50 hours.

Week 05 @ + 1 hour – same story as before.

Week 05    Joe Sugg    13,864    1,730    8
Week 05    Charles Venn    1,683    186    3
Week 05    Danny John-Jules    1,548    170    3
Week 05    Lauren Steadman    848    100    5
Week 05    Stacey Dooley    832    97    7
Week 05    Ashley Roberts    711    79    1
Week 05    Graeme Swann    540    58    3
Week 05    Seann Walsh    441    30    19
Week 05    Faye Tozer    416    51    2
Week 05    Vick Hope    400    37    4
Week 05    Kate Silverton    264    26    4
Week 05    Ranj Singh    256    33    0


Week 05 @ + 24 hours – Danny & Charles are doing very well this week.  Joe is only ahead of them by a factor of 3.  Relatively speaking, they have caught up a bit with Joe in comparison with the + 1 hour stats.

Week 05    Joe Sugg    294,386    10,526    63
Week 05    Danny John-Jules    91,026    1,065    17
Week 05    Charles Venn    87,729    1,495    17
Week 05    Stacey Dooley    52,714    626    28
Week 05    Lauren Steadman    41,759    571    18
Week 05    Ashley Roberts    37,932    541    10
Week 05    Vick Hope    25,124    201    15
Week 05    Seann Walsh    23,905    160    93
Week 05    Graeme Swann    22,165    313    7
Week 05    Faye Tozer    21,268    264    7
Week 05    Ranj Singh    20,919    184    3
Week 05    Kate Silverton    13,921    149    5


Top 10 videos of the series @ week 05 + 50 hours – a clean sweep for Joe.  However, it’s fair to say that Joe’s stats have fallen from the first two weeks even bearing in mind that those videos have been up for longer.  That might be down to the types of dance in the first two weeks (Jive and Charleston are always popular).  Alternatively, maybe some of Joe’s blog viewers watched the first two dances but then lost interest in the show.

For comparison with a couple of the all-time best performing Strictly videos, Jay McGuinness’s jive has 3.8 million views after 3 years, while Danny Mac’s samba has 2.6 million views after 2 years.

Week 01    Joe Sugg    2,067,408    60,651    470
Week 02    Joe Sugg    1,362,511    40,266    324
Week 03    Joe Sugg    831,416    23,949    173
Week 04    Joe Sugg    779,086    20,633    160
Week 05    Joe Sugg    371,817    12,277    74
Week 03    Seann Walsh    364,715    2,301    177
Week 03    Faye Tozer    300,431    2,800    47
Week 03    Stacey Dooley    224,084    1,648    61
Week 03    Ashley Roberts    213,051    2,204    88
Week 01    Stacey Dooley    203,019    1,224    31

Finally, Joe and Dianne are now doing a video each week where they show Joe’s progress on each dance.  They are a bit Blue Peter presenter-ish for my taste, but they do show his improvement through the week.  These videos include the full Saturday performance, so anyone who is interested in Joe, but not Strictly, doesn’t now need to go to the BBC site to see his dances, so those viewers WILL NOT be adding to the BBC video stats.   Here’s their Cha Cha Cha video which currently has about 500,000 views.  Note that he explains the narrow voting window at the end of the video to encourage blog viewers to vote.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oFEfsip-xUg

Thought Joe was better last night, getting a bit closer to the real good two girl dancers.  Got a way to go to be in their league but ticking along very nicely and final 4 beckons IMO.

To be fair Henry taking his online popularity status aside he does deserve to be still in it on dance capabilities alone.  I'd grade him about 5th or 6th best at the moment and seems to be improving.

I think Danny is very good and Charles too to be fair but I'm large red on both of them so want them out.  More worried about Danny of the two obviously.

...his sister is very popular in the States. Had a best selling book over there

He has really progressed for a "non dancer" and I really enjoyed his dance last night.