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armagnac
05 Aug 16 16:05
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Date Joined: 28 Aug 04
| Topic/replies: 63,883 | Blogger: armagnac's blog
i actually make this a coin flip after seeing the spoiler, easily the best value bet of the series so far ladies and gents.

Grant gets a lovely early bit in the diary room where he comes across as honest and sincere, leaving plenty of time for lots of votes to save him.

In the diary room, Grant reveals to Big Brother; “Facing eviction is unpleasant. It’s like a thunderstorm over your head! I’ve tried to be me, I haven’t had a game plan.”


whereas james has two bits and in the 1st bit he says how happy he will be to leave and asks the others if he stays, to keep nomming him.
its well known, that housemates who want to go..generally do, when the public own there fate

In the smoking area, James announces that if he is evicted, he will be ‘the happiest man alive’, and asks his housemates to continue to nominate him if he isn’t evicted


James is in the diary room; “If I go out tomorrow, I’ll be absolutely fascinated to see how it unfolds…I won’t miss the chaos. I think I’ll be here for another week.”


it looks crystal clear to me from the edit who the prods want to keep.
at least bovey is trying and wants to be there
whale is a bit bored and wants out to cash his cheque

if things are not going to plan the prods can easily leave the vote open long enough for bovey to be saved.
there is two eviction shows tonight

9pm - 10pm
10:30pm - 11:05pm

if they don't close the vote till the start of the 2nd show, i believe whale is long odds on to get evicted.
basically given the edit, the longer phone lines are open the more likely whale goes.

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By:
bearcub
When: 05 Aug 16 16:05
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:07
tonight's spoiler


Daily Update: Day 8
Shown: Tonight, Friday 5th August 9pm on Channel 5

On tonight’s show: Bear re-joins the house after spending the night in the spare room and Frankie is set a secret mission

On tonight’s Big Brother’s Bit On The Side with Rylan Clark-Neal at 11.05pm on Channel 5, guests include Sam Bailey, James Tindale, Kirk Norcross and tonight’s evictee

Key highlights and quotes from tonight’s show:

· Bear spent the night in the spare room

· In the kitchen, Heavy D believes ‘respect goes a long way’

· In the bathroom, Saira asks Chloe; “Bear is fire, why mess with fire?” She continues that Chloe’s actions can be ‘misinterpreted’, Chloe reminds her that she kissed Bear for a dare

· In the diary room, Grant reveals to Big Brother; “Facing eviction is unpleasant. It’s like a thunderstorm over your head! I’ve tried to be me, I haven’t had a game plan.”

· In the garden, Renee advises Saira to ‘stop forcing her views on people’

· In the bedroom, Marnie and Aubrey argue about respect in the house

· Bear re-joins the house, and apologises to his housemates

· In the smoking area, Saira tells Bear; “I want to give you another chance. I’ve made loads of mistakes. I want you to learn from it.” The pair hug

· In the diary room, Frankie believes Bear is the ‘dark side’ in the house

· In the bedroom, some of the female housemates are talking about Saira. Chloe states; “She’s a snake! The biggest game player!”

· Saira, Bear and Lewis are in the hot tub, Saira confirms she ‘doesn’t whisper’ in the house and has ‘nothing to hide’

· In the diary room, Big Brother sets Frankie a secret mission. He must create a number of Hollywood moments in the house without the other housemates knowing that he’s on a secret mission. He gets to work

In the smoking area, James announces that if he is evicted, he will be ‘the happiest man alive’, and asks his housemates to continue to nominate him if he isn’t evicted

· In the kitchen, Bear tells Lewis that Saira has stuck up for him in the house, the pair agree they both like her

· In the smoking area, Samantha comments that Ricky does ‘everything for everybody’ in the house, and reminds Bear to share the wine

· Bear and Chloe share a bath

· James is in the diary room; “If I go out tomorrow, I’ll be absolutely fascinated to see how it unfolds…I won’t miss the chaos. I think I’ll be here for another week.”

· In the kitchen, Bear is tucking into the luxury food

· Bear asks Aubrey to spit in his mouth, she agrees to do this and the pair laugh

· Chloe is in the diary room; “Bear is not my kind of guy at all. I just think I need to tell Bear to leave it; it’s too much drama. I obviously won’t share a bed with Bear.”

· Housemates are asleep in the bedroom, Chole joins Bear under the covers on the floor
By:
bearcub
When: 05 Aug 16 16:07
Good for Saira imo Cool
By:
five leaves left
When: 05 Aug 16 16:08
Chloe just craving some love and attention Sad
By:
Froggitt
When: 05 Aug 16 16:09
Im on. Was coming across as a bit of a boring tw@t until the hilarious Frankie snog, although couldnt really concentrate on it while Chloe was jiggering her bobbies up and down.
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:09
RTV pro tim b agree's

.
http://www.oddschecker.com/tips/tv-and-specials/20160805-celebrity-big-brother-first-eviction-betting

The first eviction of this series of CBB has to be up there as one of the dullest in the show’s sixteen year history. Anthea Turner’s ex-husband, Grant Bovey, takes on radio personality, James Whale, in a two-way eviction. This was a frustrating decision by producers, as the nomination results could have allowed for Stephen Bear, Marnie Simpson and Renee Graziano to be included in the mix.

As a result, ratings - and voting figures - for tonight’s eviction are likely to be very low indeed. How many viewers are realistically going to tune in to see an eviction battle between two relatively dull old geezers?

Neither Grant nor James have received much airtime since being put up for eviction. In the first few days, James made a bit of a splash with some confrontations towards some of the younger housemates. This allowed him to build up a bit of a following online in that period. In contrast, Grant did not get off to as good a start. His flirtatious behaviour towards Marnie - easily young enough to be his daughter - has been accused of being creepy.

In last night’s highlights show, Grant provided one of the most shocking and entertaining moments of the series thus far, when he and Frankie Grande passionately kissed as part of a task. However, this was somewhat overshadowed by Bear being temporarily removed from the house, but it was a noteworthy moment which allowed viewers to see his entertainment potential. James Whale, meanwhile, was shown in the diary room admitting defeat in this eviction as a result.

The market suggests that Whale (best-priced 7/2) will comfortably see off Bovey (favourite at 1/4) in tonight’s eviction. However, there is enough of an argument to believe that this eviction should be closer to a coin toss than the odds suggest.

Grant may well be the right favourite, but 1/4 is incredibly short in a contest where the voting numbers are likely to be tiny. The fact that he received favourable airtime last night, in addition to us not knowing what will make up tonight’s eviction highlights show, might mean that he has a chance of survival.

Any bet on this eviction has to be a speculative one on James, at the prices, with the hope that his odds will shorten throughout the day, if nothing else. But it’s not one to be going big on, as there will no doubt be better eviction betting opportunities later on in the series.
By:
bearcub
When: 05 Aug 16 16:11
armagnac • August 5, 2016 4:09 PM BST
RTV pro tim b agree's



LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh
By:
hemsby
When: 05 Aug 16 16:12
I make this closer than the odds imply,especially if as seems likely from the spoiler Bovey gets shown early and Whale late.

Twitter eviction pictures retweets / likes have Whale in front but not by a huge margin.....edit could make the difference....

Bovey.  111 / 91
Whale.  133 / 114

I've had a speculative punt on Bovey @ 10/3 .... Should hopefully be able to trade tonight as the prices look likely to move closer together.
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:12
he's not as pro as me, he didnt wait for the spoiler Cool

evens the pair imo
By:
five leaves left
When: 05 Aug 16 16:13
hems knows Cool

Ignore bear, army
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:15
good stuff hems, cheers

yeah most of the people ive asked are 50/50, they couldn't care really
voting numbers will be low and the slightest bit of motivation wins the races

given the edit, whale is toast
By:
bearcub
When: 05 Aug 16 16:15
W  ⚓
By:
Helmuthian Folds
When: 05 Aug 16 16:15

Aug 5, 2016 -- 4:13PM, five leaves left wrote:


hems knows Ignore bear, army


Is that for now or a general rule?

By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:15
there's always one fig Sad
By:
five leaves left
When: 05 Aug 16 16:15
Just for now HF
By:
bearcub
When: 05 Aug 16 16:15
Id take it as General Cool
By:
five leaves left
When: 05 Aug 16 16:17
'Whale is toast' I bet Hems read that as 'Whale on toast' Sad
By:
Finnished
When: 05 Aug 16 16:18
Bovey may have more sex appeal to the elderly voters.
By:
five leaves left
When: 05 Aug 16 16:19
We'll need to wait for Bails to tell us
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:20
Laugh fig
By:
bearcub
When: 05 Aug 16 16:20
Poor Shamu
By:
bearcub
When: 05 Aug 16 16:20
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:21
to the whale on toast comment
poor bails

i agree with finnished, whale is not attractive
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:22
i can't see people spending money to vote on someone who wants to go home
the earlier the 1st clip of whale is shown the better
By:
stu
When: 05 Aug 16 16:25
(In best homer voice) mmmmmm.....whale on toast....Excited
By:
hemsby
When: 05 Aug 16 16:28
3/1 starting to be taken on the High St.
By:
Froggitt
When: 05 Aug 16 16:41
.
http://www.unrealitytv.co.uk/celebrity-big-brother/celebrity-big-brother-james-whale-begs-housemates-keep-nominating-wants-leave-game-plan/
By:
five leaves left
When: 05 Aug 16 16:45
Big campaign on twitter to save him

Grant Bovey ‏@GrantBovey  Aug 1
Save Grant! Call 6505806 from mobiles or 09020445806 from landlines. There's a lot more to come from him, the honeymoon is DEFINITELY over!
By:
bearcub
When: 05 Aug 16 16:46
How big?
By:
five leaves left
When: 05 Aug 16 16:48
MASSIVE!
By:
five leaves left
When: 05 Aug 16 16:49
I've not seen anything this big since Hira Love
By:
Froggitt
When: 05 Aug 16 16:49
BOOOOOOOMMM!!!!
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:51
hoping 1/10th of marnie's fans are voting, that would be enough on its own
there all multi voting loons
vote is gonna be so low, nobody campaigning for whale coz he don't wanna be there
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:53
super fan salv from DS, thinks bovey will be saved coz of the kiss

.
http://forums.digitalspy.co.uk/showthread.php?t=2170774
By:
stu
When: 05 Aug 16 16:53
https://twitter.com/natalie_w_mua/status/760873770789789696

Reason for the hidden female vote for Grant, that got Darren a long way....
By:
stu
When: 05 Aug 16 16:56
Same twitterer:

Grant is the dilf of the series
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:56
whale should be odds on after that stu Laugh
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:57
yep, was just gonna post that, dilf Cool
its why marnie is trying to bag it Grin
can't see whale getting any young female votes
By:
armagnac
When: 05 Aug 16 16:59
i think the books have really gotten this wrong, i hope everyone is gonna take the thieving b@stards to the cleaners

c'mon everyone, join in the biggest gamble of the year so far

ive gone from confident when starting this thread, too super confident
feck evens the field

whale should be 1/2 to go, reckon he will be by lines closed
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