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bearcub
28 Apr 15 10:10
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 May 12
| Topic/replies: 53,773 | Blogger: bearcub's blog
Because Horse don't dance



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Odds: 28 April 2015

Price now, highest price matched, Lowest price matched

1. Sweden            2.84      20      2.3
2. Italy                 5.1        36      2.72           
3. Australia           7           50      4.7
4. Estonia             11.5       15      4
5. Finland              34         46       4
6. Norway             29          75       9.2
7. Russia               44          140      18.5
8. Slovenia            46           230       10
9. Azerbaijan          38           90         14
10. Iceland             100         240        16.5
11. UK                    130         150        25
12. Belgium             95           150       23
13. Spain                 110         200       12.5
14. Albania               150         310       40
15. Armenia              250         580      10.5
16. Belarus               160          950      65
17. Latvia                  260         290      16.5
18. Greece                560         940       20
19. Romania             820          820       12
20. Macedonia           170         1000      25
21. Serbia                 250         1000      30
22. Cyprus                300         720        40
23. Israel                  330         600        50
24. Ireland                770         970        27
25. Austria                700         990        60
26. Hungary              620         940        18
27. Poland                 860         900        17.5
28. Malta                   950         1000       18
29. Netherlands          440         730        18.5
30. Lithuania              470         670        22
31. Denmark              730         820        20
32. Germany              850         990        18
33. France                  210         670        30
34. Georgia                470         720        22
35. Moldova                                          100
36. Montenegro 50                                  50         
37. Switzerland                                       34
38. Portugal                                            55
39. Czech Republic                                  16.5
40. San Marino                                        85
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Report five leaves left March 14, 2016 12:18 PM GMT
Last year I at least understood what you were trying to do. Gawd knows what the latest list means Sad
Report stu March 14, 2016 12:20 PM GMT
Well it's winning the 'most mouse scrolling' award at least Grin
Report jollyswagman March 14, 2016 12:26 PM GMT
is there a chance that bear did it on purpose? it is afterall so bad its good Excited
Report five leaves left March 14, 2016 12:31 PM GMT
It wouldn't surprise me. He can be a little tyke at times.

TBF it's useful to be able to look back at the prices movements from last year.
Report timbuctooth March 14, 2016 12:41 PM GMT
For me, having been the subject of year-long Labs Chat ridicule, this is all too exquisite. The useless phucker couldn`t even be bothered to start a 2016 thread!
GET YOUR ACT TOGETHER!!!
Report jollyswagman March 14, 2016 12:50 PM GMT
wtf does any of it mean? if he'd been around in germany in the 30s/40s there is no way his code would have been broken.

tim you helped create this monster, he's foty and can do what he wants Scared
Report timbuctooth March 14, 2016 12:59 PM GMT
Indeed, jolly, and I take full responsibility. Impeachment rumours are gathering momentum, though,
Report jollyswagman March 14, 2016 1:13 PM GMT
in which case you'll need to find a lot shorter word to explain what impeachment means Laugh

i'm off out now but thanks to bear i'm in a great mood
Report bearcub March 14, 2016 1:54 PM GMT
Country         high        low      av price now 


Russia..........12.5........3.6.......3.8
Sweden..........19.5........2.6.......5.3
Croatia.........330.........9.6.......16
Australia.......32..........6.........16.5
Latvia..........100.........4.1.......20
France..........110.........15........25
Azerbaijan......70..........18.5......38
Cyprus..........260.........24........28
Serbia..........95..........12........36
Malta...........100.........6.2.......48
Armenia.........48..........14........40
Ukraine.........50..........10........44
hungary.........90..........17........65
Italy...........160.........13.5......50
Germany.........65..........10........44
Poland..........190.........4.3.......65
Spain...........200.........30........70
Iceland.........170.........12........85
Lithuania.......170.........23........100
Norway..........100.........8.........100
Bulgaria........380.........85........85


I've only done the top 21 as it's boring as feck. missed out the silly £2 spikes, like the even money matched on Malta

If any one shortens dramatically they will be added but atm it's 100/1 Bar
Report bearcub March 14, 2016 1:55 PM GMT
It was perfectly lined up on my preview Cry
Report five leaves left March 14, 2016 3:00 PM GMT
An improvement bear Love
Report bearcub March 14, 2016 4:06 PM GMT
update already Cry  Sweden drawn 9th


Russia........12.5........3.6.......3.3
Sweden......19.5........2.6.......8.4
Croatia........330........9.6.......14
Australia.....32...........6.........17
Latvia.........100.........4.1.......20
France........110.........15........21
Azerbaijan...70..........18.5......38
Cyprus........260.........24........28
Serbia..........95..........12........36
Malta...........100.........6.2.......48
Armenia.......48..........14........40
Ukraine........50..........10........44
hungary.......90..........17........65
Italy............160.........13.5.....50
Germany......65..........10........44
Poland.........190.........4.3.......65
Spain...........200.........30........70
Iceland........170.........12........85
Lithuania......170.........23.......100
Norway........100.........8.........100
Bulgaria.......380.........85........85
Report five leaves left March 14, 2016 4:23 PM GMT
Excellent work but you've not even included the winner. Belgium Grin
Report Henry VIII March 14, 2016 5:13 PM GMT
I like Belgium. This guy doesn't:

TIMSELTOZ ‏@CalmAfterTheTim 42m42 minutes ago
If Belgium qualifies and NL not, I'll be so done and hate Belgium with my whole heart and hope they'll end dead last with 0 points.
Report five leaves left March 14, 2016 5:24 PM GMT
Her vocal is a little ropey at times but as I've mentioned before it sounds very Curiosity Killed the Cat

I hope TIMSELTOZ is seething after the semi final. I like Netherlands too though
Report bearcub March 14, 2016 7:35 PM GMT
PLEASE NOTE

Pricewatch threads are not for idle chit-chat
Report Tom_Ato March 14, 2016 9:51 PM GMT
Yeah you tell 'em bear, bunch of rapscallions.
Report Corbyguy March 14, 2016 10:25 PM GMT

Mar 14, 2016 -- 8:35PM, bearcub wrote:


PLEASE NOTE Pricewatch threads are not for idle chit-chat


Can we all play if we all bring donuts.

Report bearcub April 11, 2016 6:29 PM BST
Country....Highest......Lowest.. last month... now


Russia........12.5........2.64.......3.3...2.94
Sweden......19.5........2.6.......8.4...13.5
Croatia........330........9.6.......14...65
Australia.....32...........6.........17...16.5
Latvia.........100.........4.1.......20...27
France........110.........7.........21...7.8
Azerbaijan...70..........18.5......38...95
Cyprus........260.........24........28...80
Serbia..........95..........12........36...32
Malta...........100.........6.2.......48...23
Armenia.......48..........14........40...28
Ukraine........50..........10........44...24
hungary.......90..........17........65...85
Italy............160.........13.5.....50...46
Germany......65..........10........44...145
Poland.........190.........4.3.......65...48
Spain...........200.........30........70...38
Iceland........170.........12........85...110
Lithuania......170.........23.......100...240
Norway........100.........8.........100...180
Bulgaria.......380.........85........85...46
Czech rep......390.........32........100...50
Netherlands....200.........12........100...65
Report timbuctooth April 11, 2016 7:59 PM BST
I gave up reading when I saw you`d got Sweden wrong.
Report five leaves left April 11, 2016 7:59 PM BST
who needs horse Cool
Report timbuctooth April 11, 2016 8:01 PM BST
Errr, this forum?
Report bearcub April 11, 2016 8:06 PM BST
Feel free to take over Tim
Report bearcub April 11, 2016 8:09 PM BST
Country....Highest......Lowest.. last month... now


Russia........12.5........2.64.......3.3....2.94
Sweden......19.5........2.26.......8.4....13.5
Croatia........330........9.6.......14.....65
Australia.....32...........6.........17.....16.5
Latvia.........100.........4.1.......20.....27
France........110.........7.........21.....7.8
Azerbaijan...70..........18.5......38.....95
Cyprus........260.........24........28.....80
Serbia..........95..........12........36.....32
Malta...........100.........6.2.......48.....23
Armenia.......48..........14........40.....28
Ukraine........50..........10........44.....24
hungary.......90..........17........65.....85
Italy............160.........13.5.....50.....46
Germany......65..........10........44.....145
Poland.........190.........4.3.......65.....48
Spain...........200.........30........70.....38
Iceland........170.........12........85.....110
Lithuania......170.........23.......100.....240
Norway........100.........8.........100...180
Bulgaria.......380.........85........85......46
Czech rep......390.........32........100.....50
Netherlands....200.........12........100.....65
Report timbuctooth April 11, 2016 8:31 PM BST
With great power, comes great ribbing. If you want the kudos and glory, you`re gonna get the grief if you phuck it up; deal with it! I`ve made a good few errors when I`ve tried to do such things, and endured well-justified grief; mostly from YOU! Don`t worry; this time next year you can rejoin us barrackers, as we give hemsby all the stick.
In the meantime, though, I`m still sn1ggering...
Report bearcub April 11, 2016 8:44 PM BST
I've already had a DM off Hemsby saying he doesn't want to be considered for Foty
Report bearcub April 20, 2016 3:33 PM BST
9 day update on significant-ish moves

Russia 3.5
France 4.6
Sweden 16.5
Bulgaria 34
Spain 60
Italy 38
Croatia 110
Report five leaves left April 20, 2016 4:20 PM BST
Quality work Cool
Report bearcub April 20, 2016 5:04 PM BST
Cool
Report bearcub April 24, 2016 11:01 AM BST
£1,000,000 matched on O/R

£355K on top 10

£68k top 5

£34K top 3

£30K top 15

£22k top 4

£7k semi 1, £135k to Qualify

£5k Semi 2, £53K to Qualify
Report bearcub May 1, 2016 11:25 AM BST
REPORTED to betfair. please don't comment on it Plain

Remove this post also betfair, quick as you can, fig will be up in a few hours Cry
Report five leaves left May 1, 2016 11:39 AM BST
Laugh 14/1 France? Where?

You're asked to do one thing.........Sad
Report bearcub May 1, 2016 11:53 AM BST
Oh Lord, i'd forgotten you were on your trial run for getting up early for rehearsals Sad
Report five leaves left May 1, 2016 11:57 AM BST
I was slightly late today Sad Only 3 hours
Report bearcub May 1, 2016 11:59 AM BST
Hems was posting at 6a.m

If McDonalds are open, hems is up Mischief
Report five leaves left May 1, 2016 12:03 PM BST
I bet he's taking a nap now. Just catching up on twitter and he's been harassing Betfair helpdesk man again
Report five leaves left May 1, 2016 12:09 PM BST
Catching up on Francesca and her journey to Stockholm. It looks like Italy have sent her on the bus Sad Was in Vienna. Now heading for Warsaw
Report five leaves left May 1, 2016 12:15 PM BST
Oh, she is going on the bus Grin It's a kind of publicity tour I guess

With Zoe Love in Vienna

http://eurofestivalit.altervista.org/?p=15972
Report five leaves left May 1, 2016 12:18 PM BST
Oops. I'm messing up your excellent thread with my ramblings Blush
Report bearcub May 1, 2016 12:19 PM BST
REMOVE ALL POSTS FROM MAY ONWARDS BETFAIR
Report bearcub May 2, 2016 9:03 AM BST
Cool
Report five leaves left May 2, 2016 9:06 AM BST
Laugh they left my ramblings Cool
Report five leaves left May 2, 2016 9:10 AM BST
Can we have a proper update now?
Report bearcub May 2, 2016 10:12 AM BST
Just for you Love

Prices on the Monday morning of the first rehearsal

Russia  3.2
France  4.2
Australia  17.5
Sweden  17.5
Malta  23
Bulgaria  26
Ukraine 29
Italy  34
Serbia  36
Latvia  36
Armenia  38
Czech  60
Spain  60
Netherl 68
Hungary 85
Poland 90
Azer 100
Croatia 100
Iceland 140
Cyprus  160
UK  170
Israel 170

200/1 and bigger the rest
Report bearcub May 5, 2016 8:19 PM BST
After 1st rehearsal

Russia  3.2........3.4
France  4.2........4.5
Australia  17.5......14
Sweden  17.5........21
Malta  23...........23
Bulgaria  26.......60
Ukraine 29.........9
Italy  34..........32
Serbia  36........50
Latvia  36........60
Armenia  38.......32
Czech  60........65
Spain  60........75
Netherl 68........90
Hungary 85.......210
Poland 90.......180
Azer 100.........180
Croatia 100.......180
Iceland 140.......170
Cyprus  160.......300
UK  170 ........180
Israel 170.......80
Belgium 250.......100
Report five leaves left May 5, 2016 8:50 PM BST
Showing your FOTY form now bear. Loving the commas  Cool
Report Corbyguy May 5, 2016 9:01 PM BST
Cheers bear. Wink
Report bearcub May 9, 2016 1:29 PM BST
prices updated after 2nd rehearsal and big five drew 1st or 2nd half

Russia  3.2........3.4....2.6
France  4.2........4.5....9.4
Australia  17.5......14....18
Sweden  17.5........21....13.5
Malta  23...........23....26
Bulgaria  26.......60....120
Ukraine 29.........9....5.7
Italy  34...........32....75
Serbia  36.........50....50
Latvia  36..........60....150
Armenia  38.......32....48
Czech  60..........65....150
Spain  60..........75....230
Netherl 68.........90....50
Hungary 85.......210....300
Poland 90.........180....320
Azer 100...........180....500
Croatia 100.......180....500
Iceland 140.......170....300
Cyprus  160.......300....300
UK  170 ...........180....65
Israel 170..........80....42
Belgium 250.......100....110
Report Corbyguy May 9, 2016 1:58 PM BST
Cheers Bear, may get some price movement resulting from the dress rehearsal and jury rehearsal today.
Report five leaves left May 9, 2016 3:00 PM BST
Yep, cheers bear. No idea what the numbers mean but good work anyway

What time are the dress rehearsals corbs?
Report bearcub May 9, 2016 3:11 PM BST
Each number represents a countries  odds fig.

for example if Italy is 75, then that's their price on betfair

It's a complicated system i know. I had toyed with the idea of using rows of emoticons just for you
Report five leaves left May 9, 2016 3:22 PM BST
CoolLoveGrinPlainSillyLoveExcitedWhoopsMischiefLove
Report Corbyguy May 9, 2016 3:45 PM BST

May 9, 2016 -- 3:00PM, five leaves left wrote:


Yep, cheers bear. No idea what the numbers mean but good work anyway What time are the dress rehearsals corbs?


Bear has posted times on the main thread. I guess you have seen them by now.

Report Henry VIII May 9, 2016 5:31 PM BST
Cheers for the updates Bear.

BTW Fig doesn't need to understand all those silly numbers because he just backs what personally delights him.

Like a 6 year old girl.
Report five leaves left May 9, 2016 7:20 PM BST
lol H
That's always my starting point on these shows and I'm not sorry about it Cool
Report bearcub May 14, 2016 12:45 AM BST
Prices updated after Jury final

Russia  3.2........3.4....2.6....1.7 ... Shortened due to lack of opposition and decent itunes figures, charting in 19, 17th in Sweden
France  4.2........4.5....9.4....26 ....  Drifted due the final minute vocals.Charting in 12, 125th in Sweden
Australia  17.5....14....18....5.4 ....   Strong semi performance, apparently, good draw. Charting in 17, 4th in Sweden
Sweden  17.5......21...13.5....27  ..   Charting in 13, 8th in Sweden
Malta  23...........23.....26....50 ....  Bots been turned off. 60th in Malta
Bulgaria  26.......60....120....320 ..  Charting in 10, 120th in Sweden
Ukraine 29.........9......5.7....15 ....  Drifted badly after semi. Charting in 14, 40th in Sweden
Italy  34...........32......75...120.....  Charting in 3, 68th in Sweden
Serbia  36.........50......50
Latvia  36..........60......150....150..  charting in 11, 35th in Sweden
Armenia  38.......32......48....50    ...Charting in 3
Czech  60..........65......150
Spain  60..........75.......230....320
Netherl 68.........90......50....140
Hungary 85.......210.....300
Poland 90.........180.....320
Azer 100...........180.....500
Croatia 100.......180.....500
Iceland 140.......170.....300
Cyprus  160.......300.....300
UK  170 ...........180......65
Israel 170..........80.......42....300
Belgium 250.......100....110....170  ....Charting in 12, 17th in Sweden
Report bearcub May 14, 2016 5:44 PM BST
One last update, 2 hours before start

Russia  1.98
Ozzies  3.5
Ukraine  16.5
Sweden  25
France  36

£3,200,666 Matched on Outright
£1,200,000 Top 10
Report five leaves left May 14, 2016 5:53 PM BST
The money for Oz relentless. We could see a flip flop
Report bearcub May 14, 2016 6:01 PM BST
Feck off Angry
Report armagnac May 14, 2016 6:03 PM BST
i don't recall last years FOTY telling someone to feck off
Report five leaves left May 14, 2016 6:29 PM BST
Indeed army. He should be stripped of the title
Report timbuctooth May 14, 2016 6:30 PM BST
No comment.
Report timbuctooth May 14, 2016 6:31 PM BST
^^^ to army
Report timbuctooth May 14, 2016 6:44 PM BST
In choosing bear, I took into account that he`d be a different type of FOTY than I was. So, let`s be fair to the boy, he`s doing some things better than I did. This thread alone, whilst being the subject of some good-natured ribbing, is still more than I ever managed!


tim shortening for you-know-what. Just get Austria home, and it`s MINE!!!
Report bearcub May 15, 2016 10:16 AM BST
A few in running points...

Russia hit a low of 1.32 Lpm 4.2
Ozzies hit a low of 1.06  LPM 1.6
Ukraine hit a low of 3.65 which was also there LPM.

Feel free to add any relevant price changes you may have noticed

e.g.  Spain crashed from 300 to low 20's Ir after an upbeat performance
Report bearcub May 15, 2016 10:37 AM BST
Total matched was £6.6 million, so more traded on the night than all the previous months
Report hemsby May 15, 2016 11:46 AM BST
Good effort FOTY Cool

Serbia drifted to 1000 pre any vote reveal and also drifted in the side markets.Looks like the cash knew it had just scraped into the final finishing 10th in SF2.
Report chepster May 16, 2016 9:56 AM BST
Can anybody recall the price of Russia as the Contest started (1st Song ish)???
Report five leaves left May 16, 2016 12:00 PM BST
Hi cheps. Just looking I backed them at 1.99 at 20.11
Report bearcub May 16, 2016 1:18 PM BST
MUG
Report five leaves left May 16, 2016 1:44 PM BST
It went 1.4 before the votes started coming in Silly
Report bearcub May 16, 2016 2:04 PM BST
Always got an answer Sad
Report Roger De Bris May 16, 2016 2:39 PM BST
Does the Polish result really show us now that we are dealing with the Eurovision Immigrant Contest as much as Song Contest!?Happy
Report jollyswagman May 16, 2016 4:41 PM BST
an entertaining and informative thread, well done leader
Report jollyswagman May 16, 2016 4:41 PM BST
an entertaining and informative thread, well done leader
Report bearcub March 19, 2017 2:42 PM GMT
Back by popular demand


Country...HI....LOW...LPM

Italy......60....2.66..3.1
Swede...20....4.8...9.2
Bulga.....130...7.....9.2
Belgi......210...5.....10
Portu.....310...10....15
Ozzzz....32.....8.4...22
Armen....65....14.5..44
Russi.....100....5.4...42
Azzer.....65....14.5..40
FYR M....400...13.5..44
Roman....110...10.5..80
Franc......75....16.5..55
U.Kay....100....26....70
Serbs....130.....8.....75
Greek.....90....9.4...70
Poles....150.....18....90
Paddy....330....32....140
Hunga....250...34....130
Danes....150...17....90
Finns.....160...15....130
Eston.....170...15.5..140
Icers......210...27....150
Georgia...990...55....110


200  plus bar this lot
Report timbuctooth March 19, 2017 4:04 PM GMT
Yaaaay! This thread makes its ignominious and inglorious return! One of the funnier ones on here, (unless you`re bear, of course!)

Well, you`ve finally mastered the formatting, even if its taken three phucking YEARS!!!, but to give up half way really isn`t inspiring. I don`t think horse does that, does he? By such action, are you really saying that no 200 shot can win? That they won`t at least shorten? You can`t be bothered to even write out the full name of most of the countries, yet you enjoy extending the names of others? Have you had this compulsion for five characters diagnosed? Don`t forget to tell the therapist that the same compulsion includes Always having to write `Georgia` in full, though. ZERO, in the way of pithy commentary, a la horse Where is `Paddy`? And why is it not all in nice, easily read boxes, please? I could go on, but I don`t want to deprive fll of all the fun, so he can pick at the rest.

All in all, it`s a C-minus from me, and most of that is for at least making an effort. Gotta pull your socks up, though; let`s try harder next year, shall we?
Report bearcub March 19, 2017 4:19 PM GMT
If you think i'm reading all that ^^^^ Cry
Report bearcub March 29, 2017 4:17 PM BST
BONUS POST Cool


HELSINKI 2007

HS odds 4 weeks before Final.

RANK    ODDS    COUNTRY    ENTRY    EUROVISION
PLACING
1    5/1     Switzerland    DJ Bobo – Vampires Are Alive    SF (20th)
2    7/1     Sweden    The Ark – The Worrying Kind    18th
3    8/1     Serbia    Marija Šerifović – Molitva    1st
4    8/1     Belarus    Koldun – Work Your Magic    6th
5    11/1     Ukraine    Verka Serduchka – Dancing Lasha Tumbai    2nd
6    11/1     Bulgaria    Elitsa Todorova and Stoyan Yankoulov – Water    5th
7    12/1     Russia    Serebro – Song #1    3rd
8    14/1     Greece    Sarbel – Yassou Maria    7th
9    16/1     Romania    Todomondo – Liubi, Liubi, I Love You    13th
10    16/1     Cyprus    Evridiki – Comme ci, Comme ça    SF (15th)
11    20/1     Slovenia    Alenka Gotar – Cvet Z Juga    15th
12    20/1     United Kingdom    Scooch – Flying The Flag (For You)    22nd
13    20/1     Malta    Olivia Lewis – Vertigo    SF (25th)
14    25/1     Latvia    Bonaparti.lv – Questa Notte    16th
15    25/1     Spain    D’NASH – I Love You Mi Vida   


BELGRADE 2008

4 weeks before final

RANK    ODDS    COUNTRY    ENTRY    EUROVISION
PLACING
1    7/2     Russia    Dima Bilan – Believe    1st
2    9/2     Serbia    Jelena Tomašević feat. Bora Dugić – Oro    6th
3    5/1     Ireland    Dustin The Turkey – Irelande Douze Pointe    SF (15th)
4    11/2     Armenia    Sirusho – Qele, Qele    4th
5    7/1     Ukraine    Ani Lorak – Shady Lady    2nd
6    9/1      Sweden      Charlotte Perrelli – Hero    18th
7    18/1     Bulgaria    Deep Zone and Balthazar – DJ, Take Me Away    SF (11th)
8    20/1     Greece    Kalomira – Secret Combination    3rd
9    20/1     Spain    Rodolfo Chikilicuatre – Baila El Chiki-Chiki    16th
10    22/1     France    Sébastian Tellier – Divine    19th
11    25/1     Bosnia & Herzegovina    Laka – Pokušaj    10th
12    25/1     Latvia    Pirates Of The Sea – Wolves Of The Sea    12th
13    25/1     Turkey    Mor ve Ötesi – Deli    7th
14    25/1     Switzerland    Paolo Meneguzzi – Era Stupendo    SF (13th)
15    25/1     Romania    Nico and Vlad – Pe-o Margine de Lume    20th



MOSCOW 2009

6 weeks before final.

RANK    ODDS    COUNTRY    ENTRY    EUROVISION
PLACING
1    6/4     Norway    Alexander Rybak – Fairytale    1st
2    9/2     Greece    Sakis Rouvas – This Is Our Night    7th
3    8/1     Turkey    Hadise – Düm Tek Tek    4th
4    8/1     Montenegro    Andrea Demirović – Just Get Out Of My Life    SF (11th)
5    10/1     Azerbaijan    AySel and Arash – Always    3rd
6    12/1     Sweden    Malena Ernman – La Voix    21st
7    14/1     Malta    Chiara – What If We?    22nd
8    18/1     United Kingdom    Jade Ewen – It’s My Time    5th
9    25/1     Estonia    Urban Symphony – Rändajad    6th
10    25/1     Bosnia & Herzegovina    Regina – Bistra Voda    9th
11    25/1     France    Patricia Kaas – Et S’il Fallait Le Faire    8th
12    25/1     Spain    Soraya – La Noche Es Para Mí (The Night Is For Me)    24th
13    25/1     Russia    Anastasiya Prikhodko – Mamo    11th
14    33/1     Finland    Waldo’s People – Lose Control    25th
15    33/1     Iceland    Yohanna – Is It True?    2nd


OSLO 2010

23 days before final.

RANK    ODDS    COUNTRY    ENTRY    EUROVISION
PLACING
1    5/2     Germany    Lena – Satellite    1st
2    5/2     Azerbaijan    Safura – Drip Drop    5th
3    8/1     Denmark    Chanée & N’evergreen – In A Moment Like This    4th
4    8/1     Israel    Harel Skaat – Milim    14th
5    14/1     Armenia    Eva Rivas – Apricot Stone    7th
6    16/1     Croatia    Feminnem – Lako Je Sve    SF (13th)
7    20/1     Norway    Didrik Solli-Tangen – My Heart Is Yours    20th
8    22/1     Sweden    Anna Bergendahl – This Is My Life    SF (11th)
9    25/1     Ireland    Niamh Kavanagh – It’s For You    23rd
10    28/1     Greece    Giorgos Alkaios and Friends – OPA    8th



DÜSSELDORF 2011

3 weeks before final

RANK    ODDS    COUNTRY    ENTRY    EUROVISION
PLACING
1    4/1     France    Amaury Vassili – Sognu    15th
2    13/2     Estonia    Getter Jaani – Rockefeller Street    24th
3    7/1     United Kingdom    Blue – I Can    11th
4    8/1     Hungary    Kati Wolf – What About My Dreams?    22nd
5    10/1     Sweden    Eric Saade – Popular    3rd
6    10/1     Bosnia & Herzegovina    Dino Merlin – Love In Rewind    6th
7    12/1     Azerbaijan    Ell & Nikki – Running Scared    1st
8    12/1     Norway    Stella Mwangi – Haba Haba    SF (17th)
9    12/1     Germany    Lena – Taken By A Stranger    10th
10    20/1     Russia    Alexej Vorobjov – Get You    16th
11    20/1     Ireland    Jedward – Lipstick    8th
12    20/1     Denmark    A Friend In London – New Tomorrow    5th
13    33/1     Italy    Raphael Gualazzi – Madness Of Love    2nd
14    40/1     Romania    Hotel FM – Change    17th
15    40/1     Poland    Magdalena Tul – Jestem    SF (19th)


BAKU 2012

1 month before final.

RANK    ODDS    COUNTRY    ENTRY    EUROVISION
PLACING
1    9/4     Sweden    Loreen – Euphoria    1st
2    8/1     Italy    Nina Zilli – L’amore è femmina (Out Of Love)    9th
3    10/1     Russia    Buranovskiye Babushki – Party For Everybody    2nd
4    11/1     Serbia    Željko Joksimović – Nije Ljubav Stvar    3rd
5    14/1     Denmark    Soluna Samay – Should’ve Known Better    23rd
6    14/1     United Kingdom    Engelbert Humperdinck – Love Will Set You Free    25th
7    16/1     Ireland    Jedward – Waterline    19th
8    18/1     Spain    Pastora Soler – Quédate Conmigo (Stay With Me)    10th
9    20/1     Germany    Roman Lob – Standing Still    8th
10    20/1     Norway    Tooji – Stay    26th
11    22/1     Iceland    Greta Salóme and Jónsi – Never Forget    20th
12    25/1     Greece    Eleftheria Eleftheriou – Aphrodisiac    17th
13    28/1     Romania    Mandinga – Zaleilah    12th
14    28/1     Turkey    Can Bonomo – Love Me Back    7th
15    33/1     Cyprus    Ivi Adamou – La La Love    16th



MALMÖ 2013

1 month before final



RANK    ODDS    COUNTRY    ENTRY    EUROVISION
PLACING
1    6/4     Denmark    Emmelie de Forest – Only Teardrops    1st
2    8/1     Norway    Margaret Berger – I Feed You My Love    4th
3    12/1     Ukraine    Zlata Ognevich – Gravity    3rd
4    16/1     Russia    Dina Garipova – What If    5th
5    16/1     Sweden    Robin Stjernberg – You    14th
6    19/1     The Netherlands    Anouk – Birds    9th
7    25/1     Germany    Cascada – Glorious    21st
8    25/1     Georgia    Nodi Tatishvili & Sophie Gelovani – Waterfall    15th
9    25/1     Italy    Marco Mengoni – L’Essenziale    7th
10    33/1     Azerbaijan    Farid Mammadov – Hold Me    2nd
11    40/1     San Marino    Valentina Monetta – Crisalide (Vola)    SF (11th)
12    50/1     United Kingdom    Bonnie Tyler – Believe In Me    19th
13    66/1     Ireland    Ryan Dolan – Only Love Survives    26th
14    66/1     Belarus    Alyona Lanskaya – Solayoh    16th
15    75/1     Greece    Koza Mostra feat. Agathon Iakovidis – Alcohol Is Free    6th



COPENHAGEN 2014

HS odds 4 weeks before Final.

RANK    ODDS    COUNTRY    ENTRY    EUROVISION
PLACING
1    6/4     Armenia    Aram MP3 – Not Alone    4th
2    11/2     Sweden    Sanna Nielsen – Undo    3rd
3    12/1     Denmark    Basim – Cliché Love Song    9th
4    12/1     Norway    Carl Espen – Silent Storm    8th
5    18/1     Hungary    András Kállay-Saunders – Running    5th
6    20/1     United Kingdom    Molly – Children Of The Universe    17th
7    20/1     Ukraine    Mariya Yaremchuk – Tick-Tock    6th
8    20/1     Azerbaijan    Dilara Kazimova – Start A Fire    22nd
9    25/1     Belgium    Axel Hirsoux – Mother    SF (14th)
10    25/1     Romania    Paula Seling & OVI – Miracle    12th
11    40/1     Russia    Tolmachevy Sisters – Shine    7th
12    66/1     Italy    Emma Marrone – La Mia Città    21st
13    66/1     Greece    Freaky Fortune feat. RiskyKidd – Rise Up    20th
14    66/1     Israel    Mei Finegold – Same Heart    SF (14th)
15    66/1     Ireland    Can-Linn feat. Kasey Smith – Heartbeat    SF (12th)
Report bearcub May 4, 2017 12:01 AM BST
Update after 1st rehearsals finished, 1 million matched.

Italy 1.68  continues to shorten due to lack of opposition
Bulgaria 12.5  drifted to 20's after rehearsal but Bulgarian delegation still desperate to keep it short
Portugal 13.5  Never showed for rehearsals due to being ill, sister stood in
Sweden  14.5  Drifting due to it being dire
Armenia 32  Pretty static which is more than be said about her silly arm waving
Romania 34  They have a cannon, they yodel and they rap. What can go wrong?
Azer  44  Horse has a part time job
Oz 50  Poor rehearsal stood on a lazy Susan contraption
France 70  Drifted to 100 because goldfish now have betfair accounts
Belgium 75 Drifted after rehearsal but backed in after she liked my tweet Love
Denmark 75  Backed in because she has a nice dress

120 Bar
Report timbuctooth May 4, 2017 12:24 AM BST
Pithy comments! Much better.
Report bearcub May 6, 2017 9:52 PM BST
2nd rehearsals finished, big 5 1st rehearsal

Italy 1.7
Portugal 10.5
Sweden  13.5 Still dire
Bulgaria 16
Armenia 23 Impressive arms
Romania 48 Cannons shooting blanks
Azer 55
Netherlands 80 Good vocals
UK 80 Staging better than usual
Finland 85
Belgium 110
France 170

Semi 1 
Portugal 9 down to 3,6
Armenia 22 down to 4
Sweden 3 out to 4.4

Semi 2
Bulgaria 3 down to 1.6  lpm 1.9  Bot on the market holding the price down
Romania 24 down to 8.4
Report bearcub May 10, 2017 2:10 PM BST
Day after 1st rehaearsal

Italy 2.18  under whelming vid clip
Portugal 3  Matched as low as 2.74...Charting in 17, 3rd in Sweden
Bulgaria  19  It's still dire
Belgium 27 2nd half draw and charting in 19. 6th in Sweden
Uk  36   Decent staging clip
Sweden 55  Still dire, charting in 8, 4th in Sweden
Romania 70
Armenia 80  Arms were under whelming
Netherlands 85
France 120
Moldova 160 charting in 8 , 24 in Sweden, 1st half draw dampens it Sad
Report five leaves left May 10, 2017 5:19 PM BST
Arms were under whelming Grin
Report gawdalmighty May 11, 2017 2:32 PM BST
Hi Guys. I am contemplating schticking a fiver on the Irish lad, the one that sounds like a 10 year old girl screaming in a choir. Odds 290.00!! Ok, I'm kind of bias as I live in Ireland but sometimes freaks and odd balls push through to make for a good trade. Worth a fiver surely??
Report gawdalmighty May 11, 2017 2:34 PM BST
OOOpppps..wrong thread
Report bearcub May 11, 2017 3:54 PM BST
Cry
Report bearcub May 12, 2017 3:18 PM BST
# Previous post dated 10th, should read Day after 1st semi


Friday after both semis

Portugal  2.84  First time it's been outright Fav Charting in 18 {drawn 11}
Italy  3  Drifting due to money for Salvador, poor clip and earlyish RO {9} Charting in 11, not in Sweden but previously had
Bulgaria 5.7  Cheated it's way to a second half draw [25] charting in 12 , 4th in Sweden
BlancheLove 21  Charting in 16, 13th in Sweden
Sweden 42
uk 42
Romania 85 Charting in 9, Sweden 29
Croatia 120
France 180
Armenia 220
Report jollyswagman May 12, 2017 3:24 PM BST
Cool

selfless work like this must give you a great chance of being the first repeat foty Wink
Report bearcub May 12, 2017 4:17 PM BST
It's my lifes dream Happy
Report five leaves left May 12, 2017 4:21 PM BST
It's my nightmare Sad One year has been bad enough
Report timbuctooth May 12, 2017 7:41 PM BST
Well,= so far, he`s only got me to beat!
Report bearcub May 13, 2017 8:46 AM BST
8.40 morning of final 2,430,750 matched

Portugal 2.9  £494,800

Italy 3.35 £1,093,307

Bulgaria 4.2  £303,803

Belgium 27   £83,300
Report Corbyguy May 13, 2017 10:25 AM BST
As of now

Italy 3.05
Portugal 3.3

Could all change again.
Report five leaves left May 13, 2017 11:30 AM BST
Virtually back to where we were

Portugal 2.96

Italy 3.3

Bulgaria 4.3
Report five leaves left May 13, 2017 11:32 AM BST
No significant moves on any of the others
Report bearcub May 13, 2017 11:37 AM BST
GERROFF MY THREAD   Angry
Report Corbyguy May 13, 2017 11:45 AM BST
Get your lube ready its gonna be tight.
Report five leaves left May 13, 2017 11:51 AM BST
Laugh
Report bearcub May 13, 2017 2:07 PM BST
£2,581,000 matched

Portugal 3...  top 10 1.05
Italy 3.05............1.06
Bulgaria 4.9..........1.06
Belgium 26............1.2
Uk 50.................2.5
Sweden 50.............1.3
Romania 55............1.44
France 100............2.5
Croatia 100...........2.34
Moldova 200...........2.18
Germany 250...........17
Armenia 250...........1.43
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