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MilanBarosh
21 May 12 07:57
Joined:
Date Joined: 31 Jan 12
| Topic/replies: 1,034 | Blogger: MilanBarosh's blog
1.CYPRUS
2.ROMANIA
3.GREECE
4.FINLAND
5.HUNGARY
6.ICELAND
7.DENMARK
8.SWISS
9.IRELAND
10.RUSSIA
Pause Switch to Standard View ESC SEMI-FINAL 1...list your 10...
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Report squares May 21, 2012 9:02 AM BST
what do you by preferential order?

results wise financially,
personal preference, or
what we think is most likely to happen?
Report squares May 21, 2012 9:02 AM BST
MEAN by - ffs
Sad
Report spanky May 21, 2012 9:42 AM BST
Here is who I think will qualify:

Iceland
Greece
Albania
Romania
Belgium
Israel
Cyprus
Denmark
Russia
Moldova
Report five leaves left May 21, 2012 9:54 AM BST
Mine would be the same as spanky, except I'd replace Belgium with either Finland or Switzerland
Report MilanBarosh May 21, 2012 10:16 AM BST
sorry squares...PERSONAL PREFERENCE m8.
Report five leaves left May 21, 2012 10:34 AM BST
lol. I've done who I think will qualify.
TBH my favs wouldn't be much different. Excpet Greece and Iceland would be missing.
Report bexley May 21, 2012 10:48 AM BST
Who I want to qualify:

1.Romania
2.Iceland
3.Ireland
don't really care after hat point but
4.Hungary
5.Switzerland
6.Finland
as I like these and
7.Greece
8.Moldova
9. Latvia
10.Israel

Who I think will:

1.Romania
2.Iceland
3.Denmark
4.Russia
5.Greece
6.Moldova
7.Ireland
8.Cyprus
9.Hungary
10.one of Belgium/Finland/Switzerland can't call it until I see them on Tuesday
Report NXRBL May 21, 2012 10:52 AM BST
My Personal Preference list would be more of a "I dislike these 10 songs less than the rest" which does not corelate with the order of how I think it may pan out below (1-10)

1.  Romania
2.  Denmark
3.  Greece
4.  Iceland
5.  Russia
6.  Cyprus
7.  Moldova
8.  Albania
9.  Ireland
10. Switzerland

GL all ahead of the Semi's!
Report bexley May 21, 2012 10:53 AM BST
other than those that I have a financial interest in going through my greatest wishes would be that a)the Albanian abomination fails to make it through as I can't listen to it any more and b) Cyprus fails to qualify so I can say I told you so Silly
Report Henry VIII May 21, 2012 11:01 AM BST
Who cares about the girly personal preferences of others? This is a betting site.

Milan who do you THINK will qualify mate, and in order? That's what we're interested in.

I think these will qualify:

Romania
Denmark
Iceland
Moldova
Ireland
Russia
Cyprus
Hungary
Finland
Albania
Report NXRBL May 21, 2012 11:11 AM BST
Bold shout with Cyprus Bex, but it has the potential to be the Poster Boy for ESC fanwank Laugh
Despite ropey rehearsals/shaky vocal I think the fact it's up after the facebook song should make it look like a masterpiece!
I just have a feeling that all these kitsch/ditzy/bubble gum songs will do well in this time of Euro-depression. I know that traditionally they don't have a great track record, but people want/need some fun!
Report NXRBL May 21, 2012 11:15 AM BST
PMSL @ Henry!
Dead right mate! No mincin around and No Greece either! Shocked I like itDevil
Report bexley May 21, 2012 11:16 AM BST
I think Cyprus will qualify tbh I put it in my list, however I'd be tempted to lay it at the price. It will disappear without trace once Saturday results come around, I have no doubt whatsoever about that.
I take your point onboard but imo juries will kill it and when it comes to 'feelgood' factor songs then there are better ones
Report bexley May 21, 2012 11:18 AM BST
No Greece Henry? Very bold
Report NXRBL May 21, 2012 11:21 AM BST
Bex, very true, I agree we all know there are better ones Wink
Report Henry VIII May 21, 2012 11:53 AM BST
PMSL @ Henry!
Dead right mate! No mincin around and No Greece either! Shocked I like it


Oops I missed Greece, sorry I'll have to redo it.  (They better qualify, I've even backed them a little to do so.
Report honestcl May 21, 2012 11:54 AM BST
It's all about Romania for me.  For once I got on a steaming train before it left the platform (got 12/1 with bwin on the semi win, now generally 6s)

Romania
Denmark
Iceland
Moldova
Ireland
Russia
Cyprus
Hungary
Switerland
Albania (I have to confess to being baffled for love for this one - it's awful, yet I'll not back or lay it and just leave it be due to the love for it elsewhere)
Report Henry VIII May 21, 2012 11:57 AM BST
CORRECTION Who I think these will qualify:

Romania
Denmark
Greece
Iceland
Moldova
Ireland
Russia
Cyprus
Hungary
Finland
Report Henry VIII May 21, 2012 12:03 PM BST
No Greece Henry? Very bold

A typo, corrected now. Looks like the last 4 of us are very similar except for the last few countries (and I never take a position on what I consider the borderlines anyway).
Report Henry VIII May 21, 2012 12:06 PM BST
You obviously forgot Greece like I originally did honestcl? Redo it properly GrinWink
Report honestcl May 21, 2012 12:08 PM BST
Christ, I've been rumbled - I knew it was a mistake to copy and paste Henry VIII's! 

Switch Hungary for Greece on my list!
Report mugptr May 21, 2012 12:23 PM BST
Ok I will have a crack at it
What I think will happen

Romania
Russia
Iceland
Greece
Ireland
Denmark
Switzerland
Cyprus
Moldova
Hungary
Report popking May 21, 2012 2:39 PM BST
It's still very much 10 from 13 for me.

I do think Belgium will get in (remember Lithuania topped the jury vote in the semi last year) and I am beginning to think Hungary could edge out Switzerland.

Romania
Greece
Ireland
Russia
Denmark
Moldova
Iceland
Belgium
Cyprus
Hungary (or Swizerland)
Report bexley May 21, 2012 3:01 PM BST

May 21, 2012 -- 9:54AM, five leaves left wrote:


Mine would be the same as spanky, except I'd replace Belgium with either Finland or Switzerland


so no Ireland for you or Spanky?

Report five leaves left May 21, 2012 3:22 PM BST
I forgot about them.
They only just scraped thru from the pimp slot last year with a better song and better staging.
On the flip side they have more European fans now.
All things considered 1.35 looks on short side
Report spanky May 21, 2012 5:41 PM BST
Yes, I've got Ireland out and Belgium in. Again, I just don't see Ireland who barely scraped through last time making it with what by all accounts is a poorer version of their last rendition. But I wouldn't exclude that they make it...

The definite non-qualifiers for me are San Marino and Montenegro. I'd wager my house that they won't make it without losing any sleep. I'd also be really, really surprised if Austria or Latvia made it. Beyond that everyone still stands a chance in my read...
Report NXRBL May 21, 2012 7:44 PM BST
This time last year Jedmania was at fever pitch in Germany with the pair hardly seen without Lena hanging out of, or banging on about them. The same was true with the fanfare here in the red tops and media at this point last year.

This year I think there has been much less of a fuss over them. I don't think there will be a big contraction in their price like last year, so beware traders, however I do think that their management feel the job's done already with the fanbase they've garnered during and subsequent to ESC 2011. A strong televote should have them in the final and that's all they want - nothing greater expected... Just to get through and put another 12 months on their shelf life
Report NXRBL May 21, 2012 7:56 PM BST
^^ That said I certainly wouldn't be backing them at the price, with their main televote opposition in the same semi and an arguably weaker overall package in terms of song and production. I'll be leaving them alone
Report bexley May 21, 2012 10:23 PM BST
Updated my prediction and filled in the final place based on the dress rehearsals:

1.Romania
2.Denmark
3.Russia
4.Iceland
5.Moldova
6.Greece
7.Ireland
8.Hungary
9.Cyprus
10.Belgium

still no Albania
Report popking May 21, 2012 10:34 PM BST
Well they're the same 10 as me now Bex...I'm thinking Hungary will edge the Swiss out now, but maybe both could make it in at the expense of Cyprus?
Report bexley May 21, 2012 10:43 PM BST
I'm scared to get ny hopes up too much for Cyprus failing.

In all honesty though going from my voting strength info and where I see it with the juries I shouldn't have it in there
Report bexley May 21, 2012 10:44 PM BST
Switzerland disappointed me a little tbh thats probably why
Report bexley May 21, 2012 10:45 PM BST
not their performance just the song isn't quite as good as a few bloggers had me believing
Report popking May 21, 2012 10:46 PM BST
I think it's a decent enough soft rock song but not as much appeal as something like New Tomorrow from last year that the juries loved.
Report five leaves left May 21, 2012 10:47 PM BST
1.Moldova
2.Denmark
3.Russia
4.Romania
5.Greece
6.Cyprus
7.Albania
8.Israel
9.Ireland
10.Finland
Report popking May 21, 2012 10:51 PM BST
Finland a contender for bottom 3 I reckon.
Report bexley May 21, 2012 10:57 PM BST
no Iceland leaves - might have known Silly
Report bexley May 21, 2012 10:57 PM BST
Cyprus 6 wtf you had it winning the whole thing earlier today didn't you??
Report five leaves left May 21, 2012 10:58 PM BST
Ivi let me down it seems Sad
Report five leaves left May 21, 2012 11:00 PM BST
Never trust a Greek Cypriot woman. My dad did his national service out there and they're a dodgy lot ;)
Report MilanBarosh May 21, 2012 11:08 PM BST
clucking bell 'popking'...Finland is a song...Moldova is a circus act...is this europes got talent or a phuck!ng song contest!

'5' with Moldova #1...he also likes the ugly spanish duckling and the loon from Albania...you need a break fella.
Report popking May 21, 2012 11:13 PM BST
Finland is an uninspiring dirge.
Report five leaves left May 21, 2012 11:18 PM BST
Finand is a beautifully soothing song.
Report five leaves left May 21, 2012 11:18 PM BST
Finland is a beautifully soothing song.
Report bexley May 21, 2012 11:18 PM BST
have you actually made a prediction Milan. All I see is what you wish to happen?
Report bexley May 21, 2012 11:20 PM BST
Go on post one - I heard having a laugh is good for you before bedtime and I'm curious now Silly
Report MilanBarosh May 21, 2012 11:23 PM BST
i posted first fyi...have you ever actually posted a topic or do you just leech ?
Report MilanBarosh May 21, 2012 11:26 PM BST
oh you can just look in the mirror bex...and fyi, it's one different to yours Laugh
Report bexley May 21, 2012 11:29 PM BST

May 21, 2012 -- 11:23PM, MilanBarosh wrote:


i posted first fyi...have you ever actually posted a topic or do you just leech ?


ah I see 'list your 10 qualifiers' was an invitation for everyone except me then Silly

Report Lonnegan May 21, 2012 11:56 PM BST
1.Romania
2.Denmark
3.Iceland
4.Russia
5.Greece
6.Moldova
7.Cyprus
8.Albania
9.Ireland
10.Switzerland

Coin toss Swiss or Hungary for final spot.
Report spanky May 22, 2012 12:00 AM BST
From Twitter, I get a hunch that the Irish twins might be able to mobilize their 500.000 Twitter followers to launch a televoting campaign to lift their dismal song with its desperate over the top performance to the finals.

I'd be very surprised, however, if this more gimmicky but overall poorer rendition of last year would score a top 10 among juries.
Report popking May 22, 2012 12:03 AM BST
I think you're the only one who finds it more gimmicky.  The general concensus seems to be the song is better, but less gimmicky...
Report spanky May 22, 2012 12:12 AM BST
Popking, last year the gimmick looked fresh. And the performance and the backdrop tied in neatly with the song. This year it looks old, worn and contrived. These boys haven't progressed, they're regressing... I don't see that as a winning formula but they do have a fanbase. So I'm changing my prediction to them not landing in the top 10 with the juries. In my opinion, they might still make it by virtue of the televote although that may well be a heavy lift...
Report popking May 22, 2012 12:20 AM BST
It's all about opinions Spanky - I know you rate the Italian song highly but there's many on here, myself included who don't see it living up the hype.  I'm happy to back Ireland in the overall top 10 market though, and lay Italy at the current price.
Report spanky May 22, 2012 12:26 AM BST
Yes, I do rate Italy highly BUT I haven't seen the camera work. Based on the You Tube clips which don't give us the full picture, I'm now inclined to see Romania as a strong contender for the televote. It would not surprise my if they top it. I still see Italy as getting a good jury score but I cant judge if it will be enough...

I wish we could see the closeups of the camera work that the guys in the press room get... Then I'd feel more certain about Italy.
Report five leaves left May 22, 2012 12:27 AM BST
I'd be utterly astonished if Romania win.
Report spanky May 22, 2012 12:34 AM BST
I'd be surprised if they top the jury vote. It would not surprise me if they win the televote. Overall, I think they can win. So far, I've only had this feeling with Italy who have the class but may just miss the oomph in their performance to captivate a broad audience.
Report popking May 22, 2012 12:41 AM BST
Well I don't see Romania or Italy as winners, but I'm happy with the one of the 2 I have green at least.
Report NXRBL May 22, 2012 9:27 AM BST
Lonnegan,
I like your 10 - pretty much a couple of flip flops and we're on exactly the same page mate! Shocked
Hope it works out like that Wink
Report Lonnegan May 22, 2012 11:00 AM BST
Cheers NXRBL, fingers crossed!

As long as Romania run Top 3 in the semi it will be all smiles at this end.
Report MilanBarosh May 22, 2012 12:57 PM BST
wow Hungary is seriously underated amongst this tosh imo.
Report johnwark May 22, 2012 2:22 PM BST
1 Russia
2 Denmark
3 Cyprus
4 Iceland
5 Greece
6 Moldova
7 Romania
8 Switzerland
9 Hungary
10 Israel
Report tsak444 May 22, 2012 3:51 PM BST
Before I post my selections (which are pretty much the same with most, it might be the order that changes only), I have a question. It seems that the 'Big 5' plus Azerbaijan won't be voting in any semi. I remember last year those countries would be drawn to vote in one or the other semi. Has that changed this year (I guess it should), or have I just screwed up and those countries will be voting tonight (some of them) and on Thursday (the rest of them)???
Report popking May 22, 2012 3:54 PM BST
Azerbaijan, Spain & Italy vote tonight. UK, Germany, France on Thursday.
Report J.O.TOBIN. May 22, 2012 5:11 PM BST
Romania 1st
Denmark 2nd
Russia 3rd
Greece 4th
Iceland 5th
Moldova 6th
Albania 7th
Ireland 8th
Hungary 9th
Belguim or Israel.

Agree with the lays on Cyprus might sneak in but an easy lay to finish top 3 in this. 6/4 Denmark and Romania dutched strikes me as infinitely better value than Sweden in the outright, and Romania in paricular looks a place lock. Most of the qualification value has gone but Albania should make it through ay 4/6 the 8/14 Romania top3 makes more appeal.
Report MilanBarosh May 22, 2012 5:20 PM BST
as this is my topic i feel i have the right to amend my 10, same 10 just a little shuffle ok..

1.HUNGARY
2.ROMANIA
3.GREECE
4.FINLAND
5.DENMARK
6.ICELAND
7.CYPRUS
8.SWISS
9.IRELAND
10.RUSSIA
Report sideshowbob May 22, 2012 5:44 PM BST
i marked them all out of 10, after much deliberation:

1.Denmark 8
2.Romania 8
3.Iceland 8
4.Cyprus 7
5.Greece 7
6.Ireland 7
7.Russia 7
8.Hungary 6
9.Moldova 6
10.Switzerland 5

11.Albania 4
12.Israel 4
13.San Marin 2
14.Finland 2
15.Belgium 2
16.Latvia 1
17.Austria 0
18.Montenegro 0
Report seanvice May 22, 2012 5:49 PM BST
This my prediction in order.

Iceland
Romania
Cyprus
Denmark
Moldova
Hungary
Russia
Greece
Israel
Belgium
Report hemsby May 22, 2012 9:28 PM BST
Here are the 10 qualifiers from the hemsby family jury

Romania 26
Russia 25
Ireland 23
Iceland 23
Greece 20
Hungary 20
Austria 19
Moldova 19
Finland 18
Denmark 17
--------------------
Cyprus 17
Belgium 14
Switzerland 13
Albania 13
Latvia 13
Israel 13
San Marino 9
Montenegro 8
Report sideshowbob May 22, 2012 10:26 PM BST
not so random as people think then. out of my predictions, based purely on songs not tactical voting, the top 9 went through and 11th instead of my 10th pick. i should have layed all the the ones i hated!
Report bexley May 22, 2012 10:27 PM BST
Sure somebody will have got 10 cba checking Wink maybe more than one

Got 9 I think bloody Albania Cry
Report MilanBarosh May 22, 2012 10:46 PM BST
loads of 9's but no 10...lonegan & sideshowbob both unlucky...try again thursday boys.
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