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grendel
16 Apr 12 18:24
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Date Joined: 02 Jul 04
| Topic/replies: 5,107 | Blogger: grendel's blog
Won the latest ranking tournament and won 10-0 at the weekend to qualify, will do o'sullivans nut in and beat him.
Pause Switch to Standard View EBDON @ 10/3 with Baldy to beat...
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Report moondan April 16, 2012 6:31 PM BST
Backing Ebdon will be a massive mistake.

Peter peaked too soon.
Report grendel April 16, 2012 7:02 PM BST
backing 10/3 in a match bet would never be a massive mistake, absolute rubbish about ebdon peaking too soon ... where do you get that silly notion from
Report moondan April 16, 2012 7:21 PM BST
Snooker is a funny old game and being obsessed by it for over 40 years of my adult life there is not much I have not seen.

Ronnie will be very happy with the draw and knows that all things being equal he should outclass peter who did so well in china but players of his age usually dont put two good tournaments together.

But you never know.
Report grendel April 16, 2012 7:44 PM BST
Believe me, Ebdon in the first round would have been his worst case scenario ... he hates playing slow methodical players, that's why he's not too keen on playing Selby either ... as for too old to string two tournaments together, i have backed him to win one match, not the tournament and he has recently switched to a vegan diet which he has stated gives him much more energy.  Of course Ronnie should be favourite and should win but the odds should be closer to 2/1, 9/4 for Ebdon in my opinion, don't forget Ebdon has been in 3 world finals the same number as O'Sullivan.
Report fayaz1 April 16, 2012 10:47 PM BST
Berlington does look slightly big after his recent win.

But if you saw his Qual. he played average scoreline flattered him.
Report moondan April 17, 2012 11:46 AM BST
Grendel,

I accept your points and agree its a value bet but as a big fan of Peter I think his game is way off the player who frustrated Ronnie years ago.
I do not accept what Davis and his Parrot says about the game improving and am more in line with what Ebdon and Murphy thinks, along with the great majority of players who say bigger breaks are more to do with improved conditions than better players.

Peter outclassed Maguire in china who is so typical of the player these tables have produced, when their A games go missing  so do they.
Peter would always figure in my top ten of all time and have seen him live many times from his ponytail days through his really great days of beating Hendry fair and square over 4 sessions in the final some years ago.
He was more fluent then but has addapted his game accordingly and if players dont like it then the answer is in their hands ---dont miss.
For me Peters game is a shadow of its former self and because of that even a 70% Ronnie is going to win comfortably.
Ronnie will not mind how long Peter takes, I think he needs time to settle in now.
Anyway, its just my opinion and it would not be the first time I have been proved wrong.
Report razzamataz April 17, 2012 2:28 PM BST
get fred was the first to open up and they went 5/1 ebdon if they had nobody to copy they would go skint, i remember last year when they opened  up on which  qualifier would  go the furthest they went 9/1 judd trump i.m still waiting for them to open up on this market
Report fayaz1 April 17, 2012 10:45 PM BST
Well Fredrick insists on employing dimwit traders who dont know how to correspond a price, what do you expect?
Report son of a gun April 18, 2012 5:08 PM BST
could be a cracking bet but on the other hand ROS always shows up at sheffield though he's aged considerably and cannot be compared to the god he was in the past
Report Angel Gabrial April 18, 2012 11:14 PM BST
Ebdon looked to be cueing more confidently leading up to the China Open of which i saw none of it. I actually tipped Ebdon up for the World Champs before the China Open as i was impressed by hid cue action when he played in the league against Perry, even though he lost that match 3-2. Once Ebdon starts cueing confidently he can beat anyone, especially over the longer format.
It would not surprise me in the slightest if Ronnie struggles against Ebdon.
Report ciba April 22, 2012 10:49 PM BST
Get on Ebdon. Unreal price. Will definitely trade lower in running
Report LartigueNote April 23, 2012 12:58 AM BST
Ronnie will put him to the sword, no question in my mind. I expect a heavy defeat for Ebdon.
Report moondan April 23, 2012 10:05 AM BST
Well I have backed 3 players so far and they all lost, I have got to go for Ronnie but my track record so far is shxt.
Report spudmurphy April 23, 2012 10:06 AM BST
Ebdon 3.5 Frames start 1.90 has to be the bet.
Report Cptamerica April 23, 2012 1:12 PM BST
Ronnie is always short priced. Not so much in the last year or so. Tempting fate here but he ain't no world beater anymore. Tempted by Ebdon but... he is as tempremental as Ronnie.

Tempted by Ebdon but really not sure. One thing is sure sure im not backing Ronnie at the off.
Report Rigsby. April 23, 2012 2:28 PM BST
Ronnie (1.34) Win.

Osullivan only needs to play his(b)game. Comfortable win for me.
Report The Prophet April 23, 2012 2:34 PM BST
Peter has been a vegan for 6 months now...could make all the difference.
Report Rigsby. April 23, 2012 2:35 PM BST
You can tell.
Report MoneyBagger April 23, 2012 2:37 PM BST
Ronnie has been at his most vunderable in every first round match recently - Welsh Open/German Open/China....value has to be with Ebbo
Report the stunning April 23, 2012 2:39 PM BST
Ebdon +3.5 @ nearly evens lookes a gift to me.
Report the stunning April 23, 2012 2:40 PM BST
looksCrazy.
Report Shamus April 23, 2012 2:40 PM BST
At first glance Ebdon seems to be cueing well enough.
Report moondan April 23, 2012 10:14 PM BST
I hate to say I told you so.

Odds were too short for me to make a killing but a little G,B.H was in order.
Job not quite done but ?????
Report Graham Vs Green April 23, 2012 11:03 PM BST
Watched this session at The Crucible today.

From the break off in frame 1, Ebdon tried slowing the game down.  He was negative in the extreme from the outset.  Even in the 1st frame re-spot he played containing safety shots.

It took him 4 minutes to compile breaks of 15-25.  He never got into any rhythm, despite being amongst the balls on numerous occasions.  Only time he played at any sort of natural pace, he won the last frame at a canter with a decent break.
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