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Ryan Moore's Insight

My Friday rides at Ascot

20 Jul 12 08:29
14:10 - Woodlandsway

Diaminda and Pearl Bell both ran to a decent level of form on their debuts, and the newcomers from the Hannon and Charlton stables obviously deserve plenty of respect. So I am up against it on Richard's Woodlandsway, who was beaten a fair way on her Kempton debut over 7f earlier this month. Probably needs to improve a stone or more to get competitive.

14:45 - Millers Wharf

Ran with definite promise when fourth to stablemate, and subsequent Coventry runner-up/Superlative winner Olympic Glory, at Goodwood last month. You would hope that he would step on that run and improve for the extra furlong too, but this is clearly a smart little contest. I was on board Havana Gold when he won at Newmarket and, while I don't think the form has worked out too well as yet, he impressed me. And Kempton winners Glass Office and Discernable shouldn't be underestimated either.

15:20 - Romeo Montague

Showed smart form when second to Gatewood over 1m2f at York in July and appeared to excel when stepped up massively in trip to contest the Queen Alexandra at Royal Ascot, finishing an eight-and-a-half length third to me on Simenon. The handicapper has reacted by putting him up 4lb but if building on that first attempt at a real staying distance in this 2m handicap, he clearly has decent prospects. Goes well with cut in the ground.

15:55 - Mac's Power

Finished in midfield in the Wokingham last time but was only beaten four-and-a-half lengths. Hasn't always excelled at this course but probably ran his best ever race when third to Noble Citizen here last year, and is now 3lb lower and had run two decent races this season prior to the Wokingham. Has shown some form in the soft but is probably better on decent ground.

16:30 - Ladyship

Clearly bumped into a classy soft ground horse when third to Moonstone Magic at Leicester on her reappearance, and stepped down in trip on her return to that track last time. She won well for me there and the runner-up has since won (and the third and fourth have run well in defeat since too), so maybe she can figure off a mark of 86. I personally think that is a bit harsh on what she has shown, but she is beautifully bred and lightly-raced so let us hope she can prove up to the task. I could have done without being drawn 1 of 19 though, as that may not be ideal at all. Magic Secret and Poole Harbour are two obvious dangers in a very competitive race.

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13:20
Illaunaglass
I was on board for this filly's debut win and her good subsequent third in the Albany at the Royal meeting. But her form tailed off after that in her next two starts, and I don't know why. In fact, I can't tell you too much about her to be honest, other than she was pulled out of her intended engagement at Royal Ascot on the day. If she comes back to the Albany form, she has a chance, but she looks pretty harshly handicapped to me off 99 on what she has shown so far, and has her stamina to prove too, after disappointing in the Sweet Solera over course and distance. If you ask me, it is asking a lot for her to win this off top weight after a lengthy lay off, but I hope I am wrong.


13:50
Chunky Diamond
Although he hasn't run that badly in his two starts this season, the fact that he hasn't beaten a horse home tells its own story. And he doesn't appear to be that well handicapped on his best juvenile form, a second in a Doncaster listed race, either. I'd say I am up against it here. May not like the soft ground, too.


14:25
City Image
Followed up her soft ground Windsor win over 5f with an impressive defeat of Sandreamer, who re-opposes here, over this trip in a listed race on fast ground on the Rowley course last time. There wouldn't appear to be much between her and Richard's other runner, Maureen, who also impressed me first time out at Newbury. But, again, this looks a hot juvenile race, with Albany runner-up Agent Allison, and Sendmylovetorose, probably setting the form standard, the latter on her Group 3 win at the Curragh.


15:00
Maybe
This is probably the hottest Falmouth Stakes I can remember, and Golden Lilac will prove very hard to beat. She is a horse I have always rated and her Prix d'Ispahan win didn't surprise me at all. And, apart from her, we have the first three home in the Windsor Forest, as well as the Boussac winner Elusive Kate, Alanza and Giofra. In a normal Falmouth, I would be fancying my chances on Maybe, who I rode to win the Chesham last season. The ground was probably against her in the Guineas and the trip was probably too far for her in the Oaks. But the older fillies look a strong bunch this year, don't they?


15:35
Evangelist
He is by Oasis Dream out of a mare who I rode to win over 7f at two, and who went on to win a Park Hill. He goes OK at home but I would have said he will need the experience here in this big field.


16:10
Leo Luna
Is very well-related from the family of Workforce and a half-brother to the likes of Sea Moon. Has taken a while to get the hang of what is required of him at home but he is slowly beginning to do the right things. I have seen stronger maidens at this meeting but my mount will need the experience of a race.


17:20
Jack's Revenge
Hughesy gave him a great ride to get him home by a neck at Windsor last time, and in the circumstances a 3lb rise looks fair. Has disappointed on the soft in the past but there was cut in the ground at Windsor, so hopefully the going won't be an issue. The opposition may be though, as there are some likely, unexposed ones in here.

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13.20

Valiant

On official marks we have something to find with Ascot third Rewarded and Lingfield Derby Trial runner-up Shantaram. Shantaram is a horse I like and I would be prepared to ignore his below-par maiden win here last time and make him the one to beat on his second to Main Sequence. But Valiant overcame greenness to win at Newbury on his debut for Joseph and then I got on him for his York handicap win off 86 last time. It wasn't at all easy there as I had to get after him from the start after he missed the kick - it didn't surprise me at all to be told he went to nearly 50-1 in running on Betfair - but he kept finding and in the end won well. I wouldn't want the ground to dry out too much for him, as he is clearly lazy and a bit of juice will probably always suit. But he is improving and the step up to 1m5f will be in his favour, being a Galileo. It is the step up in class that may be the problem, but he doesn't have that much to find. He could well develop into a Cup horse but this race will tell us more.

13.50

Gale Force Ten

This looks a hotter July Stakes than usual; in fact it as hot as I can remember one being. We have a Windsor Castle runner-up in Alhebayeb, a Coventry Stakes fourth in Sir Prancealot who is rated better than he showed there, and an arguably unlucky Norfolk Stakes 5th in Ahern. As well as Italian Group 3 winner Chilworth Icon, unexposed winners like Birdman and my mount Gale Force Ten. Along with Sir Prancealot, he probably comes into this race with the strongest piece of form on his ¾ length second to Reckless Abandon in the Norfolk - the winner is a good horse - and we know the step back up to 6f, over which he won at The Curragh, will suit. I obviously have a decent chance but this will clearly take a lot of winning.

14.25

Stature

As you would expect, this looks a red-hot handicap; historically, it is one of the toughest handicaps of the season to win. And when you are looking at any decent handicap this season your eyes are immediately drawn to the John Gosden runner. And Nabucco's defeat of Guarantee at Windsor last time was boosted when the runner-up won a decent Newbury maiden next time and he is certainly bred to be better than his mark of 88. I rode the sixth in that Windsor race and Nabucco looks well handicapped to me. But everyone else just has to get on with it! And my mount Stature did well to win at Windsor, the front two pulling clear of the third, and hopefully will go well under his 6lb penalty. But he may be running for a place at best here, with the likes of Greek War and Fennell Bay obvious dangers, too.

15.00

Fiorente

There is no getting away from it. As yet, Fiorente hasn't progressed as we would have hoped this season. And things don't get any easier in this company, with the likes of Red Cadeaux and Jakkalberry, horses I know well, in opposition. But he travelled well for a long way in the Hardwicke at Ascot last time and I wouldn't be in a rush to rule him out here as he is a horse with a lot of class and speed when things fall right for him. We run him without the cheekpieces he wore at Ascot. Red Cadeaux looks the one to beat here.

15.35

Three Choirs

I am probably on Richard's third string here, but they have won before. Not that many though, to be honest! I don't know much about the filly in truth but she will know her job. And while she is possibly bred to want more than 6f in time, she is related to juvenile winners. But this is a 20-runner Newmarket maiden with a handful in here who have already shown decent form, so she is obviously up against it first time out. Fleeting Smile will probably take a fair bit of beating.

16.05

Mister Music

I have ridden him a few times, for his maiden win and also when well beaten at Epsom last month. He didn't strike me as a particularly well handicapped horse at Epsom but he clearly likes softer ground than he had there and ran the race of his life when second to me on Fast Or Free in the Britannia next time. He was put up 5lb for that which makes handicaps very difficult, so he takes his chance in a conditions race here against horses stepping back from Group company, among them a horse in Gabrial who was only beaten four lengths in a Group 1 at Ascot. Will find this tough but is improving on the evidence of his Ascot run, has form on the July course, and 1m with cut in the ground is ideal.

16.40

Solemn

Have ridden him once before I think, but he looks a much improved horse these days on the evidence of his six length soft ground win at Sandown and he ran well off this higher mark when third at Salisbury last time. You have to suspect that the handicapper has caught up with him now, but conditions will suit and luck will play a big part here. Being drawn 12 of 20 at least gives me options.

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14:30
Equitania


Newfangled looks the one to beat here after her very impressive Newmarket debut win a fortnight ago; I rode the fourth in that race and the winner looked a Group horse to me. Equitania will probably be one of the outsiders here, especially as the form of her Ascot second isn't working out too well. The winner hasn't been out since but the third and fourth haven't done much for the form. But I know the stable like her and she will have learned a lot from her first start and the extra furlong will suit, too. But a place is probably as much as we can hope for.


15:05
Astrology


Noble Mission and Thought Worthy look the main dangers on form but I liked Shantaram at Lingfield and I would be inclined to to ignore his unimpressive maiden win last time. And i think it is significant that Wiliam rides him. But if Astrology runs to form, they are playing for second place on what we saw at Epsom. If there is any more rain, that wouldn't inconvenience him on what we saw at Chester.


15:45
Russelliana


Maybe would have been favourite for this race, but she is out with a bruised foot. And, anyway, it looks as if all the 3yo fillies are taking it in turns to beat each other over a mile, so this race lacks a stand-out performer. Obviously, Homecoming Queen has a massive chance on her Newmarket win for me and any further rain would suit her, Samitar won well at the Curragh and the second won the Jersey yesterday, and Laugh Out Loud looks a progressive filly too.

But I have an outside chance on Russelliana. That may seem a little hopeful given what she showed us in the Nell Gwyn on her reappearance but she works much better than that and I thought she could develop into to a class filly when second in the Cherry Hinton last season. She has had her problems and the draw doesn't help, but she isn't a no-hoper by any means.


16:25
Kirthill


Looked to run ok at York on his reappearance last month. I don't know much about the horse other than that I hear he is working ok, and you always have to respect one of Luca's here. The horse looked very progressive last year and has winning form with cut in the ground too. But it remains to be seen whether he can cope with a 6lb rise in the weights from his Newbury win last season, especially as there are no end of horses in here on a steep upward curve, some of whom are sure to have further improvement to show today.


17:00
Estimate


Estimate goes in to the race with plenty to find on form, but I think she will run ok. She is a not a good workhorse at home, so you wouldn't know how good she is, but she won her maiden at Salisbury well and I think she is guaranteed to stay and run a nice race. Her pedigree is all stamina, and she is from the family of the Aga Khan's that has produced a Gold Cup winner, and an Irish Oaks-French St Leger winner, to name but two. Like I said, she would have upwards of a stone to find with some of these but I think the step up to 2m will bring about considerable improvement.


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14:30
Valbchek


With an incredible 26 runners lining up here - I have never seen a Jersey like it - this race will take some solving for punters as well as riding for the jockeys. And in Valbchek, I am riding one of the most unexposed horses in the field. Clearly did as expected when winning at odds of 4-11 on his debut and he stepped on that when winning the Tattersalls Million sales race over 6f at Newmarket in April. The runner-up went on to win a listed race next time, so the form looks ok, even if those behind haven't done a lot; but even if you take a positive view of it, he clearly needs to step up to win this. But he has always worked like a good horse and gave me the impression there was more to come when I won on him at Newmarket, not surprisingly for a horse having just his second start. He has an awkward head carriage but he knuckled down well when I asked him, and he will get 7f ok. In a normal Jersey, I would be fancying my chances. But there are any number of potential winners in here. And I am drawn 25 or 26, so who knows? At least I appear to have a bit of pace around me.


15:05
Beatrice Aurora


Progressed really well last season, Group 1 placed in Italy, and made a pleasing reappearance at Newmarket. Although some may have been disappointed by her fifth at York last time, I thought she ran ok and that was what she is. A very smart filly, but perhaps not one up to winning this. Emulous was very impressive in the Matron Stakes last season and won well on her reappearance, and she looks the one to beat. Of the others, Nahrain and Chachamaidee look best of the rest.


15:45
Carlton House


I am surprised that Cirrus Des Aigles is not running here, and there is a lot of dead wood in the race. But So You Think, who I obviously know well, sets the standard and is the one to beat on ratings. Ok, he has been beaten in both his starts at Ascot, including when we got beat a neck by Rewilding in this race last season. But there was no disgrace at all in that or his second in the Champion Stakes in October. He may not have lived up to everyone's expectations since coming over from Australia, but he is a top class racehorse with about 7lb in hand of these on his best form. Yes, he ran below par in America and Dubai - and you can't read much into his victory at 2-11 at The Curragh last month other than that he is fit and well - and, in fact, Planteur finished half-a-length in front of him in the World Cup. But, his Ganay win notwithstanding, I think 1m2f round here will stretch Planteur's stamina. Reliable Man would be a threat if coming back to the form of his Prix Niel win, but he looks to have totally lost his form. Which leaves my mount, Carlton House. We were very happy with his comeback win in the Brigadier Gerard, he has done well since, and he is well drawn in two. We have a lot to do to beat a peak-form favourite but we are unexposed, and this will tell us a lot more about him.


16:25
Bonnie Brae


I am drawn six of 33, so hopefully that proves to be a positive. I rode her when she won easily in the soft at Salisbury last season and on her last two starts. She ran an excellent race when a close second over 7f in the soft here on her reappearance but found things happening too quickly over 7f on fast ground at Goodwood last time. A mile with a bit of cut in the ground will hopefully be ideal, but she doesn't look obviously well handicapped to me.


17:00
Hairy Rocket


She really impressed me when beating subsequent winner Miss Diva by five lengths on her debut at Windsor. I wouldn't be too downhearted by her defeat in a three-runner race last time. She was taken on for the lead by Just Past Andover there, and they cut each other's throats, handing the race to Graphic Guest. I think she is a lot better than she showed there and hopefully she can prove it. But a 27-runner Queen Mary? To state the obvious, you will need all sorts of luck in running here.


17:35
Illaunglass


This probably looks the worst race of the week. I was on board for the filly's debut win and her good subsequent third in the Albany at the Royal meeting. But her form tailed off after that in her next two starts, and I don't know why. In fact, I can't tell you too much about her to be honest. If she comes back to the Albany form, she has a chance, but she looks pretty harshly handicapped to me off 99 on what she has shown so far, and has her stamina to prove too.


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14:30

I have ridden plenty of short-priced losers in my time, but never one as good as Frankel. He will beat Excelebration, and Strong Suit will be third. Nothing more to say is there? Let's move on.


15:05

I don't have a ride in this either, but if it is good ground then I would probably like to be on Bated Breath, as he impressed me at Haydock. And if it is soft, then maybe Wizz Kid. But there is no stand-out horse and it wouldn't surprise me if any one of six or seven won it - Ortensia looked good in Dubai and I always respect Hong Kong sprinters.

But this week, with massive fields, the pace, the draw and luck in running will play a massive role. Often how you jump and travel in the first 50 yards, and whether you are near the pace, will often dictate whether you can win. And the reason why the fields are so huge this week is that there are no stand-out horses in many of the races - the likes of the Coventry, Jersey and the Queen Mary - so everyone is throwing their hat into the ring.


15:45
Gregorian


Effective on good and soft going, so the ground shouldn't be a problem however it rides. Made a winning reappearance in a hot Newbury handicap in April (albeit off just a mark of 88) but then appeared to run a blinder when fifth in a bunch finish in the French 2,000, and that was even better than it looked because he raced wide. Didn't get the run of the race at all in a very rough French Derby last time, so I think you can ignore that. Hopefully he will get better luck in running today, and he will need it from 12, but a strongly-run 1m will hopefully bring out the best in him. But he clearly needs to improve. I think Power is the best horse in the race but if it rides slow, then that would be a concern. He didn't like it when I rode him at Newmarket. Born To Sea was an eye-catcher behind Power at the Curragh, I was quite impressed by Cogito in the Heron Stakes and you have to respect the French horses Lucayan and Hermival. And keep an eye on Fencing too; he travelled really well in the Dante and the step back to a mile will suit. All in all, this is a very, very competitive race.


16:25
Lines of Battle


Dawn Approach and Sir Prancealot are the ones to beat on form coming into this. But I personally thought the former was workmanlike at Naas and, while Sir Prancelot was visually more impressive at Sandown, it wasn't the strongest of listed races. They could both be more vulnerable than their prices suggest. I certainly wouldn't be in a rush to rule out any supposed second strings from any of the top stables in the 2yo races this week, as they are all obviously lightly-raced with any improvement in them. And often horses come alive on the track, and show far more than they do at home. You only have to look at the Newmarket maiden that I won on Richard Hannon's 16-1 chance Havana Gold earlier in the month from the stable's fellow debutant, the odds-on Pearl Acclaim, to see that. And that is especially true of any of Aidan's two year olds, both of whom come into this race with one run and one win under their belt. Cristoforo Colombo is shorter in the betting than my mount and ridden by Joseph, but on my reading of the form book you could easily argue that Lines Of Battle showed much the better form when winning his maiden at the Curragh. He appeared to win with a bit in hand there and the form is working out very well too - the runner-up ran well in defeat next time, the third holds a Group 1 entry and won next time, and the seventh, Theatre, won by 6 ½ lengths a fortnight later. In fact, I rode Theatre to finish seventh at the Curragh and it rode like a really good maiden, too. And Lines Of Battle is a lovely looking horse; hopefully, this race doesn't come too soon for him and he still needs the experience. But I am happy to be riding him.


17:00
Simenon


It looks as if I may be on the favourite here, so let us hope the betting has got this one right. He showed some smart form in staying handicaps when with Andrew Balding last season, notably when third at Goodwood off a 2lb higher mark than this. He then joined Willie Mullins to go hurdling and showed real ability when third in an admittedly weak Grade 1 at Punchestown and when hacking up by 15 lengths at Cork last month. Looks well handicapped on his English Flat form, and there is a possibility that he has improved too as a 5yo. Willie saddled Sesenta to finish second in this race in 2009, so maybe we can go one better here; if he stays, then I am hopeful. I am drawn well in seven. Don't underestimate the importance of the draw in these staying races.


17:35
Ask Dad


I won on Lyric Ace in the soft at Leicester and he again impressed me when he followed up at Kempton last time. He may well be the one to beat but you don't need me to tell you that with 23 unexposed 2yos in here, something could quite easily improve past him and the likes of Dylanbaru. Let's hope that Ask Dad is such a horse. He only made his debut 10 days ago in a Newmarket maiden but ran well to finish second to a horse that had an outing. And he looked green and in need of the experience there. Needs to step up the best part of a stone, and maybe more, to even get close to some of these, and that may be too much of an ask.


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Kissed can win The Oaks

01 Jun 12 08:39
My logic is that if Aidan thinks the ground is suitable fir Kissed, then I think she will have a big chance of winning.

Clearly, her high knee action suggests she needs to get her toe in. But Andrew Cooper is the best clerk of the course in the country, and he will provide beautiful ground at Epsom on Friday.

And I think Kissed is tailor-made for the race. She was my idea of the Oaks winner at the start of the season.

She looked good when winning at Navan as a two-year-old and everything about her tells you she is a 1m4f horse, being a Galileo half-sister to Pour Moi as well as an Irish Oaks third. And what wasn't there to like about her reappearance win? I think she is a high class filly. Being drawn 14 of 14 isn't ideal though; I would prefer to be drawn in the middle. But it's my job to solve that problem. I just hope that I get the chance.

Although Kissed was one-time favourite for this race, Maybe is clearly Aidan's number one in terms of the betting. She has the best form in the race in the shape of her juvenile wins and her third in the Guineas clearly wasn't a bad run either. She has a real good attitude and will handle Epsom well.

But, in common with most of these, she is going into the unknown over this trip.

That, coupled with the fact that most of these are unexposed, means it is impossible to rule many of these out bar the rank outsiders.

I also think all of Aidan's six deserve their place in the line-up, and Twirl appeals win and place at a very big price.

The Fugue obviously beat her convincingly in the Musidora but I took more positives out of her performance there than most. I think you can mark up that run because Joseph got taken on for the lead by Aniseed after just a furlong, and that wasn't ideal.

She has run two good races this season, including for me at the Curragh in March, and my impression of riding in the race at York was also that a longer trip would see her get a lot closer to the winner. I think she could hit the board and is a big price.

Despite being one of the outsiders, Devotion is a big filly that I like, and Chester runner-up Betterbetterbetter and Naas third Was are lightly-raced fillies bred for the job.

Vow was another impressive winner of her trial and it appears she is very much fancied by her stable. With their record in Classics, you would be a fool to underestimate her. But just when you think you have narrowed it down, you look at another runner and you simply cannot ignore the claims of Kailani either.

Any seventh length winner of the Pretty Polly deserves respect and on a line through the fourth home there, Salford Art, she doesn't have anything to find with The Fugue, who may start favourite. She could quite easily emulate her dam, who won this race 10 years ago.

But, if she gets the go ahead, I genuinely believe that Kissed could be the one they all have to beat.

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My Oaks day rides at Epsom

01 Jun 12 08:32
14:15 - Stand To Reason

Gatewood looked good at York and I think he may take plenty of beating off just a 5lb higher mark here. Compare that rise to my mount Stand To Reason, who went up the same amount after being beaten at Chester last time. Granted, we were only just touched off by a short head, and pulled 13 lengths clear of the third, but it was very testing ground there and I think that rise is harsh. But even though he has done his winning on soft, I actually think better ground may suit my horse and I can see him running a good race.

14:50 - Dance and Dance

The last time I rode this horse we finished second in the Hunt Cup, and I should have got the race in the stewards room. I don't think that is being too controversial. On a related point, I think stewards should have more flexibility when assessing whether interference has been deliberate or accidental in stewards enquiries and action taken accordingly. It appears that you have to be beaten a neck or under to have any chance of getting a race, but if it is deliberate interference then I think they should run the risk of being thrown out. Anyway, Dance And Dance had earlier shown he handles this track well when winning a handicap on this card off a mark of 97 last season. Things didn't work out for him in Dubai but I have ridden him at home and he is working real nice. This is a competitive little race but I fancy my chances a bit. I rode Marcret to win over an extended 1m2f in the soft at Chester, and he is a very generous horse, but a combination of stepping back in trip and on better ground could be his undoing. Worthadd won a Group 3 in Germany on his first start for his new stable a fortnight ago and he rates a big danger on his Lockinge second to Canford Cliffs. And you can't rule out Side Glance either, as he ran better at Kempton last time. But, like I said, I think we will go close, especially getting 3lb from the top two.

15:25 - Dunn'o

Was an impressive winner of the Whitsun at Sandown at this time last year and the handicapper looks to have been fairly kind to him as he can race off a 1lb lower mark here just five starts later. And, although there wasn't much obvious promise from him at Ripon on his first start for a new stable, hopefully that would have put him right for this. But this will take plenty of winning.

16:05 - Kissed: See separate blog.

16:50 - Justineo

I was beaten at 4-9 on him at Yarmouth last season, but Saigon won the race so it wasn't as bad as it looked at the time. Went on to win at Newmarket and finish fourth in the Gimcrack. Has a bit to find with some of these on official marks but you cannot rule out any William Haggas horse out at the moment, as the horses are in great form. And this race is full of some disappointing horses. But I can't be confident myself.

17:25 - Sholaan

This looks a hottish handicap but I have to be hopeful given the profile of the horse and the way the stable is going. This is a clearly a lot more competitive a race than at Wolverhampton last time (I believe he was gelded over the winter) but he won well there and I suppose the handicapper could have hit him with more than a 4lb rise. Being drawn in 13 is a negative though.

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My rides at Sandown tonight

31 May 12 09:04
19:20 - Times Up

I think this race has been downgraded to a Group 3 but it's a tough, competitive contest this year and it's one of the strongest Henry IIs for a while. Times Up had a nice pipe opener at York, traveling well, but seemed to get a bit tired. He improved a good deal from his first outing last season, enjoyed some good form last year and won't mind the fast ground; he has an each way chance. I know they were very disappointed with Ibicenco at Newbury, and he is probably a lot better than he showed that day, but Opinion Poll looks the obvious horse to beat. He boasts the best form in the race and will take the beating if in the same form after his successful time out in Dubai. Godolphin's other runner Ley Hunter had some good form in France and Zuider Zee looks progressive; they'd be my pick of the others.

19:55 - Carlton House

This race looks a bit more straightforward than it looked like being last week with Nathaniel and Monterosso not running, and I would hope he'll win. However, those tempted to take a short price about him should acknowledge that this is his first day back from a long break and a starting point for him, and he will improve for the run. But he is working well, doing everything right, and we know what a good horse he was last season. Colombian will probably be his main rival in the betting but, although he has form on fast ground, his Sandown win came on bottomless ground and he may be better with more cut. Hunter's Light is obviously better than he showed at Chester but I'm A Dreamer could be more solid. I thought she was a little unlucky at York. And then there is Sos Brillante. I better be careful what I say because the last time I took someone to task for running no-hopers in Group races I nearly got sued. But suffice to say I am not a fan of horses being allowed to run in these races when they blatantly have no chance. It's just not on, in my opinion.

20:25 - Tales of Grimm

Ten runners go to post, which is a big field for a Heron Stakes. And there are plenty of unexposed horses in here that could be anything. You can't ignore Top Offer after just one poor run in the Guineas and Irish History was impressive when winning at Windsor on his debut. And Kahruman won a decent race at Kempton very well last time, and Saigon, who I rode at Newmarket last time, has a fair form claim. My horse was going to run in the Greenham before the rain intervened and we didn't feel it was right to go straight to the Guineas. He is clearly still very inexperienced, has a long absence to overcome, and will come on for the run. Those are negatives but on the plus side he has done some nice pieces of work recently and is a useful prospect. And I always thought a lot of him last year, before he won his maiden at Newbury and afterwards. I think if he is finishes in the first three and gives us something to build on for the season, we will be happy.

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Newmarket: my six mounts

18 May 12 10:39
14:20 - Blue Nova
I don't know much about her and I think she is Jeremy's first two year old runner of the season, so this will probably tell him a fair bit about his 2yos, too. But her dam won over 7f as a juvenile, so hopefully she will be quite sharp. With 10 unraced 2yos, it's a guessing game. But I hate being drawn on the outside here on an unraced 2yo, so 10 of 10 is a big negative for me.


14:50 - Philipstown
His reappearance didn't tell us anything as he was a 100-1 no-hoper in a sales race at Newmarket last month. Didn't set the word alight last season but finished a fair fourth in a 7f Goodwood nursery. The obvious worry here is the 1m trip as there is plenty of speed in his pedigree. But Notnowcato's greater stamina influence gives some hope that he can get it.


15:20 - Rising Legend
There are three winners in here and I wouldn't dismiss any of them. But I rode the third in Cay Verde's Ascot win on Saturday and you had to be very impressed by his 2 ½ length win; he quickened up like a really good horse. So it will take a good one to beat him here, even with his 5lb penalty. But it was good to read Richard Hannon say my mount "is working very well" in the Racing Post on Monday. They clearly like him and I have to be hopeful. He is also a half-brother to the high class sprinter Danehurst.


15:55 - DickDoughtywylie
I think it would be fair to say he has disappointed in both starts this season, probably finding the ground against him when fancied at Epsom and then weakening into midfield when again forcing the pace at Newmarket last time. Would have a chance if returning to the form of his Chester win last season and the better ground should suit much better, but there are a few in here that are in good form and probably ahead of the handicapper, so this is a tough ask.


16:30 - Zenaat
Toptempo's juvenile form is the strongest but it is how these fillies have progressed in the winter and spring which is probably of more importance. Zenaat is very well bred and she can be expected to build upon her third in a Kempton maiden. This doesn't look a great race.


17:05 - Garde Cotiere
I rode him in both his starts as a juvenile, and he was very impressive when winning at Lingfield. He was well regarded at the time, Group 1-entered I think, but has clearly has had his problems and the handicapper hasn't taken any chances by giving him a mark of 94. But he was a very promising 2yo.

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