Rugby
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large h/cap for Toulouse,normally I wouldn't look at a cap so large but Toulouse can could do with a bonus point and their line up looks stacked,any views
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Replies: 38
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Think the ref will help them a lot mate. Mitrea is an absolute homer, and they beat a big cap earlier this year with him reffing if I remember rightly
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i can`t see Connacht having to much of the ball tbh,let alone scoring many points
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ffs Toulouse getting beaten up front by a bunch of fat gypsies
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WOW what a score line. Anyone with the forsight to ley Toulouse?
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i doubt there were many
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feck off forwards
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120k matched @ 1.01
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amazing scenes
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wow
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connacht have been particularly crap this season too.
must be the biggest upset ever |
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well somebody laid toulouse but it wasn't me
That has to be the biggest upset in HC history |
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I wonder who had 60K on to nick 600?
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Great weekend for Irish rugby!
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pity the english don't want to play in this tournament next year (unless they are allowed to run it too)
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Wonder what they are putting in the Guinness this week ? French teams struggling this weekend .
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well done ballaman! hope you were there to see it!
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ilayed 30k 1.01 but unfortunately thatdoesnt mean i made 30k
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benny - I hope u made 20% of it it. U must have been doing some trading during the 80 mins
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How much did you make Benny bro?
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cracking game, didnt see that coming.
Didnt make it ozy, flights ,accom,tickets booked but something came up on tues night that scuppered our plans, not to worry there will be other days. really hope that we can kick on from here, they are an honest bunch of lads and deserve a break or two. |
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Could definitely be the biggest shock in competition history. Connacht have been good value since their arrival in this comp.
They look to have a few more young talents than in previous seasons, the question is whether they can keep hold of them. I can't see Marmion being there too long, sadly. |
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Marmion is contracted until 2016, theres a fair bit of work going on at the momement on sorting out contracts.
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HC has been a huge boost in the province, both for profile,fans and sponsorship.
Playing numbers well up also. All good so far. |
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connacht have by their own average standards been very poor this season.
biggest shock in rugby i can think of. even if the irish had held on v NZ it was still nowhere near this surprise. |
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100/1 before kick off says it all in relation to result expectation . Particularly with the home teams stellar record on their own ground . Still cant believe it . A few hopefuls have backed them at 1000 for the overall competition . That would be something !
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i would not like to set the odds for the dragons game at the weekend. you can only go on overall performance which to my mind makes dragons about 4/5 but on the back of that win i aint backing that.
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One understated consequence of Connacht's win is that they have a realistic chance of qualifying. Unlikely maybe but certainly realistic. If they were to beat Toulouse it would set up some finale v Saracens
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" Particularly with the home teams stellar record on their own ground"
What is the reality of this though? How much do you think a backer of Toulouse every home HC game might of lost, or a layer won? I'd wager it would be a tidy sum if anybody had done it blindly. Connacht is obviously a huge slice of icing on top of that cake 2005/6 v Leins 2006/7 v Scarlets 2008/9 v Glas 20011/12 v Quins 20013/14 v Connacht These were all big priced away victories. Leinster were not at all fancied back in those days, and the others were similar no-hopers in betting terms Rather than being stellar, I'd go as far as to say, at the odds, Toulouse have easily the worst record of any team at home in the HC in the last 10 years. |
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No idea on the reality of the odds etc , the vis . But most are conscious that they had been unbeaten since 2009 on their home ground , and certainly Connaught ( Connacht) would not have popped up as the team to spoil that record . Hence the 100/1 , and the punter(s) willing to bet 60 k at 1.01 .
I bet 1.01 quite often , but its because there is no risk when I push the button , its only cleaning up someones book for tradeout essentially etc . I wouldn't dream though of risking it before a match played with a ball that does not obey the laws associated with round balls games . |
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given connacht's woeful W2 L13 season record with only the mighty Zebre having been overcome, twice, and off the back of a hiding against the even mightier edinburgh this was a genuine huge shock result.
they lost but did actually play pretty well in round one against sarries too tbf. |
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OK Kelly, the Quins game wasn't on their regular ground but still goes down as a home loss.
I wasn't laying them this weekend either. May have done had it been a main live game, but wouldn't have done much. From memory Leins and Scarlets were at least 7/1, Glas 20/1+, Quins probably 10/1 and now this. Throw in some near squeaks v Bath, Wasps and Glos that I can remember and they are truly a shocking team to be invloved in for home games given the amount of times they are such warm favs and giving up at least two tries on the cap. |
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The vis , I assume that the non loss at home since 2009 was accurate ( just reiterating what I heard commentators say ) . Thats 4 years , presumably 4 home matches in the Heineken . 15 wins at 1/10 plus one loss yields a plus dividend allowing for the loss last Sunday . No idea of average price for those 16 matches , but I suspect 1/10 may be low rather than high .
The fact that there were few people interested in backing Connacht at 100/1 , and a lot of people interested in backing Toulouse at 1.01 suggests that no one expected the ultimate result . I had no interest in the match , did not follow or see any of match other than recorded highlights afterwards , did not attempt to bet on the match before or during it . 1.01 only interests me when I am more or less certain the result is on the board , certainly not before any rugby game starts . |
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Well they definitely lost to Quins. Whether it is counted as a proper home loss may be a moot point, but it is down on the HC records as a home game even if it was played in Brussels.
Anyway, not suggesting you would be backing them blind or laying them blind. Just putting up a few points which shows they may not have such a stellar home record over the years. Good luck this weekend. |
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Simplistic view but what are the chances of a repeat?
Being the money buyer on RU I think outright Toulouse looks attractive. |
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Liking the French here 1k on them
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Layed plenty of sub 1.1
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Over reaction me thinks 1.06 ?
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Next bet Montpellier ht ft 1 k
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