Quite simply Both Teams To score6 points @ 17/20 (Extra) is the bet here, given that in each team's previous 5 matches it would have copped, as well as the 2 'regular season' meetings.
Cardiff are without Craig Bellamy and given these two teams are so closely matched, a tight game seems assured. Infact all 3 previous meetings between the teams have been drawn this season and the 90 minute draw2 points @ 12/5 (VC) has some mileage, but also I'll be backing the match is settled by penalties1.5 points @ 6/1 (H1lls).
No team drew more away from home than Reading in the Championship this season and, apart from their 2nd half slip against a desperate Sheff Utd the other week, are unbeaten in the league since mid-February.
In the 10 seasons since the away goals rule has been taken out of the equation of these play off semis, there have been 4 penalty shoot outs, which in itself makes the price above look too big.
Some strong trends for this game tonight, combined with what we witnessed in the Cup Final on Saturday, the difference in significance for both sides and likely team news make this a game to be very interested in.
Man City Home Clean sheets in EPL this season 11/18
Stoke City Away Matches scored in EPL this season 9/9
Man City Clean Sheet at 21/20 makes some appeal here 3 points T0te
City will be eager to win their last 2 matches to take 3rd place and the automatic Champions League spot, while Stoke looked a tired outfit on Saturday, with several key players patched up for the final and will be almost certainly rested. Their manager will be very keen to win their last home match on Sunday v Wigan to help his good friend Ian Holloway.
Man City have won their last 7 home matches so 13/10 To Win To Nil is fair value 3 points T0te
Their last 5 victories (only 1 defeat at Everton in that time) have been by 1 goal, while 7 of their last 13 matches have ended in a 1-0 victory, making the Handicap Tie (-1) at 14/52 points T0te and 1-0 at 6/11.5 points Lads worth a bet.
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With the score at 3-0 had a bet on No Man City Clean sheet1.5 points at 9/2(Fair)