Clacton by election

I took 7/1 Binface myself. As I said previously, the idea of a candidate being elected unopposed motivates people to vote for any individual that will stand.

And Pleasegiveme is right that Farage has stepped on a rake here.

So I'd expect a minimum 25% for Binface, but of course the left would love to humiliate Farage so any typical Lib/Lab/Grn voters in the town will turn out.

The people who'd be happiest of all at a Farage loss would be 'Restore' supporters. If Binface just stood there in his costume he would definitely get those too but if he keeps talking he will just reveal himself as another lefty rather than some 'anti politics' figure. His jokes mostly seem on the level of 'Liz Truss crashed the economy'.

Dixie,

yeah Deayton was good, but so were Hislop and Merton back in the day.

HIGNFY was always bashing the right more than the left, but did a good job on both in the 1990s. It was fair enough as Thatcher was still PM when it began.

It was great for the first 5, maybe 10 years, and had an appeal to anyone who followed the news, regardless of their left/right leaning.

It had run out of steam early 2000s and should have ended then. Most of the audience drifted away just because the format had become stale, but leftie viewers stuck around for the Tory bashing as quality matters less to them when the ideology is 'correct'. And from that point the show increasingly pandered to their remaining viewers.

Jul 10, 2026 -- 1:57AM, tobermory wrote:

I took 7/1 Binface myself. As I said previously, the idea of a candidate being elected unopposed motivates people to vote for any individual that will stand.And Pleasegiveme is right that Farage has stepped on a rake here.So I'd expect a minimum 25% for Binface, but of course the left would love to humiliate Farage so any typical Lib/Lab/Grn voters in the town will turn out.The people who'd be happiest of all at a Farage loss would be 'Restore' supporters. If Binface just stood there in his costume he would definitely get those too but if he keeps talking he will just reveal himself as another lefty rather than some 'anti politics' figure. His jokes mostly seem on the level of 'Liz Truss crashed the economy'.

Will Fatface actually be the only other runner on the ticket?

The speaker traditionally runs uncontested from other legacy parties each general. It doesn't seem to bother the chattering classes.

As I said, it doesn't stand up. The only reason that he is 'unopposed' as you put it is that the legacy parties are too chicken to oppose him. Not some kind of blob stitch up, or cancelling elections (which they have already tried).

I get that there's very lazy people around, but if you are motivated enough to go to the polling booth and vote for Fatface, you know exactly what is going on. Maybe in Islington, Bath or Brighton, seems less likely in Clacton.

The irony of course is the actual genuine 'unopposed' scenario is the establishment's next pick for prime minister !

Others would read it as who, why and for what Farage was given multitudes of millions which he didn't really declare until outed. He then tried to get the 'moral high ground' by declaring he was taking on the 'establishment' by resigning and trying to get re elected when he is/was under severe pressure to explain.
All parties knew his 'game' but decided not to play ball particulary as it is Clacton, rightly and nor should they.
No win situation for him, the claims that the rest are 'scared' is all he can really say but that is for the thickos,net result he has done himself up like a (U)kipper.
Haven't bet on this,i think the Bin will do better than expected and always the chance that more comes to light on the real question of all that money which at a worse case scenario means he will pull out.

Some weird and wonderful betting going on regarding Bin percentage vote share

Reform hq now firing out emails to prospective canvass teams in the midlands and North to give up on the Manchester Mayoral election and come to Clacton instead.

Refuks personal attacks on Binface are hilarious.

Got to love how the thickies revert to type.

As I said, it doesn't stand up. The only reason that he is 'unopposed' as you put it is that the legacy parties are too chicken to oppose him.

To chicken to oppose Farage?
Utter rubbish.

They're laughing at Farage.

He's got himself into a right mess, Framing it as the people vs the establishment and it's become
Him, He is The establishment (city trader, foreign £billions) versus the people (Madlad Brit without a plan or a pot to pish in, who just wanted to kick the establishment)



#GoBinFace, #WinItForBritain

If Mr Farage is the people's champion the Pope would be a Jehovah Witness or a Scientologist.

Channel 4 News
@Channel4News
·
26m
Police have reportedly begun a criminal investigation into half a million pounds in donations to Reform UK, allegedly made by the mother of a financier who paid for security and social media support for Nigel Farage.

According to The Times, the Metropolitan Police are looking into potential offences around "the evasion of restrictions on donations".

Reform's deputy leader Richard Tice described the reports as a "politically motivated smear".
Fiona Cotterell has not commented.

Tip of the iceberg with more to come, I guess.

Can you imagine how devastating this would be for Reform if it was all co-ordinated?

I guess it must be pretty annoying to have to use this one a tad earlier than planned.

If you lived in clacton cider, who would you vote for?

The foreign billionaires or the British Madlad ?

There are foreign billionaires implicated with the bbc, I seem to recall. Bill Gates is it?

If I was voting, the first step would be to see who was fronting up and wanted to try and win votes.

Ah yes

Why does Bill Gates fund the BBC?


https://www.charlottecgill.co.uk/p/why-does-bill-gates-fund-the-bbc

Gates wanted to get a few messages across on the feature, such as that under-16s should be banned from social media

lol, that article was written in early 2025. What a coincidence !

As much as I hate farage, binman cannot possibly win, if I was a millionaire I'd put the lot on garage to win this by election

in 2008 when david davis resigned and forced a by-election the other main parties thought it was a stunt and didnt run candidates,

ukip, led by someone called nigel farage, was one of the parties that didnt take part.

He can do a great campaign, 'Bin the corruption' 'Vote Bin and save the taxpayer £350,000' (Bus needed lol,
courtesy of Newsnight)

I hope the boatyMcBoatface social media campaigners get on the Binface band wagon.

binface gets tedious pretty quickly (and i say that as someone who voted for him in the most recent mayoral election), there is a danger that the people of clacton think the joke is on them.

IPSOS-Binface leads in Clacton poll.

· In a hypothetical forced choice head-to-head, 1 in 3 British adults (33%) would prefer Count Binface to win the Clacton by-election, giving him a 12ppt lead over Farage (21%). 32% say neither. 13% don’t know.
· Nearly 3 in 4 (74%) state that the parliamentary standards commissioner should be investigating whether the Reform UK leader broke parliamentary rules.
· 73% say investigation should continue even if Farage wins the by-election.

Public backing for parliamentary standards investigation

· 16% think Nigel Farage is right to resign as an MP and stand for re-election to parliament in the resulting by-election. 16% think he should have continued as an MP. 54% think he should resign and leave parliament.
· 74% state the standards commissioner should be investigating whether Mr. Farage broke rules by failing to declare a £5m gift received from a Reform UK donor before his election.
· 73% of the public believe the investigation should continue even if Farage wins the upcoming by-election, compared to 15% who think it should not continue in these circumstances.
· Meanwhile, the population is split on whether other parties should field candidates: 32% think other main political parties should not stand candidates, whereas 31% believe they should stand.

Public prefer Count Binface to win in Clacton over Nigel Farage

· When asked about the Clacton contest, 1 in 3 British adults (33%) would prefer Count Binface to win, while 21% prefer Nigel Farage and 32% choose neither. 13% don’t know.
· 69% support Count Binface’s policy of restoring the price of a 99p flake to 99p, and 53% back capping croissant prices at £1.
· However, other proposed policies have more middling support, with 36% opposing forcing rule-breaking cyclists to ride unicycles. Perhaps surprisingly, just 32% support abolishing VAR, compared to 21% who support abolishing the football technology.

Anyone who resigns a seat then contests the subsequent by-election should be liable for the full costs.

Upfront.

Parliament should be capable of passing such a law in an hour.

I fully concur esp in the case concerning Mr Farage. Mr Farage is under investigation by the PSC for a possible abuse and infringing the proceeds or funds as an MP outside his duty as a public officer.

What on earth is the point of a British-wide poll on the Clacton by election ?

Try asking the voters in the constituency if you want the ACTUAL picture.

If it were Starmer/Burnham/Badenoch etc instead of Farage you would likely get a similar outcome nationwide when asking that question.

Nobby, Reform did of course offer to pay the costs of this by election but the rules don't allow it. I agree the rules should be changed for instances like this.

I have a new BIO BIN , for food Waste , I think BIO bins are a good Idea  , Bio Fuel can help going forward

This Election is not a Good Idea , it is like a farcical side show ,I no longer think Farage is suitable to lead the party

once again we have a man who thinks the Party is all about him , It didn;t end well For Starmer , and it will not end well for

Nigel .. I would probably Consider Voting reform in a Couple years , They need a new leader

Smarkets have some very interesting markets up regarding the Clacton election.

Nigel Farage got 46% in the election , it seems there will be lots and lots of candidates standing just for the publicity , it might have been interesting if there was just 1 other candidate for the other 54% to vote for .

He knows that their plan was to try and nobble him with this charade in parliament, and nobble him with a by election after the media have been able to report the pre-determined outcome.

He screwed up their plans by creating a by election anyway. Which is what they wanted, apparently!

You could argue the tactics but allowing them to play the game on their terms wasn't going to carry on for much longer.

I think yes it is better to try and win the support of Clacton before the kangaroo court. If they try another by election they will look foolish. Obviously losing to any other runners including Fatface will also look foolish. The uni party have debased parliament to a joke since they can't stand losing a fair fight, so it is karma that they have chosen a bin to represent them.

Jul 11, 2026 -- 12:34PM, MrStrawMan wrote:

Nigel Farage got 46% in the election , it seems there will be lots and lots of candidates standing just for the publicity , it might have been interesting if there was just 1 other candidate for the other 54% to vote for .

Yes, this is the crucial question. If a clear unity anti-corruption candidate is identified, Farage could be in trouble.

I don't think Farage wants to be PM Cider , he is not PM Material ,I just cannot see him as PM

A multi millionaire ,does he really want to be sitting around the HOC listening to a load of Pony for 5 years ?

Why would he ?

Makerfield. A sitting MP who is well liked is ousted to make way for a sitting mayor in order for him to become Prime Minister.
Clacton. Sitting MP resigns and decided to stand for re-election.
Neither looks good for democracy from where I am sitting. Both equally dismissive of the will of their electorates.

Maybe not a full term nanny, but he recognises that he is the only person that could win a general. I always thought that he saw Zia as taking over at some point.

If Reform do win a general, all the big work will need to be done within a year. After that he could still be a consultant type role in the HoL maybe.

A long long way off and as I said many years ago, they will do anything they can to stop him, and even if he became a PM, more than half of the blob would be actively working against Reform.

Jul 11, 2026 -- 12:57PM, sageform wrote:

Makerfield. A sitting MP who is well liked is ousted to make way for a sitting mayor in order for him to become Prime Minister.Clacton. Sitting MP resigns and decided to stand for re-election. Neither looks good for democracy from where I am sitting. Both equally dismissive of the will of their electorates.

The Makerfield MP was well liked but certainly wasn't ousted.

One thing Farage has got going for him is that there is a strong chance that he can resolve the UK housing crisis. In the space of just three years, if you do the same as Nigel, everyone will have five homes instead of one, assuming you are given £5 million.

Big panic inside Reform Party Ltd circles as leaks from their WhatsApp show their own polling in Clacton has Binface leading and increasing his majority over Farage.
Talk of needing to "reframe media focus to immigrants and the boats"

yak's attempt at "humour" backfiring as usual - how can everyone buy five houses if there aren't enough being built to buy ?

The continued deflection by labour supporters from the hopeless performance by their inept government is what is in fact hilarious donny.
Over 400 MP's and not ONE of them deemed suitable for the top job. A damning indictment on the level of "talent" in the party .

Jul 11, 2026 -- 4:28PM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:

Big panic inside Reform Party Ltd circles as leaks from their WhatsApp show their own polling in Clacton has Binface leading and increasing his majority over Farage.Talk of needing to "reframe media focus to immigrants and the boats"

I guess that decent, normal voters simply wish someone who isn't corrupt to represent them. Who would have thought it?

The Bin is 9 on here Donnie LUMP ON

I had 40 quid on but traded out for a small loss as I seen it was going the wrong way , thought may have been a trade the other way

Moderators doing overtime, ffs.


What price do you think he should be, having
failed to hit 3 figs last time out?

Binface should be 1000.0 against any non corrupt incumbent.

Binface v fox might be a good meerkat.

A million Donnie .but Who knows lot of people Dislike Farage, if it is 2 runners and they all Decided to vote  to give Nigel a Bloody nose

I was thinking along the two runner lines

Think Farage will win easily with about 75% of the vote. 70% leave voting area, Reform and Tories 75% between them last time, reform and Farage are actually more popular now.

Yes , the 46% will surely stick with Farage and also will pick up conservative votes , if there is another by-election surely it would be much the same as before if all the other parties stand and dilute the vote .

Count Binface vote share market now up on here.

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.260007931

"A man dressed as a fox has pulled out of the Clacton by-election because it is “not being taken seriously.” Rob Pownall, the campaigner behind the furry façade: “Farage can have his circus, we’re not going to be part of it”"

Just one fox competing now allegedly, but Mr Fishfinger still there

That should increase Count Binface vote share.

Jul 14, 2026 -- 10:52AM, yak hunt wrote:

Count Binface vote share market now up on here.https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.260007931

25% or more is the highest option. As it is being back @2.38 and is favourite maybe they should have had the option of 30 & 35%

Maybe get Binface share 2,if polls indicate it.

But I'd be surprised if he gets over 15%

High street bookies going over/under 22% and over/under 25%.

Other exchange has 30-40% and over 40% option.

It's such a circus that literally nothing can be ruled out, including Farage withdrawing his nomination, which of course will mean that he will not be investigated by Parliamentary Standards.

post your bets

I'd agree nothing can be ruled out, and margins at this point in time are huge.

I just don't see any traction.

Another one out! Ollie Granger, an independent candidate has withdrawn.

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.260061335

New market up on here, Reform vote share.