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Labour are hot favourites, But Labour lost 24 of the 32 Manchester council seats on May 6th ( Greens gained 17, Reform gained 7)
Will Greens continue their meteoric rise?
Will Restore back their candidate into 12 like they have on other markets?
Will Greens continue their meteoric rise?
Will Restore back their candidate into 12 like they have on other markets?
| UK - Mayoral Elections -- Greater Manchester Mayoral By-Election |
| 6 Runners £6,520 Matched |
| 105.2% | 98.6% | |||||||
| Labour | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.4 | 1.42 | £5,142 | |
| £140 | £48 | £3 | £505 | £21 | £10 | |||
| Reform UK | 4.5 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 5.9 | 6 | 14 | £1,102 | |
| £1 | £14 | £8 | £2 | £97 | £2 | |||
| Green | 8.4 | 9 | 11 | 12.5 | 28 | 29 | £148 | |
| £2 | £7 | £6 | £57 | £2 | £5 | |||
| Restore Britain | 30 | 42 | 50 | 100 | 300 | 960 | £124 | |
| £70 | £2 | £4 | £4 | £5 | £1 | |||
| Liberal Democrats | 100 | 110 | 150 | 1000 | - | - | £2 | |
| £1 | £3 | £2 | £2 | |||||
| Conservative | 100 | 120 | 150 | 1000 | - | - | £2 | |
| £2 | £3 | £2 | £3 |
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This market been all over place so far. Greens and restore matched for pennies at 1000. Restore are running so I guess they'll be backed. George Galloway running too.
Surely Reform have to try and throw everything at this
Not sure they're ahead of the greens here as main challenger. The council seats that Escapee posted suggest not, and the greens sort of stood down in Burnham's seat to prioritise this one.
This market is more stagnant than a Reform policy workshop!
Needs the maverick Restore backer to get involved (imo).
Needs the maverick Restore backer to get involved (imo).
I think Restore is already washed up and past it's peak.
6%, 3,000 votes in Makerfield, Guesstimate cost per vote for elmo was about £2,000 per voter.
I know he's the world richest man, but 3,000 votes from throwing maximum resources at it, it'll bore him.
6%, 3,000 votes in Makerfield, Guesstimate cost per vote for elmo was about £2,000 per voter.
I know he's the world richest man, but 3,000 votes from throwing maximum resources at it, it'll bore him.
Obviously the vote format has been nobbled (it's no longer fptp).
We need a top 2 meerkat.
Maybe even a top 3, and top 4
And top first round vote.
C'mon betfair...
Maybe even a top 3, and top 4
And top first round vote.
C'mon betfair...
6%, 3,000 votes in Makerfield, The Green Unit didn't get 300 Escapee ,are they washed up ?
Under the Supplementary Vote system that is being used in this election, I can't see any way that Reform can win.
The maverick Restore backer will be Peer Gynt after the by-election
Maybe farage will get another 5 million to stand
down his candidate...
down his candidate...
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