Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
Grenade1972
19 Feb 26 09:52
Joined:
Date Joined: 02 Apr 25
| Topic/replies: 277 | Blogger: Grenade1972's blog
Have bettors lost their marbles?? There is more chance of finding Elvis alive than this happening
Pause Switch to Standard View green party 9/1 most seats - LOLOL
Show More
Loading...
Report cheese February 19, 2026 12:41 PM GMT
New study shows they are actually the publics best choice in any hypothetical match-up where they are one of the main challengers.

What this means in practical terms is that if they begin to pull ahead of Labour (which has happened in a few outlier polls already) then they will likely win a lot more seats than expected. The main barrier to voting Green is people don't believe the Greens can win their seat.

This still leaves reform to beat-but it looks like Restore Britain is creaming off many votes. 9/1 might well be value in that context. Finally Polanski is a very impressive performer and will very likely benefit from the debates when they happen.

If you really think its elvis alive odds level by all means lay all the money on the market-I mean it is a dead cert you can't lose. You wouldn't just be mouthing off would you?
Report Cider February 19, 2026 12:43 PM GMT
Labour 2.8
Green 10.5
Restore 20

It's completely out of kilter with the OM market. Money pushing these prices around, £3K up at 23 for Restore!

It's so unappealing to get involved in a market that won't settle for years, but I have been sucked in.
Report the old nanny ;-) February 19, 2026 12:44 PM GMT
I would imagine a lot of the lads on here will sporting Wigs on their Allotments , Labour finnish , Its Green for Go
Report Pleasegivemeanailedontip February 19, 2026 12:47 PM GMT
I think Elvis can be backed at around 2,000 to 1

In a straight match up with the greens id probably go with the king
Report cheese February 19, 2026 12:49 PM GMT
"It's so unappealing to get involved in a market that won't settle for years, but I have been sucked in."

If the market moves towards you then you can hedge, get back your stake, and have an effective free bet on the outcome.

The "money tied up for years" thing doesn't really apply on betfair they way it does with bookies, there's no additional vig or capital constraints from hedging.
Report Cider February 19, 2026 12:50 PM GMT
In that novara media video I posted, all the Green people did was smear reform. I suppose Labour's landslide proves people can get elected on the basis of saying how rubbish someone else is. But the narrative in the real world is the damage that Labour are doing. To go even more liberalist globalist has extremely limited appeal.
Report cheese February 19, 2026 12:52 PM GMT
"In a straight match up with the greens id probably go with the king"

OK if its so funny hahhahahahahahaah then you should lay the entire market And you won't because you could potentially lose your life savings as you well know because it isn't that unlikely ahhahahahahahhhahah, it is just unlikely.
Report Cider February 19, 2026 12:53 PM GMT
Of course cheese, but typically I am a position taker rather than trader. Depends on the prices but I don't usually green up for the sake of it (pardon the pun). However, Restore should be a very cheap green up.
Report the old nanny ;-) February 19, 2026 12:54 PM GMT
If the greens were to get a Majority , we will all lose our life savings imo
Report Cider February 19, 2026 12:57 PM GMT
If we any left after the reeves starmer axis
Report unitedbiscuits February 19, 2026 2:00 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2026 -- 12:43PM, Cider wrote:


Labour 2.8Green 10.5Restore 20It's completely out of kilter with the OM market. Money pushing these prices around, £3K up at 23 for Restore! It's so unappealing to get involved in a market that won't settle for years, but I have been sucked in.


Best be wary of big lumps a few points behind best - often they signify weakness rather than strength and can vanish in a click.

23 is a completely random guess:- whatever reservations one may have about Reform’s ability to form the party with most seats at the next GE go double for Restore. What did Warren Buffet say about buying a share in a company? Don’t hold it for a day unless you would hold it for a number of years. Backing Restore at 20 is like investing in a company that is hype and a mailbox. Not to say you won’t find a bigger mug to offload at 15 but ..

Report Cider February 19, 2026 2:15 PM GMT
I'm a layer of Restore, the price is absurd.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 19, 2026 2:47 PM GMT
Markets are constantly manipulated for publicity

Take advantage of it.
Report DixieDean60 February 19, 2026 3:03 PM GMT
It's quite depressing watching the party political broadcasts recently. The Lib Dems, Labour and Greens basically used the time to just slag off Reform and tell us not to vote for them , whilst giving precious few reasons to actually vote for their own party. Pathetic.

The Greens have too many whack jobs within the party, especially their leader. Once the average voter finds out their aims include such as completely open borders, even higher taxation than Labour, free uni, war on landlords etc then they will have no chance of getting near power.

On a local level they will have more chance of success, even i voted for one of them at the last local election as he is a decent guy who actually cares about our area and
helps improve it without playing politics or banging on about the Green's national agenda.
Report yak hunt February 19, 2026 3:06 PM GMT
Free uni available in the Uk from the party that has been in control for decades.
Report DixieDean60 February 19, 2026 3:15 PM GMT
For every student ?
Report yak hunt February 19, 2026 3:25 PM GMT
For students from their country.
Report Cider February 19, 2026 3:32 PM GMT
It's not free, the rest of us are paying instead.
Report Cider February 19, 2026 3:32 PM GMT
Just like alleged free healthcare.
Report Dotchinite February 19, 2026 3:48 PM GMT
Once people see Polanski questioned in an election campaign they will soon see what an idiot he is.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 19, 2026 4:24 PM GMT
Maybe he will dodge the interviews like spaffer did.

Report cheese February 20, 2026 12:34 AM GMT
"It's not free, the rest of us are paying instead."

It is almost like we did that in the greatest period of recent prosperity and benefitted from a highly skilled workforce overall.
Report blank February 20, 2026 7:14 AM GMT
Rupert Lowe to be the next PM in 2026 has been trading 9/1 to 15/1 on Poly, makes the restore price on here look sane.
Report unitedbiscuits February 20, 2026 9:13 AM GMT

Feb 20, 2026 -- 7:14AM, blank wrote:


Rupert Lowe to be the next PM in 2026 has been trading 9/1 to 15/1 on Poly, makes the restore price on here look sane.


Ah thanks. It all makes sense now.

Great opportunities for everyone: for example, join Restore for £20 and be eligible for Elon Musk’s million pound daily lottery giveaway near voting time. Don’t think it couldn’t happen here.

Report DIE LINKE February 20, 2026 5:10 PM GMT
"Rupert" fanboy dustybin must be behind these crackpot bets.
Report saddo February 20, 2026 5:21 PM GMT
UB forgets the clamour among champagne socialists to pay £50
to join the Labour party around 2016 so they could vote Corbyn
in as party leader. 150,000 of em in a day or two.
Report PorcupineorPineapple February 20, 2026 5:49 PM GMT
So weird that champagne socialists is still a phrase that could be in use. Has anyone actually seen this country in the last decade or so?
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 20, 2026 6:19 PM GMT
It's a forum rebuke from envious racists
Report Cider February 20, 2026 6:25 PM GMT
So weird that champagne socialists is still a phrase that could be in use. Has anyone actually seen this country in the last decade or so?


It's more applicable now than it has ever been.
Report PorcupineorPineapple February 20, 2026 6:27 PM GMT
LaughLaughLaugh
Report unitedbiscuits February 20, 2026 8:14 PM GMT
Next level. For an annual donation of just £2500 (or more) you can join Restore’s exclusive Cromwell Club. Members will be invited to an annual dinner in London and other exclusive events with right-minded people throughout the year.
Report Cider February 20, 2026 8:25 PM GMT
The greens are offering a sledgehammer watch party. At least it's ftv.
Report the old nanny ;-) February 22, 2026 3:46 PM GMT
what a completely shambolic state this country has ended up in , the enablers are doing a fine Job
Report saddo February 23, 2026 10:28 AM GMT
There is a picture of the wealthy 'plumber' woman praying
with Muslim men, this simply could not happen and is fake.
Report Cider February 23, 2026 10:55 AM GMT
Is the green plumby Hannah for or against landlords ?
Report saddo February 23, 2026 10:59 AM GMT
She'll be against, I expect. She'll also be against combustion
vehicles (publicly), while driving round in a diesel
Report SirNorbertClarke February 23, 2026 10:59 AM GMT

It's a forum rebuke from envious racists


You don't have to be a racist to recognise 'socialist' politicians and their hangers-on enjoying the perks of high office.

Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 23, 2026 2:00 PM GMT
Indeed, I am aware of the wider use of the phrase

However I don't see any forumites being socialist politicians
enjoying the perks of public office, therefore these
epithets are simply a forum rebuke from envious racists.
Report Johnny The Guesser February 27, 2026 3:39 AM GMT
Currently £1000 wanting to back at 5.
Report Johnny The Guesser February 27, 2026 8:47 AM GMT
Back out to 7.
Report mafeking February 27, 2026 4:27 PM GMT
bit of an overreaction to say the least. only a limited number of big city seats with high muslim and student proportion where they can pull this trick off again
Report Johnny The Guesser February 27, 2026 5:29 PM GMT
Deposited and laid a few chunks overnight at average 4.4 - they went as low as 3.9 at the height of the sizzle.

I can't bring myself to green up and release back the dough  at 7.4 - still too low.

See what happens over the next week or so before Cheltenham. Hopefully will drift further as the reality kicks in.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com