Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
InsiderTrader
09 Dec 19 09:15
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Aug 05
| Topic/replies: 14,569 | Blogger: InsiderTrader's blog
Brexit and a new innovation based optimist country is now in touching distance.

Just have to hold our nerve and see no major mistakes in the last few days.
Pause Switch to Standard View Tory Majority into 1.25
Show More
Loading...
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 4:38 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 10:37AM, doridoru wrote:


How many times can you vote with a burka on and made up address, labour tactics


You fcking moron.
another racist c..t blocked

Report lord skywalker December 12, 2019 4:39 PM GMT
i give up even labour leavers think brexit should be stopped
Report 1st time poster December 12, 2019 4:39 PM GMT
I,m a labour leaver,voting labour,3 rules in life
don't break an overtime ban
don't cross a picket line
don't vote tory
got to 60 without breaking any ,not starting now, I look forward to all these new tory mp,s in northern leave seats joining their voters on picket lines,at demonstrations,donating at food banks ,etc but I wont be holding my breath
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 4:41 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 10:39AM, lord skywalker wrote:


i give up even labour leavers think brexit should be stopped


Ffs use your mind a little. I asked you why you want brexit; answer the question and then I can show you why we see it differently..but to do this you really do need to stop telling me and other what they are thinking and doing.

Report lord skywalker December 12, 2019 4:41 PM GMT
labour = bankrupt country within 12 mths, need  i say more
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 4:42 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 10:41AM, lord skywalker wrote:


labour = bankrupt country within 12 mths, need

Report enpassant December 12, 2019 4:42 PM GMT
^please don't
Report lord skywalker December 12, 2019 4:43 PM GMT
why should i, i dont have hours to spend on here like you
Report Wallflower December 12, 2019 4:44 PM GMT
Yep.... "Get Brexit Done" right up there with

"Strong and Stable"  LaughLaugh  FFS  (what a disasterous govt that was)

"Red, White and Blue Brexit"  LaughLaugh    FFS  ( yeah, whatever - we'll have N.Ireland now, and get back to you on a trade deal when we are ready)
Report 1st time poster December 12, 2019 4:44 PM GMT
an erg,no deal  Brexit with tory spending plans will bankrupt the country anyway
Report lfc1971 December 12, 2019 4:44 PM GMT
voted earlier , was able to peep into the ballot box and any I could see were marked Tory
walking home stopped as a coffin was wheeled into church , hope it’s not an omen
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 4:45 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 10:43AM, lord skywalker wrote:


why should i, i dont have hours to spend on here like you


LaughLaugh

Report lord skywalker December 12, 2019 4:46 PM GMT
let me remind you , youre voteing for a guy who goes to terrorists funerals and wont even say which brexit side he is on, labour will be toast by 8am tomorrow morning when boris romps home, im so glad the whole country outside this forum doesnt think like you
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 4:47 PM GMT
I tried fella but you really need to start looking into things more deeply and do a lot less assertion and framing.

'Why should I ' LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh
Report lord skywalker December 12, 2019 4:48 PM GMT
youre not on benefits are you enpassant
Report lord skywalker December 12, 2019 4:48 PM GMT
uummm.....       more blah blah blah
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 4:50 PM GMT
You are getting very tetchy lord LaughLaughLaugh you're man is gona win int he !
Report lord skywalker December 12, 2019 4:50 PM GMT
i would love everything else sorted but like i said before until brexit gets voted thru nothin else will get done, you cant seem to grasp that simple fact
Report lord skywalker December 12, 2019 4:50 PM GMT
just morons like you
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 4:51 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 10:50AM, lord skywalker wrote:


i would love everything else sorted but like i said before until brexit gets voted thru nothin else will get done, you cant seem to grasp that simple fact


Well you're wrong but hey let's call assertions fact...just like a tory ! CrazyCrazyCrazy

Report enpassant December 12, 2019 4:53 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 10:50AM, lord skywalker wrote:


just morons like you


That reall cuts me to the quick fella....I thought we were getting on so well ShockedShocked

Report 1st time poster December 12, 2019 4:54 PM GMT
Johnson was for invading Iraq,lybia,and afghan,corbyn was against all 3
Johnson was foreign sec who oversaw arm sales to Saudi arabia in yemen/Corbyn will ban arm sales to Saudi arabia
Johnson told iran /the world that ratcliffe was a journo working in iran
tory,s voted against labours ID plans,control orders,and detention without charge
Cameron apologised for bloody sunday murders

how are you more secure under johnson
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 5:02 PM GMT
1.51
Report winningthought December 12, 2019 5:08 PM GMT
Cameron apologised for bloody sunday murders

Did Cameron apologise for arming Jihadist's in Libya and causing the immigration crisis in Europe?
Report politicspunter December 12, 2019 5:21 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 10:37AM, doridoru wrote:


How many times can you vote with a burka on and made up address, labour tactics


Another thick racist blocked.

Report enpassant December 12, 2019 5:22 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 11:21AM, politicspunter wrote:


Dec 12, 2019 --  4:37PM, doridoru wrote:How many times can you vote with a burka on and made up address, labour tacticsAnother thick racist blocked.


Absolutely

Report doridoru December 12, 2019 5:25 PM GMT
lol racist for telling truth of what happens, you dumb fks
Report doridoru December 12, 2019 5:26 PM GMT
block away MAGGOTS
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 5:27 PM GMT
1.57
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 5:29 PM GMT
Keep drifting Happy

Not going as well as they thought it would

I was convinced they were heading for a majority of about 80 last week but its properly changed
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 5:29 PM GMT
2.86 no overall
Report 1st time poster December 12, 2019 5:30 PM GMT
why arnt all those in at between 1,25 and 1,5 going back in again
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 5:30 PM GMT
1.61
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 5:33 PM GMT
1.65 thegig must be piling in on this with his 100 majority assertion today
Report 1st time poster December 12, 2019 5:37 PM GMT
to quote king kev
I would love it, just love it if Johnson didn't get his majority,

tory hq would be emptying champers out of fridge so johnsoLaughLaughn can get back in
Report politicspunter December 12, 2019 5:37 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 11:33AM, enpassant wrote:


1.65 thegig must be piling in on this with his 100 majority assertion today


GrinGrin

Report enpassant December 12, 2019 5:37 PM GMT
23.6k at 1.61 the line has been drawn in the sand
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 5:38 PM GMT
It's gone wow this is volatile
Report 1st time poster December 12, 2019 5:39 PM GMT
Michael gove took 2 squid of it
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 5:40 PM GMT
Might as well declare a hung parliament now HappyExcited

Absolutely no chance of a overall majority now
Report themover December 12, 2019 5:41 PM GMT
No votes have been counted yet!
Report 1st time poster December 12, 2019 5:42 PM GMT
Michael gove did a Rodney put 2 squid of shrapnel of the table and said count me inLaugh
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 5:42 PM GMT
themover

Its pretty much done, the young have seen to that

Good on them as well, saved us from that shower
Report 1st time poster December 12, 2019 5:43 PM GMT
kaunsberg emptying her ATM  to get on
Report pauliow December 12, 2019 5:43 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 11:40AM, SontaranStratagem wrote:


Might as well declare a hung parliament now Absolutely no chance of a overall majority now


And there was me thinking 1.58 was better than evens! That's where I've been going wrong all these yearsLaugh

Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 5:44 PM GMT
The only thing I will say is if people have lied to the media coming out the voting booth

My dad refused to say who he voted for Laugh
Report 1st time poster December 12, 2019 5:44 PM GMT
daily mail starting to flap reports of long queues all over the country ,there trying to convince themselves their all out to  give Johnson a majority, but their arris are nipping
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 5:45 PM GMT
1.58 isn't better than evs

I'm on the no overall at the moment at 4.8, need more shortening Mischief
Report geordie1956 December 12, 2019 6:15 PM GMT
And there was me thinking 1.58 was better than evens! That's where I've been going wrong all these year

Still long odds on but I remember reading from someone that a working majority was guaranteed & 1.1 was an absolute cert and was a simple process of buying money ... not a good bet at this moment!
Report pauliow December 12, 2019 6:37 PM GMT
I'm not touching it either way but I'll be surprised if 1.58 doesn't look huge at 10pm.
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 6:39 PM GMT
A strong voter turnout has prompted a last-minute recalculation of seats on the spread betting markets.

Sporting Index are reporting heavy early support against the Conservatives this morning, with nearly all customers betting on the election deciding to sell Tory seats.

The spread betting firm, who had previously quoted 351 for the number of seats set to turn blue, have had to drastically revise that down to a mark of 338 and further pressure could see that number slide further.

Labour have been the beneficiaries of the early Tory selling spree, gaining 16 seats to sit on a predicted mark of 224 as things stand.
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 6:41 PM GMT
Highest turnout since 1997

Sporting Index are also betting on voter turnout and punters have been keen to buy the firm’s quote of 67 per cent, suggesting this election could yet produce the highest turnout since 1997 when 71 per cent of the country had their say.

With so many buyers, anything north of 67.5 per cent is already being touted as a “disaster” for the firm, who are now “praying for rain and wind” to prevent a higher turnout than first forecasted.
All the money has been against the Tories

Ryan Halliwell, trading spokesperson for Sporting Index, said: “All the money has been against the Tories this morning, it’s been an absolute selling frenzy. Nearly every call that comes into the trading floor is requesting to sell Conservative seats, meaning we’ve had to sharply revise down our quote to just 338.
Report drive for show putt for dough December 12, 2019 6:44 PM GMT
Turnout was 68.8% in 2017 it would be a surprise if it was higher than that
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! December 12, 2019 6:46 PM GMT
Yuff vote

Grin
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 6:49 PM GMT
waspi women
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 6:49 PM GMT
remain leave
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 6:49 PM GMT
as far right as we have seen   as far left as we have seen
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 6:52 PM GMT
We'll see the big move either way with the exit poll at 10pm

I'm thinking close conservative majority being called
Report 1st time poster December 12, 2019 6:57 PM GMT
wouldn't voters cramming 14 hrs voting into 8 hrs of light ,be a more sensible reaction to queus,people were getting locked outside at 10 0 clock last election lets see if the footfall continues up to 10 o clock
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 6:58 PM GMT
Dimitri O'Donnell @dimitriodonnell

I’ll be reporting from this polling station in islington as queues form outside despite the bad weather. Turnout across UKreported to be brisk to “unprecedented” in some stations. I’ll have more on #sixone @rtenews shortly #GE2019 #UKElection
Report drive for show putt for dough December 12, 2019 7:01 PM GMT
Turnout was only 72.1% in the eu ref

65-66% turnout like 2010  & 2015 would be more realistic.

Hard to see voting going higher given the fact its in the middle of december
Report MartinK December 12, 2019 7:37 PM GMT

lord skywalker -
labour = bankrupt country within 12 mths, need  i say more


Oh yes please do, I'd love to know how a currency issuing country who's debt is denominated in it's own currency can go bankrupt.

Oh, and you do realise that the last time we had to find an extra bit of spare cash after the 2008 crash, we just created 435 billion,
bought our own debt, and put in into an account in the Bank Of England called the Asset Purchase Facility (APF) - and it's still sat there -
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/asset-purchase-facility/2019/2019-q3
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 7:50 PM GMT
So after all this we are going to end up back where we started Laugh

The problem I find is if Bozo gets the same number of seats as last time because he can then carry on as before and still probably get that s*** through parliament with the help of the DUP, and then have it away on his toes

I think to really grind it down to standstill tories need less than the 310
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 7:51 PM GMT
Labour need to get close to 270-280

Proper hung parliament then, and nowhere to go, no backdoor deals etc
Report alun2005 December 12, 2019 7:55 PM GMT
There's been some incredible high-volume trading on this market. Over 17 millions matched. The vast majority of it complete guesswork.
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 7:56 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 1:37PM, MartinK wrote:


lord skywalker - labour = bankrupt country within 12 mths, need  i say more Oh yes please do, I'd love to know how a currency issuing country who's debt is denominated in it's own currency can go bankrupt.Oh, and you do realise that the last time we had to find an extra bit of spare cash after the 2008 crash, we just created 435 billion, bought our own debt, and put in into an account in the Bank Of England called the Asset Purchase Facility (APF) - and it's still sat there - https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/asset-purchase-facility/2019/2019-q3


Do you know I suspect he doesn't realise that.

Report Lori December 12, 2019 7:57 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 1:55PM, alun2005 wrote:


There's been some incredible high-volume trading on this market. Over 17 millions matched. The vast majority of it complete guesswork.


I remember a great 24 hours betting on who the next pope was going to be, despite the voting and discussions being behind closed doors. We had about four steamers, and multiple claims of insider sources :D

Report 1st time poster December 12, 2019 8:02 PM GMT
daily mail reporting senior labour activist in narrth saying no sign of the red wall  crumbling,holding up well
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 8:02 PM GMT
Its not guesswork if your right, right?

Wink
Report alun2005 December 12, 2019 8:03 PM GMT
I remember a great 24 hours betting on who the next pope was going to be, despite the voting and discussions being behind closed doors. We had about four steamers, and multiple claims of insider sources :D

That's right. Even Raymond Van Barneveld touched 1.67 as I recall.
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 8:03 PM GMT
Barney?

There was no way he was getting it, he was 20s poke surely ?
Report Foinavon December 12, 2019 8:05 PM GMT
“Look out of the window and tell me what you see.” “Um…a small, scruffy dog watching a man taking a piss in an alley,” said Moist. “Sorry, but you chose the wrong time.” “Had I been taken less literally,” said Lord Vetinari, giving him a Look, “you would have seen a large, bustling city, full of ingenious people spinning wealth out of the common clay of the world.”
― Terry Pratchett, Making Money
Report alun2005 December 12, 2019 8:07 PM GMT
As I recall "The Plague From The Hague" changed his religion TWICE to put people off the scent,  then the insiders got all the 1000 before he changed to Catholicism and got the markets in a right panic.
Report enpassant December 12, 2019 8:12 PM GMT
People complaining across the country that they are not/ struggling to vote due to many differing reason. access for disabled, wrong constituency cards being handed out, registered voters being told they are not on the list even when they have their card 75 students in Southampton unable to vote
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 8:17 PM GMT
enpassant

They are trying their best to get bobo into number 10 on a majority
Report morpteh mackem December 12, 2019 8:20 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 2:12PM, enpassant wrote:


People complaining across the country that they are not/ struggling to vote due to many differing reason. access for disabled, wrong constituency cards being handed out, registered voters being told they are not on the list even when they have their card 75 students in Southampton unable to vote


you would expect that of a banana republic, not here. outrageous.

Report Lori December 12, 2019 8:21 PM GMT
IT'S BARNEY
Report jucel69 December 12, 2019 8:31 PM GMT
Amazing what everybody believes on twâtter, talk about confirmation biasLaugh
Report jucel69 December 12, 2019 8:33 PM GMT
Boris's seat getting nibbled at, out to 1.3Shocked
Report Lori December 12, 2019 8:35 PM GMT
What we really need is someone with a cardboard sign declaring that Redknapp is pulling out of the race in Portsmouth. That'll shake the market.
Report jucel69 December 12, 2019 8:36 PM GMT
Arry will do anything for a sovereign or two.  A proper merc!
Report impossible123 December 12, 2019 8:37 PM GMT
1.22 taken.
Report jucel69 December 12, 2019 8:42 PM GMT
Labour has given up hope in Bassetlaw, Don Valley and Stoke
Report lfc1971 December 12, 2019 9:01 PM GMT
What a big dissapointment this might turn out to be aaaaahhhh :(
Report alun2005 December 12, 2019 9:01 PM GMT
What we really need is someone with a cardboard sign declaring that Redknapp is pulling out of the race in Portsmouth. That'll shake the market.

That infamous 'Cardboard Ramp' was UNQUESTIONABLY the APEX moment of betting ANYWHERE in history.  A carefully-contrived (and about as subtle as a sledgehammer) 'protestor' from Central Casting saw Dedkrapp's price go from around 1.03 to 1.9 in roughly 3 seconds (where further big money bets were waiting) and back to 1.03 in roughly the same time.

Grown men wept in awe at the scenes on 'Sky Sports 24/7/365 PR Masquerading as Pretendy News channel'.  It made the JFK shenanigans pale into insignificance.
Report lfc1971 December 12, 2019 9:04 PM GMT
God help us all
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 9:06 PM GMT
If bobo gets the majority we can kiss this once great nation goodbye, it'll be full to the rafters with Farage types in their flat hats whilst smoking a cigar

Horrible thought
Report jucel69 December 12, 2019 9:07 PM GMT

Dec 12, 2019 -- 3:06PM, SontaranStratagem wrote:


If bobo gets the majority we can kiss this once great nation goodbye, it'll be full to the rafters with Farage types in their flat hats whilst smoking a cigar Horrible thought


Laugh

Report doridoru December 12, 2019 9:07 PM GMT
Saves us from open borders and no security plus no DIANE FLABBOTT
Report doridoru December 12, 2019 9:08 PM GMT
Oh and bankrupting the country in 12 months with the labour fantasy ££££££££££££££££££££££££££
Report alun2005 December 12, 2019 9:08 PM GMT
It'll certainly be goodbye to the NHS if Corbyn gets in.
Report SontaranStratagem December 12, 2019 9:08 PM GMT
Diannes a wonderful woman Happy
Report lfc1971 December 12, 2019 9:10 PM GMT
Please don’t let the commie Corbyn win , I like eating and drinking
and having toilet roll
Report doridoru December 12, 2019 9:11 PM GMT
LaughLaughLaugh
Report A_T December 12, 2019 9:34 PM GMT
Corbyn's never going to be a position to deliver his policies. This is all about Brexit.
Report impossible123 December 12, 2019 9:34 PM GMT
Free loo-rolls in HMP, I believe. Maybe a consideration.
Report jucel69 December 12, 2019 9:36 PM GMT
I haven't used toilet roll in over 10 years!
Report impossible123 December 12, 2019 9:42 PM GMT
Colostomy bag?
Report jucel69 December 12, 2019 9:44 PM GMT
where I live they have shower bidets! much more hygenic than bog roll
Report impossible123 December 12, 2019 10:02 PM GMT
Into 1.03
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com