Admit Corbyn can win. Tories need the scare vote.

Im not sure Jeremy can actually win but he could make the tory majority very modest , if that were to happen where would this leave One Nation Theresa ?

difficult for him to win most seats

during the debates he will have a golden chance having been a brexiteer to may being a releaver

if this is a brexit election ...?

JEREMY C  ...warming to him as best for a long time Labour have had some Beauties of late ..
ERA OF THE LONG SHOT .. NONE LONGER THAN J.C.  .. ..AMERICA ,,, FRANCE  ,,NOW   ,, GREAT BRITAIN AND NORTHERN IRELAND .. and others in pipe line ..THIS LADY TURNS TOO MUCH . for me .. done all in her power to get the P.M.  job unelected ..  QUIET  ..Remainer ..  .. till the cudgel got last .. changed overnight to iron lady . ..2 ... ..?? ....BULLYING  HER WAY OUT OF EUROPE ..  ?? unanswered questions are many .. as 8th of June is round the corner ..  ?? 
we like America have put in more than most .. E.U.  NATO .plus      ALL STRAYS EVERYWHERE  . who TOOK MONEY FOR THEIR OWN CAUSE ....?  NOT TO WHERE IT WAS MEANT TO GO ??   .J.C. has rocked and rolled with all the punches took them on the chin .. from THERESA MAY ..   HER P.M.  Became a slag Jeremy  half hour every wednesday .. NEVER USED A BAD WORD AGAINST HER .. >>>? LABOUR MAN THAT DIED WAS BY FAR BEST EVER IF HE HAD ONLY LIVED .. FORGET HIS NAME ..  POLITICS I HATE   . NO TIME FOR ANY OF THEM .. MAY .......the best  // MAN WIN    ...WEE PUN THERE ......... anxious  and melv ..

Jim I think its John Smith you might be thinking of who died

Is it me or has it gone awfully quiet on here?

Take the 12/1 on here melv. Easy money.

Robin Cook. His  death was very useful for all the bombers and unethical foreign policy.

anxious thanks for that    .........could not remember . thought Adam SMITH .. he was from Kirkcaldy .. FIRST NAME BEAT ME  .. >?? 
WE NEED A CHANGE FOR BETTER OR WORSE ..BUT IT NEEDS NEW IDEAS ..   ..
JOHN SMITH would have been a Great Leader .....

no chance..tory majority of 50-80

Don't forget the shy Tories............you never know. I might be one

Respected psephologists who use detailed prediction modelling are still predicting a >100 majority. This poll is the immediate aftermath of the Dementia Tax hoohah. A single policy can greatly influence individual polls but come election day when people have to tick the box it all boils down to who do they want to run the country.

May 26, 2017 -- 6:09PM, IggypopBarker wrote:

Respected psephologists who use detailed prediction modelling are still predicting a >100 majority. This poll is the immediate aftermath of the Dementia Tax hoohah. A single policy can greatly influence individual polls but come election day when people have to tick the box it all boils down to who do they want to run the country.

They certainly are. However, when you look at the electoralcalculas model where that is predicted it has the Conservatives polling 47% and Labour 32.5% based on averages over the election period plus an addition for Conservatives (shy tories) and a subtraction for Labour (young persons that don't vote after saying they would).  47-32.5 is a fair way away from last night's yougov 43-38 poll. If that yougov poll was replicated in the final voting it would give a Conservative majority of 28.

are tories still shy

or are corbyn voters the new shy tories

a nightmare for pollsters and perhaps an explanation for the variance

33% Labour for me...