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Will the unseen happen in France too? "Polls say Le Pen cannot win".
Yes, they seem to say that a lot on many things these days.
Yes, they seem to say that a lot on many things these days.
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Emmanuel Macron
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post yer bets !
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Next French President 365
Emmanuel Macron centre left 8-5 Marie le Pen Front Nationale 11-5 François Filiion Conservative Republican 9-4 Beniot Hammon Socialists 16-1 Going to be a massive battle this first round voting April to determine the final two in May |
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Le Pen & Macron for the Finals.
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fillon is polling a little better again
still a long way to go all to play for |
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Fillon is a Thatcher type character. Awful. Le Pen sounds like the answer for the working classes. Macron seems like a chancer.
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macron it is then,the french love a chancer.
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im already on le pen, the state france is in they need her to win , fingers crossed
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le pen
the french take an odd stance to their politics, party and individual choice seems at times to be quite random they reckon they vote with their hearts until the run off, at which point they use their head. .... hmmmm |
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Indeed the polls if you can believe them have Le Pen winning round one and filion and Macron fighting to face her in the final round , however in the final round the polls have Fillion and Macron easily beating Le Pen for the Presidency
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The thing here is if its Le Pen v Filion will the Socialist left wing vote for an arch - thatcherite like fillion or will they accept the Front Nationale even though they dislike the far right , in the past the left wing vote has stopped the front nationale, this time they know she has some policies to help the poor, likewise would the French conservatives vote for Macron an ex member of the hollande government
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yes very short lepen but insanly short AFD in Germany. 9 % and the are traded around 7/1 nuts in my opinion. overreaction of trump. now they think every right wing party will win.
if lepen wins it will probably go down to 5/2 and will be the lay of the year. |
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Anxious,
I agree Le Pen is the best choice for the working and middle classes. |
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I think Le Pen has shot herself in the ****!
No eye deer what will happen! Fillon I think is toast. |
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that was pussay!
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fillon coming back in polls , crazy world of politics
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To be fair I am more worried about the Air Traffic controllers. I am going to Italy in May!
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lol
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The best we can hope for is Fillon knocking Macron out in the first round. I cannot see workers voting for a Thatcher type over Le Pen.
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It's a tricky market to predict (how many favourites have there been?) Fillon is favourite again, though starting to drift a bit. The thing is that Le Pen will almost certainly win the 1st Rd, which is usually a big "up yours" to the establishment. Then she will probably lose out to the other candidate in the 2nd Rd, when the electorate think seriously about who they really want as President. The big question is who will that be, Fillon or Macron? Whoever it is will be strong favourite when it gets down to the last 2. It's like when you have 3 teams left in the Cup, One weaker team that is already through to the Final and 2 well-matched strong teams to play each other in the 2nd semi-final. If you can predict who will win the 2nd semi-final and back them to win the Cup, you will have a very good trade for the Final, but if you wait to see who goes through, you won't get a price, and will lose out. It might be a bit more unpredictable this time, as recent events have made a win for the far-right much more likely than it has been in previous years. But basically it seems to be a question of picking the winner between Macron and Fillon, betting at odds against, then laying off or letting it run in the 2nd round. If you pick the wrong one between Macron and Fillon, then you lose of course. Personally, I'm not to sure, which way it will go, but I am puzzled as to why the suspicions about Fillon's conduct have cleared up enough for him to become favourite again. And for me, Macron should still be the favourite. Mind you, I was wrong about Brexit and the Us election, so what do I know?
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fillon said he would drop out if investigated
then he said he would not this must have played a part in his price swing |
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Yes, it seems a bit strange. Are they going to try to prosecute him or not? Something has changed since yesterday. I'm still not sure that Fillon is clear of the whiff of scandal yet.
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maybe the russians are witholding their best stuff until
he makes the run off  |
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he had some better polls at the wekend, so its taken time to filter through
then its probably overdone ....like most markets ... |
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BBCs nick robinson spreading FAKE NEWS......whod av thunk it:
https://youtu.be/3z2Avqocuq8 |
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macron went to 2.2 and now back to 2/1 within minutes
what happened |
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coming back in again ....
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Macron favourite again, crazy market!
Will this volatility continue? I think it probably will. |
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Fillon campaign manager has quit tonight and although filion says he wont quit he is all but finished now , many of the centre right are now helping Allain Juppe.
Next French President Emmanuel Macron evens Marine Le Pen 9-4 Alain Juppe 11-4 François Fillon 10-1 |
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Fillon is going nowhere so anyone betting on Juppe risks all and 16s or so Fillon is a great bet imho
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Anxious sums it up rather well.
Le Pen wins the first round because she has the most support. Her problem is you get this unholy alliance against her in the second round where left and right combine forces. Fillon is so far to the right you would think the Left would baulk at supporting him. Also calling Le Pen far right is wrong,she has some left leaning policies. Macron is pro the EU which is a minus. His statement about Algeria and war crimes will surely antagonise the right. From Le Pens point of view she would rather face someone from the right. Surely the Left in France have some regard for their country. |
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By Monday all these people who have bet on Juppe will be a lot poorer and wondering why they bet on a NON runner !! Fillon will bring the crowds out tomorrow in the rain and then the media will be forced to shut up .!! Fillon and Marine are being targeted by the Courts and Media .
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Macron worked for Rothchild.
2014-2016 was the Minister of the economy as GDP fell from $2.84tr to $2.48tr. 'On Islam, Macron has been cordial, insisting "no religion is a problem in France today" and even drawing ire from the right by condemning French "crimes and acts of barbarism" during its colonial rule in Algeria.' http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2017/02/emmanuel-macron-struggles-impress-french-muslims-170218192439532.html Suggests he is denial there is any kind of problem. If he denies there is a problem how can he deal with it? |
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He cant and wont.
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Inside Trader you are correct and after tomorrow Fillon will take Macron on and expose him ,.He has been invented by the media and " forces" that we know little about !!.. Fillon will gain so much strength from tomorrow . A very smart move taken out of the " The Boss's book " ie Mister S!!
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Fillon is finished.
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Then you should make some money ! I wonder how Fillon will be forced out ....The money of the party is even in his control .With Deep respect you and other traders on politics know nothing Brexit Trump Corbyn ( 100-1) .I came across you all telling me this lot couldnt win ... .It got boring counting your money !!
 I furnished my Flat on people like you |
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Hilarious stuff. How old are you? You sound like 12.
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