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Rorksdrift
23 Jun 16 13:37
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Date Joined: 15 Jul 04
| Topic/replies: 44 | Blogger: Rorksdrift's blog
BF suggests between 70 -75% is most likely at 2.8. I think that is a Lay as there is a stubborn hardcore of the unwashed in this country who wouldn't vote even if there was a motion to ban Facebook. I work for a US software company where the average employee is fairly well educated and informed and even here there are 2 out of the 6 I questioned who weren't voting from a 'I don't understand the issues' standpoint and one other who logistically thought he wouldn't make it to the polls. Lord knows what the percentages would be if you asked 30 employees at the nearest Homebase.

Sold at 70% on SPIN  (albeit can't see the latest as they are now flooded so are offline) and backed 65-70% on here.

Praying for a biblical deluge after work as that always helps keep them at home!
Pause Switch to Standard View Sceptical at Turnout above 70%
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Report DIE LINKE June 23, 2016 1:51 PM BST
there is a stubborn hardcore of the unwashed in this country who wouldn't vote even if there was a motion to ban Facebook

But Brexiters are relying on them!!
Report CJ70 June 23, 2016 1:55 PM BST

Jun 23, 2016 -- 1:51PM, DIE LINKE wrote:


there is a stubborn hardcore of the unwashed in this country who wouldn't vote even if there was a motion to ban FacebookBut Brexiters are relying on them!!


Are they? why?

Report alun2005 June 23, 2016 2:01 PM BST
Can Remain rely on the Postal/Proxy Block Muslim Vote to get another Election job done again and get them over the winning line?
Report Captain Wurzel June 23, 2016 2:19 PM BST
Can Remain rely on the Postal/Proxy Block Muslim Vote to get another Election job done again and get them over the winning line?





Come on alun - bit disappointed you didn't get 'pretendy refugees' in thereLaugh
Report DIE LINKE June 23, 2016 2:21 PM BST
MI5 also a shocking omission.
Report Shab June 23, 2016 2:30 PM BST
I'm off to vote now. Twice. On top of the postal vote which was mine.

Apologies for exercising my democratic rights there Rourkesdrift Wink
Report Rorksdrift June 23, 2016 2:39 PM BST
Shab   


I'm off to vote now. Twice. On top of the postal vote which was mine.

Apologies for exercising my democratic rights there Rourkesdrift Wink


If you have the nous to put pen to paper and get to a post box then I salute you and wholeheartedly back your democratic right....I am confident that over 30% of the population would not that mental capacity! 70-75% drifting a tad to 3!!
Report johnnie allen June 23, 2016 4:24 PM BST
FWIW. A friend of my sister's is working at a polling station in Leeds and told her by 2pm they'd had as many voters as in the whole day at the last election.
Report Rorksdrift June 23, 2016 4:53 PM BST
Thanks Johnnie....the responsible citizen in me likes the idea of an engaged electorate so hop it is a good turn out, but shy of 70% would be perfect!!

Market getting closer now: 65-70% = 3.75 and 70 -75% = 3.4
Report Early Morning Riser June 23, 2016 5:24 PM BST
I think it could be 72%, so have gone 70-75%. Also backed remain to have between 40%-45% @ 50s just in case leave is ahead which i hope they are and the polls are wrong.
Report xmoneyx June 23, 2016 5:25 PM BST
project fear working
Report clacherholiday2 June 23, 2016 5:30 PM BST
taking people within the workforce as your sample isnt really ideal.  it wouldnt shock me if there were only about 15% of the people in the uk who actually had a job.
Report xmoneyx June 23, 2016 5:31 PM BST
Libby Brooks‏ @libby_brooks
Scotland's chief returning officer Mary Pitkeithley just interviewed on BBC estimates turnout at 70-80% #EUref
Report xmoneyx June 23, 2016 5:37 PM BST
Sam Webber‏ @samdwebber
Experienced clerk in a Dorset polling station predicts turnout there by 10pm (incl postal votes already received) between 78% - 82%. #EUref
Report Early Morning Riser June 23, 2016 5:41 PM BST
Xmoneyx, I cant see a turnout of 84% like Scotland had in their referendum. The uk general election was 61% so i have gone for the middle of the 2 turnouts.
Report Early Morning Riser June 23, 2016 5:46 PM BST
should have read 64%
Report sean rua June 23, 2016 5:47 PM BST
Not sure how widespread is the bad weather ( floods in parts of the south east), but still reckon about twenty million votes on each side across ALL THE COUNTRIES.

Not sure if they'll give us a break-down of the figures, nation by nation, but my guess is

Scotland - stay
Six Counties - stay
Wales -stay
Cornwall - stay
Mannin - go
England - go.

Whatever happens, the UK will still be in the EU by the time of the next General Election, imo.
Report sean rua June 23, 2016 5:51 PM BST
My guesses based on an eligible electorate of about forty six and a half million.

Not sure how many ex-pats are allowed to vote.

Didn't realise it was as easy to rig things as the brexiters inform us. Maybe they are prone to exaggeration?
Report Early Morning Riser June 23, 2016 5:56 PM BST
Only since the 2001 general election that turnout has fallen below 71%. So well over 70% it could be.
Report xmoneyx June 23, 2016 5:58 PM BST
Wings Scotlandsson Retweeted
James Kelly
1m
James Kelly‏ @JamesKelly
From information gleaned on Twitter, I can reveal that turnout in London is either astonishingly high or abysmally low.  One or the other.
Report sean rua June 23, 2016 6:03 PM BST
Low bc of the rain, xm??

Out in the sticks in lovely sunshine, I saw many old brexiters doing their duty - ould retired folk on frames and sticks, and all dressed up for the occasion.

I think 'twill be a close call.
Report Early Morning Riser June 23, 2016 6:10 PM BST
Gibraltar has 24,117 entitled to vote, polls out there says 94% are voting remain.
Report sean rua June 23, 2016 6:12 PM BST
What about all the ones in the rest of Spain?
I believe some of them can vote to protect their pensions etc.
Report Early Morning Riser June 23, 2016 6:20 PM BST
sean, British citizens who have lived abroad for more than 15 years are not eligible to register to vote in UK elections.
Report treetop June 23, 2016 6:20 PM BST
Our polling station has had well above average turnouts today,they have asked for a third box when normally only need one.I will be amazed if the turnout is less than 70%.
Report Early Morning Riser June 23, 2016 6:30 PM BST
odds for over 70% under 80% are shortening
Report TCat June 23, 2016 7:04 PM BST
if it is over 80% I'm calling for an enquiry
Report Early Morning Riser June 23, 2016 7:13 PM BST
TCat, 1992 g/election 77.7% turnout, 1974feb 78.8% turnout. 2 turnouts since 1945 returned over 80%, 1950 83.9%. 1951 82.6%.
Report TCat June 23, 2016 7:21 PM BST
thanks for confirming my scepticism
Report xmoneyx June 23, 2016 8:10 PM BST
are tweeter feeds telling the truth


23m
Robert Jenrick‏ @RobertJenrick
Turnout 80% & rising as voted in Southwell, Newark just now. I voted @StrongerIn for jobs, economic stability & a strong voice in the world
Report Real Deal June 23, 2016 8:24 PM BST
Just been & voted with my Wife & In Laws another 4 more for Leave.

Dot said that the Turnout was probably the highest she had ever known

Dot = Lady in Polling station & she's been doing it in our village for decades.

Can it be that certain on staying ?.

I know it's Lincolnshire,but I only know of 2 Remainers out of several Dozen.
Report 1st time poster June 23, 2016 9:27 PM BST
suppose the real question is what does dot think, Wink
Report Real Deal June 23, 2016 9:58 PM BST
I did not dare ask her.But all I can say is that if MI5 turn up.She would send them off with a thick ear.

I was thinking about the dastardly way Cameron has handled himself in this referendum & it reminded me a little bit of the Referendum in the Black Adder episode where Black Adder stood against William Pitt the Younger.That is probably where he got his strategy from.
Report xmoneyx June 23, 2016 11:22 PM BST
Turnout in number of mainland UK authorities declared so far ranging from 68% to 75%.
Report xmoneyx June 24, 2016 1:31 AM BST
London turnout

Richmond 82.1%
Sutton 76%
Merton 73.5%
City 73%
Wandsworth 72%
Islington 70.4%
Ealing 70.1%
Lambeth 67.4%
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