|
By:
The probability of spiking the 5 of clubs was 1 in 44
Hope this helps |
|
By:
Of course if a 3 or a 4 comes on the river he wins as well so he had a total of 5 outs.
|
|
By:
Of course if a 3 or a 4 comes on the river he wins as well so he had a total of 5 outs.
|
|
By:
Cheers Klups
|
|
By:
5 outs 11% after turn.
|
|
By:
http://www.cardplayer.com/poker-tools/odds-calculator/texas-holdem
But you can calculate them yourself if you count how many "outs" he has (cards that will improve his hand) If any 4 or 3 comes he has a higher full house than you while if the 5 clubs comes he has a straight flush. If any club comes along he has a flush but as you already have a full house, the flush is no good for him. So you count his outs, there is 1 x 5c, 2 x 4's (4d & 4h) and 2 x 3's (3d & 3h) left in the deck giving 5 outs in total. You don't count whether those cards may have been dealt to anyone else at the table, you only use the information you have. There is a simple formula whereby to calculate his odds as a percentage, you multiply his outs by 4 on the flop and by 2 on the turn. As you are at the turn stage you multiply his 5 outs by 2 and you get 10% therefore he is roughly a 10/1 shot to hit the cards he needs. For a more accurate % you subtract 1% from the flop or add 1% on the turn. In this case as you are at the turn stage so we add 1%. He is 10% + 1% or 11% which is closer to 9/1 to hit. Running the hand through cardplayer and you will see that his actual odds are 11.36% which is pretty close to our calculation. He got lucky but play this hand enough times and you will win 89% of the time so don't beat yourself over it. You can use this to work out odds v chips in the middle and use it to work out whether you should call or fold. It was a very difficult concept for me to grasp until 3 years ago but now it's 2nd nature and it will help you win cash in the long run. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- There's my good deed done for the day and it's good to see a few poker threads started instead of the usual Ongaming is riggged posts. |
|
By:
Thanks ovalman. Thats very much appreciated
|
|
By:
Eye it depends on what site ur playing.
|
|
By:
Stars, so didnt really shock me
|
|
By:
ttt for Joker
|