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The bookies might be massively overestimating Richie Porte's chances of winning Paris-Nice, France's second biggest stage race. Porte took the yellow jersey today on the mountain Queen stage, and the penultimate stage tomorrow will probably not effect the GC but Lieuwe Westra is only 40 secs down on Porte and he beat everyone except Wiggins on the mountain time trial up Col d'Eze last year. Westra beat Porte on this stage by 1min 42 last year, so the 40 second advantage Porte has doesn't seem enough to justify Westra bring priced up at a general 8/1 for the overall win. Small bet advised on Lieuwe Westra at 8/1.
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don't thinkt Porte went full power last, either lacking form or winning chance, 1:42 difference shouldn't be repeated
He only needs to take 43 seconds off Porte. I've taken some 13 Westra on here, think its too big. Westra was the only person that got close to Wiggo last year, and the field was 30 seconds back.
Assuming Westra rides to the same level as 2012, then Porte has to finish in the top 4 on last year's times
1. WIGGINS Bradley 21 SKY PROCYCLING 19' 12"
2. WESTRA Lieuwe 108 VACANSOLEIL-DCM 19' 14" + 00' 02"
3. PERAUD Jean-Christophe 71 AG2R LA MONDIALE 19' 45" + 00' 33"
4. SPILAK Simon 176 KATUSHA TEAM 19' 59" + 00' 47"
5. COPPEL Jérôme 201 SAUR-SOJASUN 20' 03" + 00' 51"
6. VALVERDE Alejandro 31 MOVISTAR TEAM 20' 04" + 00' 52"
7. KLÖDEN Andréas 14 RADIOSHACK-NISSAN 20' 10" + 00' 58"
8. MONCOUTIE David 57 COFIDIS LE CREDIT EN LIGNE 20' 11" + 00' 59"
9. CUNEGO Damiano 111 LAMPRE - ISD 20' 11" + 00' 59"
10. URAN Rigoberto 27 SKY PROCYCLING 20' 18" + 01' 06"
11. NAVARRO Daniel 131 TEAM SAXO BANK 20' 18" + 01' 06"
12. JEANNESSON Arnold 145 FDJ-BIGMAT 20' 19" + 01' 07"
13. SZMYD Sylvester 187 LIQUIGAS-CANNONDALE 20' 27" + 01' 15"
14. VAN GARDEREN Tejay 167 BMC RACING TEAM 20' 27" + 01' 15"
15. BOUET Maxime 72 AG2R LA MONDIALE 20' 28" + 01' 16"
16. MORENO Javier 37 MOVISTAR TEAM 20' 33" + 01' 21"
17. CHAVANEL Sylvain 3 OMEGA PHARMA-QUICK STEP 20' 38" + 01' 26"
18. ULISSI Diego 118 LAMPRE - ISD 20' 39" + 01' 27"
19. CAPECCHI Eros 182 LIQUIGAS-CANNONDALE 20' 39" + 01' 27"
20. DE GENDT Thomas 103 VACANSOLEIL-DCM 20' 40" + 01' 28"
21. VOIGT Jens 18 RADIOSHACK-NISSAN 20' 44" + 01' 32"
22. LEIPHEIMER Levi 6 OMEGA PHARMA-QUICK STEP 20' 45" + 01' 33"
23. MONFORT Maxime 15 RADIOSHACK-NISSAN 20' 47" + 01' 35"
24. VICIOSO Angel 177 KATUSHA TEAM 20' 47" + 01' 35"
25. MARTIN Tony 1 OMEGA PHARMA-QUICK STEP 20' 49" + 01' 37"
26. SCHLECK Frank 17 RADIOSHACK-NISSAN 20' 53" + 01' 41"
27. DE CLERCQ Bart 194 LOTTO-BELISOL TEAM 20' 55" + 01' 43"
28. PORTE Richie 24 SKY PROCYCLING 20' 56" + 01' 44"
29. DUPONT Hubert 74 AG2R LA MONDIALE 20' 56" + 01' 44"
30. HIVERT Jonathan 204 SAUR-SOJASUN 20' 56" + 01' 44"
Porte's well capable of doing that, but he's no Wiggins, and shouldnt be as short as he is.
This is no done deal. Westra is well capable of making up 40 seconds tomorrow.
Assuming Westra rides to the same level as 2012, then Porte has to finish in the top 4 on last year's times
1. WIGGINS Bradley 21 SKY PROCYCLING 19' 12"
2. WESTRA Lieuwe 108 VACANSOLEIL-DCM 19' 14" + 00' 02"
3. PERAUD Jean-Christophe 71 AG2R LA MONDIALE 19' 45" + 00' 33"
4. SPILAK Simon 176 KATUSHA TEAM 19' 59" + 00' 47"
5. COPPEL Jérôme 201 SAUR-SOJASUN 20' 03" + 00' 51"
6. VALVERDE Alejandro 31 MOVISTAR TEAM 20' 04" + 00' 52"
7. KLÖDEN Andréas 14 RADIOSHACK-NISSAN 20' 10" + 00' 58"
8. MONCOUTIE David 57 COFIDIS LE CREDIT EN LIGNE 20' 11" + 00' 59"
9. CUNEGO Damiano 111 LAMPRE - ISD 20' 11" + 00' 59"
10. URAN Rigoberto 27 SKY PROCYCLING 20' 18" + 01' 06"
11. NAVARRO Daniel 131 TEAM SAXO BANK 20' 18" + 01' 06"
12. JEANNESSON Arnold 145 FDJ-BIGMAT 20' 19" + 01' 07"
13. SZMYD Sylvester 187 LIQUIGAS-CANNONDALE 20' 27" + 01' 15"
14. VAN GARDEREN Tejay 167 BMC RACING TEAM 20' 27" + 01' 15"
15. BOUET Maxime 72 AG2R LA MONDIALE 20' 28" + 01' 16"
16. MORENO Javier 37 MOVISTAR TEAM 20' 33" + 01' 21"
17. CHAVANEL Sylvain 3 OMEGA PHARMA-QUICK STEP 20' 38" + 01' 26"
18. ULISSI Diego 118 LAMPRE - ISD 20' 39" + 01' 27"
19. CAPECCHI Eros 182 LIQUIGAS-CANNONDALE 20' 39" + 01' 27"
20. DE GENDT Thomas 103 VACANSOLEIL-DCM 20' 40" + 01' 28"
21. VOIGT Jens 18 RADIOSHACK-NISSAN 20' 44" + 01' 32"
22. LEIPHEIMER Levi 6 OMEGA PHARMA-QUICK STEP 20' 45" + 01' 33"
23. MONFORT Maxime 15 RADIOSHACK-NISSAN 20' 47" + 01' 35"
24. VICIOSO Angel 177 KATUSHA TEAM 20' 47" + 01' 35"
25. MARTIN Tony 1 OMEGA PHARMA-QUICK STEP 20' 49" + 01' 37"
26. SCHLECK Frank 17 RADIOSHACK-NISSAN 20' 53" + 01' 41"
27. DE CLERCQ Bart 194 LOTTO-BELISOL TEAM 20' 55" + 01' 43"
28. PORTE Richie 24 SKY PROCYCLING 20' 56" + 01' 44"
29. DUPONT Hubert 74 AG2R LA MONDIALE 20' 56" + 01' 44"
30. HIVERT Jonathan 204 SAUR-SOJASUN 20' 56" + 01' 44"
Porte's well capable of doing that, but he's no Wiggins, and shouldnt be as short as he is.
This is no done deal. Westra is well capable of making up 40 seconds tomorrow.
Wiggins aside, Westra put 30 seconds into the field, is only 42 seconds back and is 12/1.
Porte nails it, almost beat Wiggo's time from last year. Westra fell apart, looked in decent shape until today as well. Impressive by Diego Ulissi there S well.
The Tour could be competitive this year
But only between the Sky riders
But only between the Sky riders
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