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HoD
05 Jul 12 19:41
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Date Joined: 18 Dec 11
| Topic/replies: 236 | Blogger: HoD's blog
Same as yesterday. Certain sprint again. Greipel in great form. Where's the value here? Morkov in break again?

Dumoulin 300-1 with Vic? ew a very reasonable 75-1?

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Replies: 29
By:
lucylucky
When: 05 Jul 12 21:01
probably one of the other sprinters other than cav and greipel
By:
db1974
When: 05 Jul 12 23:22
Can't desert Goss at this stage
By:
marychain1
When: 06 Jul 12 07:53
Cav win, Goss top 3.
By:
laroche
When: 06 Jul 12 11:08
Lead out troops and organisation might be important here. The last 2km looks hazardous - narrow and a couple of 90 degree corners (the penultimate one could have been chosen by Jeremy Clarkson!). Little opportunity to come from behind. But they'll all know that, so it could be carnage here. Think I'll pass on this stage.

If that's the best course Metz could come up with they shouldn't have the Tour imo.
By:
HoD
When: 06 Jul 12 13:18
Greipel crashed early Stage 6(and Gesink). Shoulder injury.
By:
BlockingBug
When: 06 Jul 12 13:53
I'm wondering it Sky will try and dominate the front again but with the intention of keeping Wiggins out of trouble. Cav seemed to be left with only EBH too far out yesterday but if they can keep it together going into that last 2km then he might find himself better placed.

Still think he's got the beating of Greipel in a flat sprint all things being equal.
By:
HoD
When: 06 Jul 12 13:57
I agree. Wasn't really a sky-train yesterday, more just safety for Wiggo. Cav wasn't really done any favours by it either IMHO.

Farrar so far off the radar can't even get a price!

Greipel riding well again .. probably the value bet atm.

Technical finish today with bends .... Sagan?!
By:
db1974
When: 06 Jul 12 14:09
Greipel has a badly injured finger from his fall earlier. Not sure how much that will hamper him in the sprint, if at all.
By:
BlockingBug
When: 06 Jul 12 14:20
I read on BBC sport it was his shoulder that was playing up. Also heard that Cav couldn't put pressure on his wrist yesterday.

So many rumours.

Agree there is value in Greipel at current prices and had a bit so equal green him and Cav. Sagan is a much bigger price today than he has been previously. I assumed that was because this is a flatter finish than yesterday?
By:
HoD
When: 06 Jul 12 14:53
No brainer after intermediate sprint?!

Cav and Greipel not 100% and Goss hungry to take Green jersey .... and he's 11-1. That's my bet of the day done!
By:
db1974
When: 06 Jul 12 15:06
Greipel saving himself for the hat-trick later IMO, assuming he's fit enough

Worth a shout if he gets to 3/1 I reckon
By:
book
When: 06 Jul 12 15:42
griepels out isnt he.
By:
db1974
When: 06 Jul 12 15:50
Yeah, not contesting the sprint today due to injuries
By:
BlockingBug
When: 06 Jul 12 15:57
Bloody hell, went away for an hour, absolute carnage!
By:
book
When: 06 Jul 12 15:57
no greipels is in leading pack of sprinters,big chance
By:
db1974
When: 06 Jul 12 16:03
Yeah he's back in the mix alright. Matches at 48 on here. None of it mine sadly Cry
By:
book
When: 06 Jul 12 16:04
goss is a cert
By:
db1974
When: 06 Jul 12 16:12
Fcuks sake. Got Greipel at 25/1
By:
BlockingBug
When: 06 Jul 12 16:14
Well that's made a mess of my book. Mental. If Goss can't win today, he's not going to.
By:
book
When: 06 Jul 12 16:16
if you got griepel at 25/1,you should have a big green figure whoever won !
By:
BlockingBug
When: 06 Jul 12 16:17
Sagan and Greipel will have been matched at large prices by some lucky people :)
By:
db1974
When: 06 Jul 12 16:27
Only for a tenner so not worth laying off, especially considering I also had Goss e/w and Cav at evs before the crash.

Not a big fan of laying off for the sake of it anyway. In the long run I believe it pays off to let it run. Killer on days like today though.
By:
Fela Kuti
When: 06 Jul 12 16:27
Sagan matched at 44
By:
HoD
When: 06 Jul 12 16:35
Laid a bit of my Goss bet ... another profit but not quite a tenner!!

I'm a big Sagan fan! Just wish he'd done iton St 2 when I backed him!!
By:
BlockingBug
When: 06 Jul 12 16:56
Utterly horrific day for me today. Shouldn't get so heavily involved at the office. Wish I'd taken some of Sagan for insurance in the high twenties but hey ho.
By:
HoD
When: 06 Jul 12 20:23
I was quite happy with my 66-1 ew Hesjedal bet until about 15:53
By:
db1974
When: 06 Jul 12 21:19
Greipel had a dislocated shoulder in the sprint
By:
Rich W
When: 06 Jul 12 22:05
got away with one today. got home from work to find my match bet goss beat sagan , unmatched. anf backed greipel top 3 finish again,
By:
lucylucky
When: 07 Jul 12 17:40
Hesjedal was never going to come in anyway as he won the Giro, count it as a loser and do better research next time.
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