My MMA betting thread

congrats on the ufc 131 predictions I went for maia. I think kj noons might be value at around 1.7, defiantly agree with werdum getting beat though

Well it was a bit of a crap fight but  overeem won via one sided decision.
Barnet manhandled rogers anddominated the whole fight, ending up in rogers's guard and getting a arm choke
K.J noons got beat up pretty bad, he took a lot of damage in the 1st round and got dropped, he couldnt seem to get going from there.probably should of only put a fiver on kj noons as that one bet wiped the profits out from the other 2, especially as the other 2 fights odds were rubbish.

5.Ubereem vs fabricio werdum - WIN
6.K.J Noons vs Jorge Masvidal -LOSE
7.Josh Barnet vs Brett Rogers -WIN

New bank :£129.00

Betfair have only put up 5 fights on this card atm, some of your picks arent on there [:(] not sure if they're going to put the rest of the fights up or what?

I was going to agree with you on the Marquardt vs Story fight until i saw Nate's odds were at 2.16 as the underdog, going to put a bit at 2.2 to see if it gets matched. story seemed to gas a little bit against alves, so against Nate who is gonna be bigger than Alves, he might be able to wear story out more. also nate has a lot better wrestling than Alves, so might be able to negate story's take-downs and keep it standing.
I am going to pick howard over brown, both have good standup, howard possibly has more power, but i think his ground game is better.
I can't remember much about roberts fights but attonito seems to get better with every fight and is quite well rounded now, not gonna bet on this one but think attonito can pull of UD.
vazquez seems a good pick too but im not sure what the odds will be, and as this is at featherweight Stevenson should be bigger. Joe is coming of 3 losses and vazquez is coming of 2 loss, but he hasnt fought since November, so I'm going to leave this one.
as for Barry vs Kongo, i think Barry will be at a reach disadvantage and may be hesitant to throw his kicks as he may get taken down by Kongo, who has a better ground game,Standing up though i think Barry has a better chin. i pick Kongo for this one.
might pick Olivera over Lentz, depending on the odds, Olivera was extremely cocky coming into his last fight so hopefully he has had a wake up call and will be more focussed coming into this fight.
Going for Mitrione too but the odds aren't too great so im a bit hesitant atm. both of these fighters are underhyped in my opinion, especially mitrione, i think if he wins this he definately needs a bigger name to fight.
Last pick i think i might put a bit on Gamburyan to beat Griffin, his odds are 2.7 at the moment, or it may be worth laying griffin at 1.4 . there is going to be a lot of pressure on griffin as he has lost 3 in a row, but a move to featherweight seems like a good idea for him. Manny is coming of a loss to aldo  but has some good wins before that and his standup may prove to be troubling for tyson.

Terrible odds for story. barely worth betting on
11. Rick story vs Charlie Brenneman  £10 @ 1.24

i lumped on griffin half way through 2nd round, vicious leg kicks, manny's gonna find it hard to take griffin down now

Betfair had the market still up after the decision was announced, full bank at 1.39!! theres 3 quid of 1.01 left if anyone wants it haha

cheick kongo best knockout ive ever seen great acc win for me. great fights

Last card definitely wasn't as cut and dry as 131.
I lost on Howard and Roberts.. But made good money on Vazquez. I don't know whats wrong with Joe Stevenson. He is a shadow of his former self.

132.
Im loading up on... Guillard, Bowles, Bader

Caution:
Silva over Leben.. Silva @ 1.52 hasnt fought in over a year, his chin is suspect and ring rust will be a factor. G-Sot @ 1.38 over Dos Anjos, was almost KO'd at 127.. I question his chin, however Dos Anjos is no where near the striker Siver is.

Roughies I like:
Tavares @ 2.70 over Simpson. Condit @ 2.00 over Kim.

Not interested in betting on the main event. Thoughts?

i think the best 2 bets tonight are bader and guillard, am going to put a bit on silva too, as his striking is more technical than lebens, leben got battered by bisping who after that fight got schooled by silva. im putting a bit on faber and dos anjos mainly for value reasons, as i think there odds should be shorter. but faber has beaten cruz before, in like 90 seconds, although cruz has improved since then i dont think he's gonna be as strong as faber. condit seems good value too at the moment, he probably has better striking than DHK and kim's stamina is a bit suspect. i was going to put a bit on bowles too but dont like the odds.

got to agree with you razz. ortiz is still fighting as he always has/he hasnt adapted as the game has.good luck with your bets

Isn´t this supposed to go in play?

Tito WOW!

totally gutted,was also on the Bowles Guillard Bader treble big time cant believe was let down by bader,

I quote "Im going for Leben just for value and think Wandy is wild so hoping for a counter!"" lol

Bader ruined a 4 fold for me, thought he was the banker of the lot.

Rashad evans and vitor belfort are gonna be my main pics for ufc 133

I fancy Franklin TDH. Lil nog hasnt impressed me since he started in the UFC.
Rashad by KO/TKO he hits hard.
Thats my double.

Franklins competion over the last 5 fights i think is better than lil nogs even tho he lost to forrest but could of gone either way. Should be a good fight tho but think Rich is a better all round striker and @ 5/4 roughly think his worth a punt. 4/1 by KO/TKO [:)] cheeky £10er maybe lol.

he has a chance, but not a very big one imo, he had a hard time taking down little nog in his last fight, and the decision for that fight could of gone either way(i thought nogueira won though). As davis had a hard time taking nog down, i think going against vastly superior wrestler is gonna be hard for him, davis hasnt seemed to improve on his feet as much as i would of expected, and rashad's stand up is pretty good these days.