Winter sports / Alpine skiing / Trading opportunity

Hello,

Market : Winter sports / Alpine skiing / Mens World Cup Winner 09/10

Actual standings after today's race :
http://www.fis-ski.com/uk/disciplines/alpineskiing/cupstandings.html

Tomorrow : downhill in Wengen. Carlo JANKA among the big favorites. He has good chances to take the lead of the overall standings tomorrow. Then sunday : SL (short turns), Benni Raich among the favs, but it is harder for him than for Janka to win his speciality.

Everything remains open for the title between thos two guys. They will soon both trade under evens imo
Considering the market with a larger view, there are only 4 contenders left : Raich, Janka, Svindal and Cuche. It is all over for the other skiers : too many points behind and their objectives are somewhere else (Olympics).

Considering this, the odds on Carlo Janka are a real gift. One can still back him today at 4.3....

In my opinion, after today's race, Carlo Janka should be 2.8 and Benni Raich should be 2.3.

Value is on Janka.
If everything goes "normally" tomorrow, with Janka among the best 5 of the race, Janka will be 1st fav.
What I did : I backed Janka at 4.3. It will be possible to take some profit already tomorrow after the downhill.

What if he falls or doesn't take the lead tomorrow ?? No big deal as there are still plenty of races to be held. It is certain that Janka will trade under 3 before the end of the WC.

The "mano à mano" between those two will go on until the "finals" in March, in Garmisch-Partenkirchen.

If you ask me why I don't take all the money above "4" on Janka...??
I don't need it, I don't want too much red and money blocked on this market as I am green for all the 4 left contenders, particularly on Raich and Janka. My situation is just fine for the moment....

ok, this was just an advice...make up you own opinion...follow it or not...gl