Super Bowl outright 2024 season

Started off mostly laying the Jets & Bears

Packers only back so far.

*Cleveland Bombs might not be far off tho

Agree about the Packers. Think they will have a good season.

Lions hardly play outside all season so, as a dome team they should seed highly in the NFC  I think it maybe 3 outside games?

My back to cash out angle every year are the Browns as I use all my free bets on them but, that is more out of blind faith.

The interesting price to cash out later in the season for me are the Chargers and the Cards.  Chargers now have coaches and the Cards are a team that could be explosive.

After Week 7

5.3	Kansas City Chiefs		75	Seattle Seahawks
6.8	Baltimore Ravens		75	New York Jets
8.8	Detroit Lions		110	Dallas Cowboys
13.5	San Francisco 49ers		140	Los Angeles Rams
15	Buffalo Bills		150	Denver Broncos
17.5	Green Bay Packers		200	Arizona Cardinals
17.5	Minnesota Vikings		200	Indianapolis Colts
19	Philadelphia Eagles		220	Miami Dolphins
19	Houston Texans		400	New Orleans Saints
28	Cincinnati Bengals		800	Jacksonville Jaguars
34	Pittsburgh Steelers		1000	New York Giants
48	Washington Commanders		1000	New England Patriots
50	Chicago Bears		1000	Tennessee Titans
65	Atlanta Falcons		1000	Las Vegas Raiders
70	Los Angeles Chargers		1000	Carolina Panthers
75	Tampa Bay Buccaneers		1000	Cleveland Browns

The Ravens look the bet at the moment but I don't know if there is another sport that it's so easy to be sucked in by. This time last season the Ravens looked like the best team too but fizzled out.

At those prices the Bengals look interesting, a rough start but are getting it together now they are getting healthy, Burrow, Chase and Higgins are capable of blowing out anyone if they can stay on the field together and should have beat the Ravens if they didn't try three runs after the fumble during O/T after Burrow had been passing at will all game.

Its an obvious one but the stats for Mahomes and Kelce this season are so poor, they have won games by luck and one play results, YET they are unbeaten.  They know how to win and in recent years are undeniably the best playoff team.  There is a very real chance they go unbeaten through the season.  Still a huge price at 5.1

Thing is with KC, they know how to win. It’s a great habit to have, and Mahomes is a brilliant talisman to have

If you had to pick one QB to score a late winning drive with your life depending on it

.... it would be Mahomes every time.

Forum is finished. Last post 2 weeks ago from you know who. All gone.

Ok Mac, Chiefs 9-0, winning games through shear doggedness and that winning know how. Tonight could be the night for their 1st loss imo. Should be a good game. Josh Allen to swing it for Bills. Won’t be surprised if Chiefs tough another out though

Well done loui. Great call.

....... I just noticed your post now.

What you think tonight loui?

Texans or Cowboys in the battle of Texas?

I’m on the handicap double of Green Bay & Denver Mac, gl with yours

That’s Texas battle going to the wire by looks of it

Got wrong game there Mac,would have picked Texans all day long there . Cowboys are in bad shape, or they were till last night that is

Hope you had a profitable Thanksgiving Day loui.

After Week 13

5.2	Detroit Lions (11-1)		110	Arizona Cardinals (6-6)
6	Buffalo Bills (10-2)		160	San Francisco 49ers (5-7)
6.6	Kansas City Chiefs (11-1)		180	Atlanta Falcons (6-6)
6.6	Philadelphia Eagles (10-2)		200	Los Angeles Rams (6-6)
12	Baltimore Ravens (8-5)		310	Miami Dolphins (5-7)
17	Green Bay Packers (9-3)		570	Indianapolis Colts (6-7)
24	Minnesota Vikings (10-2)		630	Cinncinnati Bengals (4-8)
29	Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3)		1000	Carolina Panthers (3-9)
36	Los Angeles Chargers (8-4)		1000	Chicago Bears (4-8)
42	Houston Texans (8-5)		1000	New York Jets (3-9)
70	Denver Broncos (8-5)		1000	Cleveland Browns (3-9)
70	Seattle Seahawks (7-5)		1000	Dallas Cowboys (5-7)
75	Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6)		1000	New Orleans Saints (4-8)
90	Washington Commanders (8-5)		1000	Tennessee Titans (3-9)

Imagine someone 'backing to lay' the Chiefs at the start.

Won last 2 super bowls, start off 6.2, go 11-1 and the lay price is 6.8

How your book on SB winner looking this year T.

277	Detroit Lions		208	Arizona Cardinals
171	Buffalo Bills		156	San Francisco 49ers
244	Kansas City Chiefs		20	Atlanta Falcons
55	Philadelphia Eagles		709	Los Angeles Rams
9	Baltimore Ravens		151	Miami Dolphins
48	Green Bay Packers		155	Indianapolis Colts
267	Minnesota Vikings		64	Cincinnati Bengals
121	Pittsburgh Steelers		66	Carolina Panthers
230	Los Angeles Chargers		57	Chicago Bears
171	Houston Texans		197	New York Jets
208	Denver Broncos		60	Cleveland Browns
203	Seattle Seahawks		196	Dallas Cowboys
250	Tampa Bay Buccaneers		107	New Orleans Saints
72	Washington Commanders		66	Tennessee Titans

Cheers T. I always look forward to viewing your book about this time of the year and watch how you mange to green up entirely (or almost) on the approach of the SB. Eagles and Ravens look dangerous and your main bogies.

... I know, I must live a boring life lol.

.... not to mention the Redskins, who are capable of beating anyone in a one off match but whether they can win 4+ on the trot in the play-offs (assuming they get in) to win SB is a big big question mark against them. Good luck!

After Week 15

5.1	Buffalo Bills (11-3)		75	Denver Broncos (9-5)
5.8	Philadelphia Eagles (12-2)		75	Los Angeles Chargers (8-6)
6.8	Kansas City Chiefs (13-1)		200	Seattle Seahawks (8-6)
7.6	Detroit Lions (12-2)		260	Cinncinnati Bengals (6-8)
9.8	Baltimore Ravens (9-5)		280	Atlanta Falcons (7-7)
16.5	Green Bay Packers (10-4)		310	Arizona Cardinals (7-7)
19	Minnesota Vikings (12-2)		630	Indianapolis Colts (6-8)
40	Los Angeles Rams (8-6)		780	Miami Dolphins (6-8)
42	Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-6)		850	San Francisco 49ers (6-8)
42	Houston Texans (9-5)		1000	Dallas Cowboys (6-8)
46	Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4)		1000	New Orleans Saints (5-9)
65	Washington Commanders (9-5)			)

my position

226	Buffalo Bills		152	Denver Broncos
21	Philadelphia Eagles		210	Los Angeles Chargers
231	Kansas City Chiefs		142	Seattle Seahawks
218	Detroit Lions		260	Cincinnati Bengals
23	Baltimore Ravens		0	Atlanta Falcons
152	Green Bay Packers		12	Arizona Cardinals
225	Minnesota Vikings		136	Indianapolis Colts
134	Los Angeles Rams		89	Miami Dolphins
90	Tampa Bay Buccaneers		173	San Frncisco 49ers
100	Houston Texans		176	Dallas Cowboys
53	Pittsburgh Steelers		88	New Orleans Saints
251	Washington Commanders

||

Patriots all over the Bills here

And Just like that

tobermory 05 Dec 24 21:24 
Imagine someone 'backing to lay' the Chiefs at the start.

Won last 2 super bowls, start off 6.2, go 11-1 and the lay price is 6.8

You make a decent point.

Now 14-1 and the lay price is 6. They do finish the regular season with a couple of tough road games but one win would guarantee the #1 seed.

Russell Wilson havin a mare in the first 10 minutes against the Chiefs

Totally outclassed the Steelers, even without  Chris Jones.

The 6+ odds we won't see again , should have gone in a lot more on that.

Think too much was made of the 'one score wins', a lot of them were fairly comfortable.

eg v Texans was a 'one score win' but at the end they had the option of an easy TD or an easy FG to make it two scores, or just take a knee and and end the game 7pts up.

tobes - as u say above the Chiefs were class above. Ravens looking good as well in the first half against Texans.  Lamar is unplayable at times

Yeah. I Would give him MP above Allen actually.

Anybody happen to know why Sky aren’t showing the Saturday night game, it was the same last weekend with only 2 out of the 3 Saturday games live on Sky ?

Netflix have exclusive rights to those 3 games.

Thanks but pretty sure Bengals V Steelers isn’t on Netflix

Sorry, should have read your post more carefully and not assumed you were talking about the xmas day games. Yes, not sure what is going on with Sky Sports and NFL. It seems both of these Sat night games have been scheduled at some point during the week and then pulled from the schedule.

Some discussion of it here.
.
https://forums.digitalspy.com/discussion/2465794/nfl-coverage-2024/p32

I was puzzled that the Rams/Cardinals game wasn't on but didn't give it much thought as I wasn't too interested, but really disappointing that Steelers v Bengals not on

Don't understand what's going on with these games as a broadcast deal is decided before the season starts... you pay x amount and you get these games, so it's not week to week decisions.

Sky must have had the rights to the game but decided not to show it

Very annoying as the Ravens/Browns game looks bad. Bailey Zappe starting QB for Browns

All the Bengals games I've seen have been great and most of the Steelers ones too.

And it is meaningful as Bengals must win to have a shot at play offs. Probably won't get in as either Miami or Denver likely win later, but they won't know that til next day.

Reading that link you posted I think it's more likely that 1 game on the Saturday was scheduled and Sky had the rights to that all along.

Then they moved another game forward from Sunday but that was not part of the contract rights.

A bit like when a premier league game involving a big club gets postponed and then rescheduled for April at a time when no one else is playing and people ask how is it not on TV?

Because if it was originally scheduled for 3pm Saturday it can never be a live game in a later slot.

Thanks fellas.
Agreed it’s very annoying.

According to the Racing Post, the Bengals / Steelers game can be watched on DAZN or Amazon Prime via Game Pass at 1am.

I didn't bother in the end, would have paid a fiver but game pass was 29.99! Not for 1 game.

Bucs look like they are blowing the play offs here!

Though the choking Falcons will probably let them off

All favourites likely to go in this weekend

Who will the fav be in the Vikings at Rams game? Currently Vikings 1.95 on here but wouldn't be greatly surprised to see it the other way round by kickoff.

Thinking there maybe 1, 2or evening 3 underdogs winning this weekend.

Matthew Stafford threw 4 TD passes in Rams' 30-20 win over Vikings in October and they can win again with home field advantage.

Tampa Bay (10-7) beat Washington (12-5) in week 1 by 37-20 but the Commanders still came through the regular season with a better record from a tougher schedule. Both teams have good offenses but suspect defenses, but overall the Commanders look like the better of the 2 teams. Washington have now won five straight games and are arguably the surprise team this season.

If CJ Stroud returns to his form of last season then the Texans can beat the Chargers at the NRG Stadium. The Chargers have allowed the fewest points in the NFL this season and Houston have been awful in their last 9 (4-5 record) so it ain't going to be easy, but home field advantage may sway it.

Anyway score predictions are:

Chargers 17 Texans 21

Ravens 27 Steelers 13

Bills 31 Broncos 17

Packers 17 Eagles 24 (Although this is dependent upon whether Jalen Hurts (concussion) or Jordan Love (funny bone injury) are available)

Buccaneers 24 Commanders 27

Rams 31 Vikings 24

Good Luck with your picks.

Before Play offs

4.3	Detroit Lions (15-2)		42	Tampa Bay Buccaneers(10-7)
4.5	Kansas City Chiefs (15-2)		42	Los Angeles Rams (10-7)
7.2	Baltimore Ravens (12-5)		44	Los Angeles Chargers (11-6)
7.2	Buffalo Bills (13-4)		80	Washington Commanders (12-5)
8.8	Philadelphia Eagles (14-3)		130	Denver Broncos (10-7)
23	Minnesota Vikings (14-3)		140	Houston Texans (10-7)
34	Green Bay Packers (11-6)		150	Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7)

my position

129	Detroit Lions		223	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
383	Kansas City Chiefs		118	Los Angeles Rams
12	Baltimore Ravens		237	Los Angeles Chargers
150	Buffalo Bills		16	Washington Commanders
5	Philadelphia Eagles		245	Denver Broncos
146	Minnesota Vikings		201	Houston Texans
235	Green Bay Packers		231	Pittsburgh Steelers

Jan 9, 2025 -- 3:05PM, TheGoddess wrote:

Thinking there maybe 1, 2or evening 3 underdogs winning this weekend.Matthew Stafford threw 4 TD passes in Rams' 30-20 win over Vikings in October and they can win again with home field advantage.Tampa Bay (10-7) beat Washington (12-5) in week 1 by 37-20 but the Commanders still came through the regular season with a better record from a tougher schedule. Both teams have good offenses but suspect defenses, but overall the Commanders look like the better of the 2 teams. Washington have now won five straight games and are arguably the surprise team this season.If CJ Stroud returns to his form of last season then the Texans can beat the Chargers at the NRG Stadium. The Chargers have allowed the fewest points in the NFL this season and Houston have been awful in their last 9 (4-5 record) so it ain't going to be easy, but home field advantage may sway it.Anyway score predictions are:Chargers 17 Texans 21Ravens 27 Steelers 13Bills 31 Broncos 17Packers 17 Eagles 24 (Although this is dependent upon whether Jalen Hurts (concussion) or Jordan Love (funny bone injury) are available)Buccaneers 24 Commanders 27Rams 31 Vikings 24Good Luck with your picks.

Good analysis. I agree that the Chargers are being overrated. That's why they are my biggest red. I see them nearer the level of Texans/Broncos/Steelers than the top 3 seeds. They are a good team, and I expect will be stronger next year, but  I think the Texans game is a coin flip and they would be blown out by the top 3 in the next round anyway. I like the Packers a lot, they are 0-4 vs Lions/Vikings but I would honestly expect them to beat both if they meet again! Though the Eagles is a tough first game, they just seem to score touchdowns without even making big plays. The Packers I think will win a Super Bowl in the next 2 seasons, they are a young team with a high ceiling, but inconsistent, sometimes are awful for 2 or 3 quarters then come to life. The Vikings red would be way worse if they had managed to beat Detroit last week! I just have always expected Sam Darnold to turn in to a pumpkin at some point. But I uunderrated him (though maybe last week was the start of him folding). The red I'm most annoyed about is Tampa, as they were the one 200+ shot I backed in September. But when Godwin and Evans went down and they lost twice to Atlanta I bailed out. That would have worked out for me but for the inepetitude of the Atlanta HC.

really hope the lions win got a great coach

Just as well that Texans D turned up last night, was fearing the worst deep into the 2nd quarter even with my 2.5pts start, the whole offensive game changed following that CJS 34 yarder to Hutchinson with 2:30 to go in the 2nd quarter.

First underdog in, 2 to go

A little in game bet builder for the eagles Packers game would be under on both Hurts rushing yards and Love passing yards.

Hurts has been in concussion protocol for a few weeks and has obviously had a problem so I think he won't be running much tonight as they try to minimize him getting hit and Love has a problem with his elbow and if you watched his interview in the week when he was being quizzed you would be very worried from a Packers point of view he was very evasive when asked about his ability to throw the ball, it's obviously an issue.

Jan 9, 2025 -- 3:05PM, TheGoddess wrote:

Thinking there maybe 1, 2or evening 3 underdogs winning this weekend.Matthew Stafford threw 4 TD passes in Rams' 30-20 win over Vikings in October and they can win again with home field advantage.Tampa Bay (10-7) beat Washington (12-5) in week 1 by 37-20 but the Commanders still came through the regular season with a better record from a tougher schedule. Both teams have good offenses but suspect defenses, but overall the Commanders look like the better of the 2 teams. Washington have now won five straight games and are arguably the surprise team this season.If CJ Stroud returns to his form of last season then the Texans can beat the Chargers at the NRG Stadium. The Chargers have allowed the fewest points in the NFL this season and Houston have been awful in their last 9 (4-5 record) so it ain't going to be easy, but home field advantage may sway it.Anyway score predictions are:Chargers 17 Texans 21Ravens 27 Steelers 13Bills 31 Broncos 17Packers 17 Eagles 24 (Although this is dependent upon whether Jalen Hurts (concussion) or Jordan Love (funny bone injury) are available)Buccaneers 24 Commanders 27Rams 31 Vikings 24Good Luck with your picks.

5/5 so far!