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NonVintage
13 Oct 21 11:35
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Date Joined: 28 Sep 02
| Topic/replies: 5,337 | Blogger: NonVintage's blog
So...

This is a slight curveball, and obviously not the highest quality event (for the second week in a row), but - cutting to the chase - I think Miami are terrible and Jacksonville are slightly but tangibly less bad.

Miami probably have Tua back as QB, but their problems at the moment are far deeper than just that (and Jacoby hasn't been doing a bad job all things considered).

Yes they narrowly won a game - somehow, against all the game stats - in Week 1, but they have that great combination of weak defense (3rd most points shipped) and feeble offense (2nd least points scored), and appear to be getting worse.

Jacksonville are 0-5, with a dodgy coach, but have actually been almost competitive in several games over an opening schedule that is broadly comparable to Miami's. Crucially, they look to be getting a bit more organised and functional.

A lot of opinion seems to be that the Dolphins looked better at times against the Buccaneers, but the total yardage story is a shocker (Tampa 558, Miami 301), while for the first time this year, Jacksonville had a positive yardage comparison (+86) in their defeat by Tennessee.

At 8/5 (money line), I think Jacksonville rate a bet here. It's definitely not a cast-iron certainty, but it feels like the odds are out of line by some way.

For the record, the under-probation predictor thingy has this game as:
Miami Dolphins 21-26 Jacksonville Jaguars

And yes, I probably need my head examined for even looking at this game, I know, I know... Laugh

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Replies: 14
By:
tobermory
When: 14 Oct 21 14:56
Yeah, I expect Jaguars to win this one.

Miami seem completely dysfunctional, reportedly still trying to trade away a haul of round 1 & 2 picks for Deshaun Watson, who is probably only unsuspended until a team try to play him.
By:
SamuelMertensBertens
When: 17 Oct 21 16:52
haha. what a bad 5 minutes of american football.
By:
SamuelMertensBertens
When: 17 Oct 21 17:49
smart final play from the Jags.
By:
SlippyBlue
When: 17 Oct 21 17:50
What a great kick, well done N.V.
By:
NonVintage
When: 17 Oct 21 17:53
That was some call with the quick throw! But yeah, going for it at 17-13 rather than taking the field goal was nuts. I was quite shouty at that point!!!
By:
NonVintage
When: 17 Oct 21 17:54

Oct 17, 2021 -- 5:50PM, SlippyBlue wrote:


What a great kick, well done N.V.


Thanks Slippy!

By:
johnnythebull
When: 17 Oct 21 17:55
that was some stud kicking there..top man
By:
SlippyBlue
When: 17 Oct 21 17:58
You're welcome N. V., good to see your name again actually, you're " old school" on here like me! I remember your old avatar as well for some and reason, you were a white bearded druid if I recall correctly! Grin
By:
NonVintage
When: 17 Oct 21 18:01
I was... was that here or on The Racing Forum? But yes, that's me - always good to bump into the old guard! Hope you are well!!!
By:
SlippyBlue
When: 17 Oct 21 18:05
Ah yes, thinking about it now it was TRF. That's going back a good few years now isn't it. I'm in grand form thanks, all good and musn't grumble about anything really.
By:
Shelli
When: 17 Oct 21 18:07
Good preview and call NV. NFL been awesome so far this season-almost every tv game has been a good watch
By:
NonVintage
When: 18 Oct 21 03:04
Thanks Shelli, and yes agreed - there have been a load of close call games (maybe not today, but 2 still went to overtime). There seems to be a slightly more chaotic and gung-ho attitude from coaches this year (possibly post-Trump and kind of post-Covid) which is a lot of fun! I've never seen so many teams going for it on 4th down plays!

And Slippy, glad to hear that, and I'm pretty sure that I chose that avatar because it had the same name as me! Suffice to say I am now almost that grey!!! Laugh
By:
SamuelMertensBertens
When: 18 Oct 21 03:58
another close game.
big call this.
By:
SamuelMertensBertens
When: 18 Oct 21 03:59
fumble
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