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13 Sep 16 07:04
Date Joined: 25 Jun 07
| Topic/replies: 45 | Blogger: loveit's blog
I'm new to NFL punting. I was watching the san fran game today and after 49ers went 28-0 up & after rams had turned the ball over, one of the betting companies was still offering 1.65 for 49ers to win by -21.5.

I didn't have much time to research so i just threw the $2500 i had in the account on. 1 minute later after 49ers had progressed about 10 yards, the line bet was -24.5 (still no idea why so low) at 1.40.

My question to more regular NFL punters, was this just a mistake by the bookie? Or for some reason were 49ers expected to get the ball and score a touchdown with one remaining possession having no scored a point all game?
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Report curlywurly September 13, 2016 11:01 AM BST
I didn't watch the game, but it all depends on the clock.
For example if LA got the ball back with 4 mins left, they would be very likely to score, despite not scoring all game - reason being the game is dead, they will have 4 downs (they're not going to punt) and the defence will back off.
And IF they did score your bet is dead, because SF would have absolutely no interest in scoring more points.
Report bigpoppapump September 13, 2016 1:41 PM BST
who laid the bet?
Report therhino September 13, 2016 1:47 PM BST
New to NFL punting, no time for research, bets full bank against one score in garbage time. If you are for real, you have dodged a bullet.
Report Whisperingdeath September 14, 2016 9:00 AM BST
New to NFL punting, no time for research, bets full bank against one score in garbage time. If you are for real, you have dodged a bullet.

...... and can I be your new best buddy. Buy me drinks and I will explain the nuances of the game to youLaugh!

Actually 1.65 might have been a decent bet but depends on the time remaining and pitch position. I'd say if you haven't scored in the whole game and you get the ball in your own 20 then the chances are you are still not going to score a TD. There is also a strong incentive for any defending team to keep a shutout.

Further to that how do we know that the full bank was not just a little tester bet before full funds could be transfered in[:shocked:Shocked?

loveit, I don't suppose you could be an heiress who is a six foot leggy blond with massive hooters and your monika is derived from your sexual appetite?
Report Puzzman September 14, 2016 10:31 AM BST
NFL games in garbage time (the time left after the outcome is decided) can be fickle. My general experience is unless it is a rival game or one team is keeping a clean sheet the losing team will score (assuming they are competent offensively). Both situations applied to your game.
Report bearcub September 17, 2016 7:41 PM BST
Report loveit September 22, 2016 7:14 AM BST
The Rhino & Whispering death. I am not sure if you are both retarded or not, but after chatting with a friend who works in a bookies, he advised me his agency had the line at -28.5 and suspended betting at lines under -22.5

Essentially it was an error. there was 3 minutes left and as i mentioned before, san fran had the ball 30 yards from their own goal.

The same bookie has made a bunch of similar errors recently which has been incredible. Can't wait to live bet New England tomorrow.

Pm me if you want the bookie.
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