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the racoons
15 Oct 14 20:24
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Date Joined: 03 Jul 08
| Topic/replies: 217 | Blogger: the racoons's blog
Early thread i know but just want to sound out thoughts on a bet.

Ryan Allen (NE)Longest punt o/u 46.5yds

Looking at the game logs here are his longest punts per game

@ Miami 63yards
@ Minnesota 59yards
Vs Oakland 58yards
@ Kansas 59yards
vs Cincinnati 46yards
@ Buffalo 54yards

So that's 5/6 games hes gone over. Weather for Wednesday is rain heavy at times with a light 8mph wind.

Question is how much of a factor will the rain be? Because at odds of 10/13 that over 46.5 looks worth a decent punt (get it)

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Replies: 37
By:
the racoons
When: 15 Oct 14 20:26
Looking at 2013 season stats he only failed to hit the 47yd mark once and that was at Carolina. In a dry game in which they got mugged off proper
By:
louie87
When: 16 Oct 14 13:13
Seems a great bit of value if those 2013 stats are correct, I'm sure they got some bad weather at the end of the year in foxborough, who offers that market?

Hard to find an angle in this game, could be another thursday night blowout but not that interested giving 8 or 9 in the point spread. The pats d/st might be worth a bet for a td with the jets struggling offence.
By:
nellie1970
When: 16 Oct 14 13:36
a lot of injuries for pats tonight brady will play but troubled with sprained ankle.with a short week and rain forcast i think te jets might just cause a surprise and i like them to at least cover the spread(first time in history i like the jets in a gameShocked)
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Oct 14 17:56
I never bet against Brady on principle but tempted to bet the Jets on money line and straight up tonight. They are not as bad as people think and always give the Pats a hard game. Over 4/1 to win and +9.5 on handicap are crazy markets, imo. Any Given Sunday (although it`s Thursday) and all that.  CrazyCrazy
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Oct 14 17:57
Like Nellie says, Pats have a lot of injuries and NE offensive line is crap.
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Oct 14 18:47
*handicap line and straight up
By:
dlarssonf
When: 16 Oct 14 20:19
Pats may have injuries and are no a shadow of the team they were and regardless of tonight the Jets so far this season have been as bad as people think.  Their performance against the Chargers in particular was to a man one of the worst displays I have seen by them
By:
the racoons
When: 16 Oct 14 22:44
Louie thanks for the input.
source for stats http://www.nfl.com/player/ryanallen/2539640/gamelogs?season=2013
By:
Swardean
When: 16 Oct 14 23:43
Backed Jets +10 at 5/6 with b365.   No strong view but fancied a late night NFL.  Hope I am not blown out by HT
By:
YCMMEI
When: 17 Oct 14 00:03
where is this o/u punt market?
By:
YCMMEI
When: 17 Oct 14 00:03
where is this o/u punt market?
By:
Lufc86
When: 17 Oct 14 00:19
Its on the score props on bet365

I think its a cracking find from the racoons

Im backing it
By:
the racoons
When: 17 Oct 14 00:36
Thanks. Statistically it has a great chance. 20/22 career games he has achieved the over 46.5 yards. Just hoping the Jets can make a few stops. So we can have more cracks at it.

For what its worth i have £390 on @ 10/13 on Bet365.
By:
dlarssonf
When: 17 Oct 14 01:29
JetsGrin
By:
Hank Hill
When: 17 Oct 14 01:30
That didn't take long Laugh
By:
the racoons
When: 17 Oct 14 01:31
That secondary is awful
By:
Lufc86
When: 17 Oct 14 02:05
BOOM
By:
the racoons
When: 17 Oct 14 02:06
51 yard punt.£££££££££££££££££
By:
Blake84
When: 17 Oct 14 02:08
Jets by far the better team so far. Unlucky not to be in front.
By:
the racoons
When: 17 Oct 14 02:27
Awesome drive. To think people were asking if Brady was finnish just a few weeks ago
By:
the racoons
When: 17 Oct 14 03:04
Forum dead tonight Cry Thought more people would be involved in this game
By:
dlarssonf
When: 17 Oct 14 03:05
forum been dead a long time nowSad  hardly ever anyone around
By:
Hank Hill
When: 17 Oct 14 03:09
It's not just the forum. This match hasn't even hit 1M matched and we're in to the 2nd half. That has to be way down on previous years.
By:
Torres86
When: 17 Oct 14 04:18
Great game, im abit upset i layed off my Jets bet when the patriots scored there last touchdown Sad Exiting finish now
By:
Torres86
When: 17 Oct 14 04:20
ive thrown a few quid on the jets at 9s
By:
Torres86
When: 17 Oct 14 04:30
Jeese thought they were going to do it then
By:
nellie1970
When: 17 Oct 14 04:33
oh well at least the spread covered but jets really should have won but if you do not convert in the redzone thats what happens
By:
GoBallistic
When: 17 Oct 14 12:08
Didn't stay up for the finish.  That 2 point conversion attempt - yuk.  Pats been gashed on the ground for 200+ yds - they probably couldn't believe their luck when they saw Geno Smith throwing the ball
By:
dlarssonf
When: 17 Oct 14 12:40
They might have been gashed on the ground but in the red zone four different times the jets couldn't run it in for a touchdown. The play call was correct imo and Geno had his man but the throw was awful
By:
GoBallistic
When: 17 Oct 14 12:49
? They were passing for the most part on all of those red zone FGs
By:
dlarssonf
When: 17 Oct 14 12:56
because they can't run it in , new england's defence stats always look bad because they give up a lot of yards but they get the job done time and time again.  New England were set up for the run on the two point conversion , throwing the ball was the right call and any decent qb would have made that throw
By:
GoBallistic
When: 17 Oct 14 12:58
any decent qb would have made that throw

yep
By:
Hank Hill
When: 17 Oct 14 13:54
Were my eyes deceiving me or was someone offering evens pats for a while when Jets were kicking a 58yd fg?!
By:
layer1982
When: 17 Oct 14 14:54
guy hit 58 yards previous kick i think
By:
dlarssonf
When: 17 Oct 14 18:13
nah he didn't but the have this kicktracker thing on cbs which said his shorter kick would have beeen good from any distance up to 58 yards!!!!
By:
themightymac
When: 17 Oct 14 20:07
Jets were the better team and beat themselves. If Brady had been Jets QB they would have won by 20+.
By:
Makfi
When: 18 Oct 14 00:34
Anyone know what best price Pats were in running? 1.2 SP and went 1.4+ with Jets in front 9-7 2nd quarter.
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