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DirkDiggler
05 Dec 13 15:36
Joined:
Date Joined: 19 Jun 04
| Topic/replies: 9,248 | Blogger: DirkDiggler's blog
I don't get it.

1. They've lost TEN STRAIGHT GAMES!!! TEN!!!

2. They're on the road on a short week.

3. The Jags beat them 2 weeks ago.

I know the Jags are no great shakes either, at least they've won a couple of games on the bounce though.
Pause Switch to Standard View Why exactly are Houston favoured?
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Report Wallflower December 5, 2013 4:24 PM GMT
I'm not sure eitherConfused.....and if they were ( based on playing better than 0-10, and played well against Patriots last week) 1.8 to 1.9 would be more like it, not 1.62!
Report sideshowbob December 5, 2013 4:31 PM GMT
no idea. makes no sense at all. itd take a brave man to bet on the jaguars to beat anybody, but itd take a crazy one to bet on houston at them prices.
Report DirkDiggler December 5, 2013 7:13 PM GMT
I hate the expression 'trap game' to me that concept is just paranoid yank nonsense. But it seems a tad to good to be true to me, I cap this as a pick 'em to -3 Jags spread. I;m not going to second guess myself without really good reason though, so a small bet on Jax, or lay of Houston. I can definitely see this being back and forth too.
Report sideshowbob December 5, 2013 8:27 PM GMT
ive had one of my safe boring bets.
over 33.5 points at 1.25
think there should be plenty of points on offer.

i also would make the jags slight favourites. but i wouldnt back he jags against anybody, just cos theyre the jags basically Laugh
Report kingmax December 5, 2013 8:34 PM GMT
have u lot been drinking?
Report ClayDavis December 5, 2013 8:44 PM GMT
lol
Report sideshowbob December 5, 2013 8:49 PM GMT
the jags have won 3 of their last 4. including away at houston.
houston have lost 10 in a row.
Report sideshowbob December 5, 2013 8:54 PM GMT
also ive traded out of my over 33.5 points bet. changed my mind. had second thoughts, its not quite as safe as id like. it relies on houston scoring points so the jags respond. bit dodgy. so not doing it.
Report DirkDiggler December 5, 2013 8:58 PM GMT
Clay when can we expect the benefit of your wisdom this evening?


Laugh


http://community.betfair.com/go/forum/popup?output_method=iframe&base_url=http://community.betfair.com/service&type=forum&category=94166&xref=165814
Report DirkDiggler December 5, 2013 9:00 PM GMT
Clay what was that you were saying about '**** Seahawks secondary'?


Laugh
Report kingmax December 5, 2013 9:15 PM GMT
jax will find it tough to score tonight, Given the HOU pass D & the JAX poor run O, the logic has to be to back HOU -3 tonight. Can't see a reason why this isn't a good bet? The texans last two road games versus ARX & KC saw them lose by 3 and 1 points. They've also kept it close in losses to NE, OAK, IND
Report Hank Hill December 5, 2013 10:17 PM GMT
It's a head scratcher DD. We improved v the pats, but cannot see this being more than a coin flip at best for Texans. Good value on Jags - don't say that too often Laugh
Report Colldogg December 5, 2013 11:21 PM GMT
It is a head scratcher for sure. I can see the Texans running away with this game or the Texans yet again falling short in a tight game. Not sure which one is going to happen though. Going to have a long think about this before putting any money on it, if I bother putting any on at all.
Report themightymac December 6, 2013 12:01 AM GMT
No one could have forecast how bad a season the Texans have had but the Jags have probably achieved what everybody expected from them. Houston went toe to toe with the Pats last week and nearly beat them. Could the Jags have done the same? Personally, I doubt it very much. Houston are favourites because they outrank the Jags on both sides of the ball and have played better teams. All about opinions and there are some good judges on here and the arguement put forth that the Jags beat them away is a fair one, but imo, Houston are a far superior team and I can`t see anything but a Texan win. I`m all in straight up and -3 on the handicap. Enjoy the game and may the best team win.

NFL Offensive Rankings

Total Offence (YPG)
Houston (10th)
Jags (32nd)

Passing (YPG)
Houston (13th)
Jags (23rd)

Rushing (YPG)
Houston (14th)
Jags (32nd)


NFL Defensive Rankings

Total Defence (YPG)
Houston (3rd)
Jags (25th)

Passing (YPG)
Houston (2nd)
Jags (23rd)

Rushing (YPG)
Houston (20th)
Jags (29th)
Report Still standing December 6, 2013 12:12 AM GMT
So the Mighty Mac has spoken.  Nice and simple comparison of some meaningful stats.  People try to complicate things way too much.  I'm on Texas too.  ML, and I'm not trading out at my usual 15%.  One more stat.  Jags stink at home.
Report themightymac December 6, 2013 1:01 AM GMT
themightymac also won the Thanksgiving Day tipping competition. 5 out of 6 and all bet accordingly. Blush

Good luck with your bets, I sincerely hope you win. Whoops
Report themightymac December 6, 2013 1:04 AM GMT
*joint won with Wallflower who also went 5-6.
Report incaseof December 6, 2013 1:21 AM GMT
TANK
Report Buell Mule December 6, 2013 1:27 AM GMT
New to this American Football lark but been picking it up over the last few weeks and to a regular small profit. So... Comfortable win for the Texans for me. GLA
Report Kriskin December 6, 2013 1:34 AM GMT
Jags on fire early doors.  Too easy all this yardage their getting
Report Colldogg December 6, 2013 1:34 AM GMT
If you are new to American football you have to learn the 1 golden rule. Lay the first team to hit 1.1 Crazy

Great start by the Jags... Yes I ended up changing my initial thought and going for the texans tonight AngryWhoops
Report Kriskin December 6, 2013 1:38 AM GMT
TD jags
Report Kriskin December 6, 2013 1:39 AM GMT
Almost a flip flop on ML already
Report brain dead jockeys December 6, 2013 1:39 AM GMT
the new Q is............why are the jags still even money?
Report Kriskin December 6, 2013 1:40 AM GMT
Texans defense looks very poor
Report DirkDiggler December 6, 2013 1:40 AM GMT
Nice start!

Happy

Took Jax + 4.5.
Report Kriskin December 6, 2013 1:40 AM GMT
Flip Flop has happened already
Report Hank Hill December 6, 2013 1:41 AM GMT
May as well lose and get the best pick for next year.
Report Kriskin December 6, 2013 1:42 AM GMT
It goes from bad to worse for the Texans
Report brain dead jockeys December 6, 2013 1:48 AM GMT
can still get 4-5 the jags..............
Report Kriskin December 6, 2013 2:01 AM GMT
Can Case Keenum get any worse than he's currently playing?
Report Hank Hill December 6, 2013 2:04 AM GMT
Pick 6 Schaub in the wings though Cry
Report DirkDiggler December 6, 2013 2:11 AM GMT
Nice!

Happy
Report Wallflower December 6, 2013 2:19 AM GMT
....... have to say regardless how this goes, or how their season ends, respect to Jaguars for playing tough.Happy Pleasure to watch their vibrancy
Report DirkDiggler December 6, 2013 2:20 AM GMT
Yep, Houston are a complete mess right now.
Report Wallflower December 6, 2013 2:23 AM GMT
...also good to see Jeff Reinebold in the studio, really rate him, good insights and knows his stuff....hope he's there down the stretch. I like Big Cecil (EaglesLove).....very likeable, but he is a bit of a spooferGrin
Report dlarssonf December 6, 2013 2:26 AM GMT
Cecil is a total spoofer Wallflower, but as you say he is very likeable
Report HowieTheRookie. December 6, 2013 2:32 AM GMT
Too many yellow flags Sad
Report Buell Mule December 6, 2013 3:02 AM GMT
Houston got more fouls than points on the board first half... Says it all, off to bed in disgust!!! GLA
Report DirkDiggler December 6, 2013 3:39 AM GMT
I love J. D. Swearinger!


Laugh
Report DirkDiggler December 6, 2013 3:40 AM GMT
I think we got this Jag Backers!

Happy
Report the swede December 6, 2013 3:43 AM GMT
probably but 1,11 already
Report the swede December 6, 2013 3:48 AM GMT
welcome mr schaub
Report the swede December 6, 2013 3:51 AM GMT
nice, greening out at 1,44
Report the swede December 6, 2013 3:52 AM GMT
easy
Report wisewords December 6, 2013 4:04 AM GMT
1.7 now
Report the swede December 6, 2013 4:07 AM GMT
nice play
Report the swede December 6, 2013 4:07 AM GMT
flip flop soon ;)
Report wisewords December 6, 2013 4:18 AM GMT
and there it is
Report the swede December 6, 2013 4:19 AM GMT
thank you
Report the swede December 6, 2013 4:27 AM GMT
schaubs been great but should have run on 2nd down
Report the swede December 6, 2013 4:33 AM GMT
wow someone took my 1,06
Report wisewords December 6, 2013 4:34 AM GMT
1.05     £335         £3,659
1.06             £1,886
1.10     £3,061         £739
1.11             £1,049
1.12             £1,051
1.13             £6,365
1.14             £4,076
Report the swede December 6, 2013 4:40 AM GMT
well exating game, great trading nice green
Report Hank Hill December 6, 2013 4:41 AM GMT
Well done boys - 11 in a row CryCryCry on the bright side going to get a nice draft pick lol
Report themightymac December 6, 2013 4:59 AM GMT
Report themightymac December 6, 2013 5:00 AM GMT
Well done Jags backers. Mind and send Swearinger a nice Xmas pressie off your winnings.
Report Kriskin December 6, 2013 8:54 PM GMT
Kubiak should be sacked straight-away.  To start Keenum is a joke.  The lad will never be an NFL standard QB.  The Texans are on an awful run and to start favs last nite was a bit of a mystery.  If Schaub had have satrted it could have been a different result.
Report bobbyjo December 6, 2013 9:20 PM GMT
Well they have sacked him....but Case is starting the rest of the season.
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