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Swardean
23 Nov 13 03:29
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Date Joined: 06 May 10
| Topic/replies: 16,280 | Blogger: Swardean's blog
Given some on this forum I should have learned my lesson on bold forum posts.... but here goes anyway

Seattle to beat the Saints.   Lynch will have a field day and Brees will be on his arse.   No ideal of the M/L price or spread but I will be heavy on Seahawks at anything over 1.5.   GL

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Replies: 301
By:
Still standing
When: 24 Nov 13 00:08
I guess you're going to be heavy on the Dirty Birds then ( that's an unsolicited shot at Clay ) because there is no freakin way Seattle will be under 1.51
By:
Swardean
When: 24 Nov 13 01:42
Hope you are right still standing but I think the line will be about -4.5 which will make them about 4/9 shots
By:
Swardean
When: 25 Nov 13 08:13
Spreads out now and Seattle -6.  M/L is 2/5.  Plain
By:
ClayDavis
When: 25 Nov 13 10:50
That is a big amount to be giving a team as good as the Saints. Tempted by the Saints big time
By:
Swardean
When: 26 Nov 13 16:03
WTF is going on in Seattle.   Thurmond and Browner both suspended due to substance abuse.  This on top of Sherman last year.

Huge loss in the secondary with NO coming to town. 

This is likely to shift the line
By:
grayhawk
When: 26 Nov 13 17:14
One substance abuse, one performance enhancing Swardean.....personally think you should be given one chance and if you're caught for a second time given a life ban.
By:
dlarssonf
When: 26 Nov 13 18:33
Why should you be given one chance?  The rules are clear should be a life ban straight away for cheats
By:
sideshowbob
When: 26 Nov 13 19:00
probably the last game id look at betting on is saints hawks. neither look that good at times, on paper youd go with the home team either way round. think the prices look about right.

dallas should hammer oakland but crappy odds. washington with 3 points id fancy at home to the giants at 1.8 or better. +2.5 hills 10/11, but id want 3 points at least. hopefully be available on here. id rather go higher for lower odds, +7.5 id really like even at 1.35. doubt theyll be a market with that many points for washington though. baltimore probably ought to scrape past the steelers.

apart from that it looks really awkward. atlanta +3.5 at buffalo is tempting, but theyve had so many games where they havent bothered turning up its not that tempting really. dont think i'll bother.
By:
Swagger
When: 26 Nov 13 22:38
Go Romo and the Cowboys
By:
bigpoppapump
When: 28 Nov 13 16:06
Lions don't justify 1.4 imo.
DL home are 3-2 and the PAck are 2-3 away.  3-1 in the Div versus 2-1-1
DL are 3-3 last 6 and the three wins were by a point, two points and it's 6 games since they put away the Browns by 14pts.
They've lost two on the spin (Bucs at home, Steelers away by 10).
They concede a lot of points: 24, 37, 19, 30, 27, 17 in the last 6 (average 25.66 in those 6 games).
4th ranked Rushing Defense but 27th ranked receiving D!  I guess the market views GB without AR (4 without a win since his injury) as dependent on the Rush (which DL are strong against).  That being said - Matt Flynn can do a decent job, and Stafford is inconsistent, and 1.4 is mighty short for a team that lost its last 2.
GB's 4 without a win have not seen them conceding scores any bigger than DL has been conceding: 27, 27, 27, and 26 the tie last week.  Given that sequence and DL's average conceded of 25.66 over the last 6 I make this a 3pt game and have backed GB with 6.5pts at a bit better than 2.0 and will be trading from a 1.4 lay to start.
By:
Sudoku_Junior
When: 28 Nov 13 16:49
I'm back after a hiatus for anyone who recognises me.

Packers are a huge price tonight, will take the points though. No interest in raiders cowboys game. Steelers should be favs imo.

Good luck all.
By:
sideshowbob
When: 28 Nov 13 18:09
everybody seems to fancy the steelers, i like the ravens. i mean not a massive amount, but i think theyre the better team. and theyre at home.
By:
sideshowbob
When: 28 Nov 13 18:16
detroit are short cos of the potential. if they play as they can, green bay have no chance. without rodgers they need a miracle to come back if they go 10 points down. obviously detroit have been utter pish the last few games. detroit should win, but then they should have won sunday an they somehow got beat.
By:
unders101
When: 28 Nov 13 18:17
2 turnovers already by the Lions Shocked
By:
dlarssonf
When: 28 Nov 13 18:17
Stafford having another mare
By:
Hank Hill
When: 28 Nov 13 18:18
Looking like normal turkey day lions so far...
By:
the swede
When: 28 Nov 13 18:19
market loves lions
By:
the swede
When: 28 Nov 13 18:23
boom
By:
unders101
When: 28 Nov 13 18:24
3rd turnover Laugh
By:
dlarssonf
When: 28 Nov 13 18:24
StaffordCry
By:
grayhawk
When: 28 Nov 13 18:26
Lions being the Lions.
By:
johnwark
When: 28 Nov 13 18:30
2.5 GB looks big with Detroit coming from their own 15?
By:
Wallflower
When: 28 Nov 13 18:31
.... incredible, they've stopped Lacy (the hardest part) - GB offense done nothing; and still manage to be losing.....you would think that this must be nibbling away at their confidence
By:
Wallflower
When: 28 Nov 13 18:33
.... thought it was a bad throw...."interceptible"
By:
grayhawk
When: 28 Nov 13 18:50
Shocking how the Packers run defence has just disappeared the last five weeks after previously being outstanding.
By:
therhino
When: 28 Nov 13 18:54
Flynn like a deer in headlights
By:
therhino
When: 28 Nov 13 18:56
43 yards for a half from the GB offence Shocked
By:
grayhawk
When: 28 Nov 13 18:58
No time to pass and can't run the ball is not the best recipe.

And on the other side can't stop the run and struggling with the pass Grin
By:
therhino
When: 28 Nov 13 18:59
But still in the game, Lions should be miles in front.
By:
therhino
When: 28 Nov 13 19:04
Akers Shocked
By:
the swede
When: 28 Nov 13 19:04
bad division this year after rodgers injury
By:
Daryl Revok
When: 28 Nov 13 19:13
lip synching not too good there LaughLaugh
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 28 Nov 13 19:16
Has that rubbish finished yet?
By:
sideshowbob
When: 28 Nov 13 19:17
Same bullshit from detroit. Should be outtasight but **** up after **** up
By:
Daryl Revok
When: 28 Nov 13 19:18
The music's stopped, Tony is still mouthing the words
By:
Daryl Revok
When: 28 Nov 13 19:19
Akers could cost overs punters a packet Plain
By:
The real Moaner
When: 28 Nov 13 19:19
GB get the ball and are 1.13 down 7? Yes Detroit have dominated, but Detroit can shoot themselves in the foot occasionally...
By:
the swede
When: 28 Nov 13 19:22
changing qb i green bay
By:
the swede
When: 28 Nov 13 19:22
cant be worse
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