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db1974
03 Jul 13 15:57
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Date Joined: 08 Mar 07
| Topic/replies: 5,523 | Blogger: db1974's blog
I love these pre-season bets

2 so far are:

Colts - under 8.5 wins @ 1/1 (Hills)
Colts finished 11-5 last year but personally I think that they will regress a lot this year. I was hoping that this would be 9 wins but I'll take a chance on the 8.5 wins

Dolphins to win AFC East @ 5/1 (Hills)
Longish shot here with the Patriots clear favourites at 1/4 and rightly so. However they did have a lot of defensive problems last year and with doubts about their receiving core at this early stage (Amendola is their main receiver I think with no Welker or Hernandez and prob no Gronk for a good few weeks anyway) I think they may struggle offensively. They should still win the division but they are no 1/4 shot IMO.

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Replies: 14
By:
d13phe
When: 05 Jul 13 12:59
i like the colts bet. think they will struggle this year.

I am looking for interesting ways to take on the Pats.  I think the Jets may be a better bet.  Particularly if they ditch Snachez and opt for Geno Smith. He can run and he can throw.  He isn't RG3 but he has got to be better than Sanhez.

their D is still quite strong and I think they drafted ok.
By:
deepingfox
When: 06 Jul 13 12:20
First look at Divisions and I like Ravens at 2/1 to overcome the Bengals and the Steelers again. What they did last year with the injuries they had, and the ageing defence was unbelievable, and their roster changes look interesting.

Also I am thinking of a longshot in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to turn their division upside down and from 7/1 outsiders to overcome their weakening adversaries this time round.
By:
HARRY22
When: 08 Jul 13 12:07
I don't think tampa winning this division would be a huge shock at all, this like many division looks so wide open.

Thinking down the same lines as d13 and db...taking on the patriots was my thinking before this hernandez business, either the bills or the dolphins, the bills have that 1-2 punch in the running game and the dolphins will keep improving, pats will struggle without the beast at TE, not for the first time I find myself disagreeing strongly with D13, hate the jets but really liking the colts, and so were you last season,why the change of heart?
By:
d13phe
When: 08 Jul 13 15:19
sophomore slump for RG3 and Luck Harry

I cannot remember a young QB without one.

They will study them and exploit their weaknesses.  I also think their D has lost some very important players.
By:
HARRY22
When: 08 Jul 13 18:38
Luck is no mug, don't see any slump.
By:
db1974
When: 15 Jul 13 17:10
I've added Packers > 10 wins @ 10/1 (Hills) - the Packers would have to go 9-7 for this bet to lose and despite their tough schedule this season I just can't see that happening

Also have a small speculative each-way bet (4 places) on the Colts being the lowest scoring team @ 50/1 (Hills again)
By:
db1974
When: 29 Aug 13 13:09
^ 10/1 - WTF just noticed that now - it was 10/11 obviously

I'm also on Redskins < 8 wins and Steelers > 9.5 wins

A new market being offered by Bet365 is Conference Top Seed and while the AFC looks about right (Broncos 12/5, Patriots 16/5, Texans 5/1, Bar 10/1), I think the NFC is skewed too much towards the NFC West with the 49ers 10/3 & Seahawks 4/1 with the Packers as 5/1 3rd favs. The NFC West love-in here is making the price for the Falcons who are currently 4th favs at 15/2. One thing a strong division rivalry does is make it more difficult for the teams in question to get the No.1 seed - we've seen that with the AFC North over the last few years where they have consistently provided 2 Playoff teams but rarely the No.1 seed.

So Falcons @ 15/2 to get the NFC No.1 seed

Saints are worth a small saver at 11/1 here too
By:
Swagger
When: 30 Aug 13 00:35
Alright guys hope all are well.

I think the Cowboys will win the NFC East, 13/5 looks fair enough to me. This season is all about the Romo! YES

Harry and Co, do you think the Broncos are a good price at 3/1 for the AFC as I think it's more than fair?
By:
HARRY22
When: 30 Aug 13 12:04
NFC EAST...I would go with the cowboys also........Denver worthy favs no doubt, I would be confident they will be bigger than 3/1 between now and the championship game so I will be waiting for an opportunity, if I don't get it so be it.  That CB must still have nightmares of the ravens game, they could well of played in the superbowl.

Good Luck.
By:
d13phe
When: 30 Aug 13 13:04
Cowboys?

Based on what.

They have lost a load of defensive starters and completely changed the dfensive system and Romo has never got the job done.

Would rather take the Eagles tbh.
By:
HARRY22
When: 30 Aug 13 13:23
eagles based on what??? a new head coach just out of college and many people still don't know who is going to be QB.

changing the defensive system could be a good thing,they were awful last season.  wide open division,cowboys as good a chance as the other 3 teams.
By:
d13phe
When: 30 Aug 13 22:44
i agree with that harry but the market says differently

would prefer to take the eagles at 9/2 than the cowboys at 2/1
By:
HARRY22
When: 31 Aug 13 01:17
You never know a fresh coach in philly may inspire this talented eagles team..hope so
By:
Swagger
When: 31 Aug 13 01:22
It's anyones guess how RG3 will get on this season after his injury, I think the Giants are massively in transition as are the Eagles. The same could be said about the Cowboys but I agree with Harry that the defensive system could be the change they need. If they can keep Carter, Ware and Sean Lee fit then I would strongly fancy the Cowboys to get the job done. They will eventually win the division and this season it's basically there for the taking. Also, I think Romo will take them to the play offs. You can get 13/5 the Cowboys Love
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