NFL Week 17

I want to keep my powder dry for the playoffs but I know I'll i'll have a bet on the Skins.

I cannot remember the last time I bet a team that scored first, or held a 10 point lead, college NFL whatever.


From sept last year right through to and including the Euros, I was awesome, since then the worst punting run I have ever known - at one point I lost 18 straight two outcome bets, from 1.7 up to 2.2.


Tough to go against GB @ home right now, giving points im div games scares me though, I think someone posted that they're generally closer than no div games, and anecdotally at least that rings true.

The Packers are on the road.

I said 3 weeks ago he would get off and with Browner back for the playoffs must be a boost to the team.

I think we can beat skins/dallas and we will take it from there

No sure about smash but think they win.

browner the better imo that is

If this triceps injury to Justin Smith materialises, 49ers become pretty banged up. He would be a major blow to the defense.

I fancy the Packers to cover the spread (-3.5 points) against the Vikings. They are in the ideal position of having an incentive to play hard (2nd place and a bye) but no real pressure as they are already in the post season. The Vikings have all the pressure on their shoulders, Peterson didn't look 100% last week and if he gets a few hard hits early doors then it could hinder his performance. The Packers are going from strength to strength and although they only played the Titans last week they had some joy with their running game which should give them more offensive options. They are getting more and more key players back week by week, i think they will dump the Vikings out of the play offs ans win by at least 8 points, probably more.

Although in theory Baltimore and the Bengals have nothing to play for, i think the Ravens are getting back on track and will enjoy trying out a few offensive options against the Bengals. Similar to the Packers who had no pressure on them last week, i think the Bengals can finally enjoy themselves without having to worry about winning the division. I think the Ravens are the better team and should be favs, they have a great record against the Bengals so have backed them outright at 5/4.

On paper this is a silly pick, as it's a divisional match up and the Pats could have several players out, but i just think the Patriots are going to hammer Miami. Looking at the recent record it's normally close which makes the bet even more silly but the Patriots have been poor 2 weeks in a row, and even if the Texans have already won before this match, Brady will want to justify his ego by running the show here going into the play offs after 2 indifferent performances. I think the Pats will cover the spread (-10 points).

Finally i fancy the Saints to cover the spread against the Panthers (-5 points). I might have this matchup all wrong but I thought the way the Panthers played last week was almost as though it was their last match of the season which they won at home for their coach etc. They didn't play well and Oakland arguably would have won if they weren't so ill disciplined. They did hammer the Saints earlier this season so perhaps this matchup suits them well or conversely Brees and Co will be looking for revenge. The Saints offence has looked potent in recent weeks and I think Brees will beat Newton in a shoot off.

Good luck with your bets

You are right about the Pats DD, it is a silly bet on paper i agree i'm just going with my gut instinct. Will probably pay for it though . I'm going to lay off some of the bet as i backed them then didn't feel as confident. Of the four bets i was most confident about the Saints but Swardean is a shrewdy and fancies the Panthers which has altered my confidence a bit. Today i am really confident about the Packers and feel it be close for a bit but that they will win this game easily in the end. They have played so much of the season under pressure and with injuries - they have far less pressure on them here and more players coming back, i can only see them winning and i think they will win nicely in the end.

Gronk out for the Pats

My points exactly Sudoku, 3.5 is a massive start (if AP is fit)

is there a BBC game this week?

The Ravens can still snatch the 3rd seed if the Dolphins beat the Patriots so they certainly have something to play for

Discount double check .....Packers have generally been ok against the run this year bar a four game stretch ( which included the game AP got 200 yards ) a couple of games back when they were missing Matthews and their 2nd best run stuffing lineman C.J.Wilson......they were both big misses against Minnesota first time around and both should play tomorrow.

Fancy the Packers.

gronk is playing tomorrow apparently

I think Tennessee are a good solid bet to beat the Jags and the H'cap isn't too punishing either.

Dirk - Ravens can go 3rd if results go their way. Benglas and colts are locked in.

Cheers. Just heard it's reliant on NE losing @ home to the Dolphins. Not sure the Ravens will be taking that possibility as a likely one. It's tricky this last week. I'm gonna stick with GB - 3.0 though.

Trying to find a little wager for the early games. I'm probably gonna regret this, but I'm going to give the punting death that is the Chicago Bears one last chance, they're not great, but Detroit have lost 7 straight, have a very poor defense, nothing to play for, and Stafford throws picks for fun, and Chi earlier on this season had a real ball hawking secondary. Could be Schwartz's last game, and Lions are an unprofessional mess lacking discipline, Lovie's team is at least well-coached.

Very difficult week, think its one to take a chance on the bigger prices straight up, eagles and jags are two what stand out to me.

Sticking with my Carolina hcap nap on the early games.  The +5.5 long gone though and now looking at +4

Will perhaps just watch and pray for a mircale in SF, in the late games