HOW THE HELL........

does anyone with real understanding know hoe this is possible - by all accounts for all 6 results to do your way in this league it should not be priced up @

balt - 1/4
steelers 9/2
bengals 20/1

they have a 2 game lead and a better divisional record, 4-1 as opposed to pitts 2-2 and the bengals 1-3, pitts have to play the bengals also so both those teams cannot win out, one win for the ravens would prob be good enough, but!!!!!

but..........................................................................................................................can they win one

haha - if thats the question fine....! the market suggests the steelers only need to gain 2 games on them tho & not 3!
work it out for yourself - the odds of balt losing all 3 of their remaining games say they are roughly 1.7, (vs den) 2, (vs giants) 1.8 (@ bengals)& the steelers are 1.8,(@dallas) 1.4,(vs bengals) 1.25(vs browns) - it would suggest that acca is around 18/1

it just doesn't add up does it!!!!!

correct apart from before the conference record its mutual games played which at the moment steelers are 4-3 with dallas to come - balt are 4-2 with giants & denver to come. if both finish tied in that then it will go to conference record yes! as if balt win 1 of their nxt 3 they will either hav a 5-1 div record (which pitts cant match) or 5-3 in the mutual games (which pitts can only tie) as u mention the conference record clearly belongs to the ravens - which brings us back to the same point if balt win 1 more game / pitts lose 1 more game its all over!!!!!! i've look at this time & time again & keep coming up with the same answer!!!!

I reckon I have more interest in the ravens winning this division than most on here...Come on fellas it is not rocket science...because they all lost at the weekend it is simple now...1 WIN= AFC NORTH title.

If you take into account the last paragraph of db1974 above and work out the anticipated treble odds for Ravens to lose out & finally look at it from a bookmaker perspective then the 1.25 makes a lot more sense than first appears....

We all know what needs to happen now tbh and that isn't the issue but to calculate the most accurate divisional odds is mostly about predicting Ravens odds to lose out , although it's subjective and all about opinion depending on a set of circumstances for me the estimated odds would be 1.7 ( Denver ) x 1.7 ( Giants ) x 1.5 ( Bengals ) which equates to 10/3 making Ravens 1.30 to win the division before factoring in the results from the other 2 teams , the 1.7 Giants & 1.5 Bengals may look woefully short but if that happens Ravens will be on a 3 & 4 losing streak and looking unable to buy a win as opposed to opponents fighting for their lives.

The factoring in of the other 2 teams obviously takes the price down below the 1.3 to probably sub 1.2 but bearing in mind the other 2 play each other & you've already assumed Bengals have won their final game to arrive at the 1.3 then the influence isn't as big as at first glance.

Finally look at the situation from a bookmaker perspective , i've spoken to a few trading directors with decent Steeler red books and are only too happy to lay some overpriced Ravens at over 1.2 to balance the books , seemingly Steelers are a far more appealing name to the average punter and consequently are the most popular multi selection from that division by some distance.


Taking all the above into account the 1.25 is generous from a mathematical perspective but certainly not as overpriced as it initially seemed given that you'll be supporting a team on a 2 losing streak against 2 better teams over the next 2 games and if it went to the final week you'd probably be in big trouble.


Not for me but lets hope it's resolved this weekend for those involved , good luck Harry   

db1974 12 Dec 12 01:13 Joined: 08 Mar 07 | Topic/replies: 3,932 | Blogger: db1974's blog
Yeah I can't see how the Ravens lose the division if they win just one more game

You cant see it because it cant happen   last weeks results made it easier in a way...think their were a few different scenarios but with all losing it was straight down to conference record

It's an enormous task for sure Harry , they'll obviously believe they can win out & from the Ravens perspective if it's still in the melting pot going into the final week it'll mean they're on a 4 losing streak.


My gut feeling is that it'll be all over this weekend & we'll be left wondering what all the fuss was about 

Impossible to predict at the moment , there has to be a minimum of 48 games to constitute a season taking place so that gives them around 4 weeks to resolve the outstanding issues , if not the season will be cancelled.

There's some quality KHL taking place though with plenty of NHL stars on temporary contracts but we'll just have to wait & see i guess.

What's all this about a 40/1 tip??????????????

previous to winning the NHL title last year dominating the finals hayden spoke highly of this young team in 2010 I think...I just forgot about it once it started...then came in at 40/1..out resident NHL maestro pulled out a pearl...I recall another fella liking them also but cant recall his name.