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db1974
27 Oct 12 22:04
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Date Joined: 08 Mar 07
| Topic/replies: 5,523 | Blogger: db1974's blog
Saturday night and no thread Crazy

Here's what I like for tomorrow anyway

Patriots -7.0 @ Rams
Patriots blew the Titans away 3 years ago at Wembley and there are a lot of players still on the Pats team who played that day which is a big plus for me. The Pats also have a big following on this side of the pond. IMO it's effectively a home game for the Patriots and there's no way the Pats would be only 7pt favs at home.

Eagles -3.0 vs Falcons
Falcons have been riding their luck so far to get to 6-0. Both teams coming off a bye week, however AFAIK Andy Reid has never lost a match after the Bye week. I'm raging I missed the -1.0 earlier in the week. Eagles should still be too good for the Falcons.

Chargers -3.0 @ Browns
Chargers coming off a Bye week here. Don't have the figures to hand but Road Favs coming off a Bye week have a fantastic record ATS in the last 10 years (high 60s percentage I think). The fact that the Chargers are travelling East helps make this line as generous as it is

Saints +6.0 @ Broncos
The Saints are good and when good team get 6 points then you take that 6 pts. The Broncos aren't that good that they can afford to give teams like the Saints almost a TD start.

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Replies: 178
By:
TINnotaTON
When: 27 Oct 12 22:18
just a note re chargers game, 15-25 mpr winds forcast in cleveland at game time with rain,
By:
horse9
When: 27 Oct 12 22:42
Think week 8 will be my biggest involvement of the year, so many lines I like.

Pats -7 I'm with db here, could do what they did to the Buccs at Wembley a few years ago
Falcons +3 I don't get how they're dogs in this, Eagles average to awful from what I've seen, Reid close to being gone IMO
Titans -3 (nap)
Cowboys/Giants over 47.5 - shootout
Romo over 274 pass yards - I fancy both to go over 300 yards but Romo more likely with Cowboys probably chasing game
Bears/Panthers over 43
Cards +7 Cards are 3-1 ATS at home this year, tough game for Niners and 2 scores may be too many to cover, Buffalo's shock OT win here 2 weeks ago stopped a run of 8 straight home wins for the Cards, tough to beat in the desert....

GL All
By:
d13phe
When: 27 Oct 12 22:44
anyone know anything about the Jags replacement QB?
By:
horse9
When: 27 Oct 12 22:49
d13 - if Gabbert doesn't go they have Henne surely ?
They could stick Rodgers, Brady or Manning in there and they'd still be s###e
By:
TINnotaTON
When: 27 Oct 12 22:49
if you mean who's starting mate, then it's gabbert
By:
d13phe
When: 27 Oct 12 22:51
cheers

didnt realise Chad Henne was there

a better option than Gabbert imo
By:
horse9
When: 27 Oct 12 22:56
Could be wrong but I think they only have those 2 QBs on their roster.
When they picked Henne up I assumed they'd give him the starters role and let Gabbert have a year on the bench, to be honest they have so many problems whoever leads this offence will struggle...
By:
d13phe
When: 27 Oct 12 23:00
they just upgraded a guy called Wilson

saw it on Twitter
By:
HARRY22
When: 28 Oct 12 00:33
Find myself agreeing with db picks most weeks...tampa was a banker wasnt it Grin

All but the browns until i heard richardson is prob out??

Would add the jets -2 and washington +4.5

15-1 i heard for dick lebeau against rookie QB...impressive but this isnt an average rookie..reckon the skins can keep this close.

eagles line could help vick out a bit..2nd in holding pens not very clever
By:
d13phe
When: 28 Oct 12 02:38
need to dig a bit deeper but i hate this week

there is nothing that stands out to me
By:
Pun tang
When: 28 Oct 12 08:56
My picks are almost the same as the OP:-

Patriots -7
Saints +6.5
Chargers -3
Titans -3.5

GLA in week 8.
By:
glory hornet
When: 28 Oct 12 10:58
Going to the Wembley game so concentrating on this game only this week
Liking the Pats to cover -6.5 upto -8.5( alternate lines with 365 )
Rams to score the Longest FG ( 8/11 shorter than expected but still like this line )
Pats on the quad-picks -6.5 & Over 46.5 pts

Good luck chaps
By:
horse9
When: 28 Oct 12 11:28
Glory - bit of rain due game time, I only ever went to the first London game (NYG/Fins) and that pitch doesn't stand up well to soft ground, wet conditions and 300lb lineman !

I think the Pats will destroy the Rams but not sure I'd be playing overs.
That FG bet does it stand is the Pats don't take a FG ? I've just sold some FG yards at 149 with Sporting Index, think that's massive with kickers struggling to hold their standing foot.
Have a great time - I'm in NY for Giants/Saints in December and took the decision yesterday to do 2014 Superbowl in NY
By:
glory hornet
When: 28 Oct 12 11:35
Horse , im only 5 miles from the stadium , weather cold & over cast but no rain yet, slight rain due at k/o , but then dry till 8pm , The 1st Wembley game was a lottery , but since then the pitch has def improved

The FG bet is " Team To score the Longest FG " so it doesnt matter if only 1 fg scored , can see Greg Zuerlein hitting a few long kicks , as the wind doesnt really affect the kicks in this stadium , a 55yrd + kick wouldnt surprise me
By:
NonShy..
When: 28 Oct 12 13:26
think pats -7 20/21 with money back if FG last score is great bet... can see NE by 17+
By:
HARRY22
When: 28 Oct 12 14:03
what is wrong with games this week d13? looks good to me
By:
d13phe
When: 28 Oct 12 14:25
hard to put my finger on it Harry

Just dont like the matchups

might watch a few and see how they are going.

I actually quite like the Fins on the hcap today.
By:
d13phe
When: 28 Oct 12 14:33
Surely the chargers Browns game is going to go over 45 points?
By:
HARRY22
When: 28 Oct 12 14:39
Firmly with the jets...wont mind if bush has a stormer though, I dont want to fall to 4-4 in fantasy..with jones drew out I am short at running back Sad
By:
Sudoku_Junior
When: 28 Oct 12 14:51
I really like the colts this week, will probably take them on the spread but think there great value straight up.

Think the browns with the points is worth a shot too, they have really impressed me in the past couple of weeks, Raiders with the points also, nothing to fear with Quinn under center imo.

Think the steelers win but are unbackable at the current price, think RG3 keeps this one close, so the values with them for a trade.
By:
Sudoku_Junior
When: 28 Oct 12 14:51

Oct 28, 2012 -- 9:33AM, d13phe wrote:


Surely the chargers Browns game is going to go over 45 points?


bill hill have the line at 40.5. Think someone mentioned there is weather around.

By:
ManWithNoName
When: 28 Oct 12 15:11
Evens for under 41.5 (birds v birds) looks so tempting given the weather forecast.....
By:
d13phe
When: 28 Oct 12 15:32
No Jordy Nelson

The Jags D isnt the worst

going to take the Jags on the HCAP
By:
d13phe
When: 28 Oct 12 15:48
Steelers/Redskins got overs written all over it with Mendenhall out.

Dwyer is not a good RB
By:
d13phe
When: 28 Oct 12 15:51
Dont forget we are forward an hour today so kickoffs at 5pm
By:
tiny dave
When: 28 Oct 12 15:52
this hurricane forcast is meant to effect several east coast encounters

surely unders should be played in most matchups?
By:
d13phe
When: 28 Oct 12 15:59
all the pics i have seen from the various stadiums look fine

not a hint of bad weather yet
By:
HARRY22
When: 28 Oct 12 16:15
have to agree on overs in the skins match..reckon the skins have a good shot here..randall cobb will be the main man today then
By:
ManWithNoName
When: 28 Oct 12 16:31
Dangerous to bet on unders in this league, but the wind is supposed to pick up (maybe not too much rain until later), so there is a sporting chance of Philly and Atlanta being a rushing/punting fest.
By:
horse9
When: 28 Oct 12 16:57
No red zone, 'kin livid !
By:
d13phe
When: 28 Oct 12 17:00
on Sky?

http://www.vipboxsports.eu/american-football/83803/1/nfl-red-zone-live-stream-online.html
By:
d13phe
When: 28 Oct 12 17:04
big wind in Philly
By:
grrrrrowl
When: 28 Oct 12 17:09
is redzone missing on sky or am I missing something?
By:
HARRY22
When: 28 Oct 12 17:15
cutler you ****
By:
HARRY22
When: 28 Oct 12 17:22
Steelers dominating
By:
HARRY22
When: 28 Oct 12 17:25
finding it hard to see how carolina score today
By:
MC Roller
When: 28 Oct 12 17:26
Cuntenberg is a fcking shocking **** of a referee.
By:
MC Roller
When: 28 Oct 12 17:26
Oops, wrong thread. Sincere apologies guys.Sad
By:
d13phe
When: 28 Oct 12 17:27
Forte a fantasy beast
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