North American
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Panthers -3.0 vs Seahawks - really fancy the Panthers here to smash the Seahawks here. I know that the Seahawks are 2nd-best against the run but they haven't faced a team who can run like the Panthers. Also they are rubbish away from Seattle.
49ers -10.0 vs Bills - if the 49ers were giving up 20pts I think I'd be tempted to take it. The Bills have won 2 games against 2 of the worst teams in the league (Chiefs & Browns) and been blown out of the water in the other 2. I wouldn't be surprised to see another shut-out here by the 49ers.
Patriots -6.5 vs Denver - Tom Brady vs Peyton Manning. Broncos were well beaten by 2 teams with good offences (Falcons & Texans) prior to last weekend's home beat-down of the Raiders. Pats still hurting from 2 defeats in a row while Belichick should have tightened up the D after last weekend's 1st half debacle against the Bills.
Texans -9.0 @ Jets - the Jets are in freefall at the moment with no sign of stopping while the Texans are flying high at 4-0. 9pts is a lot to give up on the road but I'm confident that the Jets won't be able to manage even a garbage time TD to kill this off.
The rest of the games look either a bit trappy or feature a hot-and-cold team so can't bet with any confidence there
The only other bet I might look at is the >50.5pts in the Falcons @ Redskins game. Falcons have the 4th-worst rushing D against the Redskins top-rated rushing attack. Redskins have the 2nd-worst passing D against the Falcons 10th-best passing attack. There should be lots of points here and a prop bet on number of punts could be interesting side-bet.
49ers -10.0 vs Bills - if the 49ers were giving up 20pts I think I'd be tempted to take it. The Bills have won 2 games against 2 of the worst teams in the league (Chiefs & Browns) and been blown out of the water in the other 2. I wouldn't be surprised to see another shut-out here by the 49ers.
Patriots -6.5 vs Denver - Tom Brady vs Peyton Manning. Broncos were well beaten by 2 teams with good offences (Falcons & Texans) prior to last weekend's home beat-down of the Raiders. Pats still hurting from 2 defeats in a row while Belichick should have tightened up the D after last weekend's 1st half debacle against the Bills.
Texans -9.0 @ Jets - the Jets are in freefall at the moment with no sign of stopping while the Texans are flying high at 4-0. 9pts is a lot to give up on the road but I'm confident that the Jets won't be able to manage even a garbage time TD to kill this off.
The rest of the games look either a bit trappy or feature a hot-and-cold team so can't bet with any confidence there
The only other bet I might look at is the >50.5pts in the Falcons @ Redskins game. Falcons have the 4th-worst rushing D against the Redskins top-rated rushing attack. Redskins have the 2nd-worst passing D against the Falcons 10th-best passing attack. There should be lots of points here and a prop bet on number of punts could be interesting side-bet.
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Like the look of Philadelphia +3.5 against Pittsburgh. They seem to have massive problems Pittsburgh, and am very happy to have a field goal loss on my side.
I had Denver as 4-5 point underdogs when doing my own lines, so i had to take the +7 Denver against New England. I dont think we will see Manning have as bad a game as he did against Atlanta ever again. And when the team seemed to get going against Houston they looked quite good. Am quite confident the Broncos can keep it within 7. San Diego +4 against New Orleans i have backed also. San Diego have been quite impressive so far, whereas New Orleans have been anything but. A simple view but i think everything that could of gone wrong against Atlanta did, and Rivers struggles when teams can get pressure on him, i dont think New Orleans will get too much pressure on him. When he has time, he is a really good quarterback. Backed St Louis outright also against Arizona. Hoping Arizona' special teams and defence has an off day, because their offence really isnt that great. And that great defence seemed to wain a bit last week against a previously struggling offence team in Miami. A decent bet at decent odds i think. These are my only plays so far this week. Have a couple of others in mind, but found the games quite tough this week. |
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I quite like the look of week 5 tbh, unfortunately i am away this weekend.
I fancy the skins to turn the Falcons over. they nearly got turned over by the Panthers at home and the Skins have a very similar threat and are at home. the Bengals will smash the fins - Steelers to beat the Eagles by more than a TD for me and the titans to beat the Vikings - I know random, but I fancy it. |
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D13phe do you know what the two games on Sky are on Sunday? Can't seem to find it on their website but I would say that says more about me than them
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TV Games this week
Eagles @ Steelers Broncos @ Patriots http://admin.prod.nfluk.nfli.digitaria.com/tv-audio/schedule |
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think it is Steeler/Eagles and Broncos/Patriots
They are the games blacked out on my gamepass |
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Thanks to both of you , cheers!!!
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How's Gamepass working out for you? Week 1 was a bit of a nightmare I believe.
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its brilliant, bargain at £100 and means I don't need to line Murdochs pocket
was fine for me on week 1 Now it has Redzone on it, which is all i watch anyway then its perfect and I spend the week watching the games. definitely helps for betting purposes. Think it is £80 now. only downside is no playoffs! |
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I have to agree with you about the Denver @ Patriots. I thought the Pats were excellent in the 2nd half against Buffolo and were slightly unfortunate to have got so far behind in the first place with that fumble. The real thing that excited me was the run game which just mounted up the yards in the 2nd half and will give them plenty of scope for play action. To me Denver look all over a middle of the road team. They will win games at home against poor teams and struggle to keep up with the class offences of the NFL when they need to rack up 25 points plus to stay with the opposition. I would mark Patriots at maybe -8/-9 so -6.5 looks good value.
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Is it just me who thinks the cards are a cracking bet thursday night?
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I would have said before last week yes but I just didn't like the way they struggled through that game. Although they will be feeling really good about they way they won it. My ELO model has this priced exactly the same as the early show but if you believe Arizona are a play-off team then they have to win these games. Fortunately for St Louis they are at home as I don't see them winning many roads games at all this season
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Fair point, Im a big believer in momentum, and i think the belief they got from winning that game on both sides of the ball will serve them well now.
I know the rams have started steadily, will probably be a close game. |
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What about TNF?
Cardinals vs. Rams. I'm looking for Cardinals, any comments? |
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Tonights game is a big no bet for me.
Cards defence is mean but its a short week to be on the road and I dont trust Kolb to get it done in a tough divisional game |
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Would be interested to see some stats regarding short weeks and road teams winning or losing.
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Quite fancy the rams tonight...reasons...NONE
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