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25 Jan 12
14:45
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Date Joined:
11 Jul 07
We all know that QB's are the obvious and most likely picks to win (but they represent zero value), so anything in the field stand out?
For me:
Law Firm @ 50/1 - Looked really good last week. If he keeps it up and gets 2 or more rushing TD's he could have a chance.
Vince Wilfork @ 250/1 - Was arguably MVP in the conference championship. Longshot that he can replicate something similar, but worth a few quid.
For me:
Law Firm @ 50/1 - Looked really good last week. If he keeps it up and gets 2 or more rushing TD's he could have a chance.
Vince Wilfork @ 250/1 - Was arguably MVP in the conference championship. Longshot that he can replicate something similar, but worth a few quid.
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Last ten winners (and reason if not a QB)
Tom Brady
Dexter Jackson (2 Interceptions)
Tom Brady
Deion Branch (11 Catches, 133 yds)
Hines Ward (5 Catches, 123 yds)
Peyton Manning
Eli Manning
Santonio Holmes (9 catches, 131 yds)
Drew Brees
Aaron Rodgers
Tom Brady
Dexter Jackson (2 Interceptions)
Tom Brady
Deion Branch (11 Catches, 133 yds)
Hines Ward (5 Catches, 123 yds)
Peyton Manning
Eli Manning
Santonio Holmes (9 catches, 131 yds)
Drew Brees
Aaron Rodgers
You must have smashed Wilfork, he's only 100/1 now!
For a QB Eli's price is actually quite big @ 15/8. His numbers in the Playoffs so far have been very good and comparable to Rogers last year in the big one (24/39 304yds 3TDs)
If a Giants' defensive player wins it then Jason Pierre Paul looks big @ 66/1 (Stan James). 4 sacks, 2 Interceptions, & a blocked FG would do it for me!
The individual odds on each of Giants' WRs is tempting (Cruz @ 16/1, Nicks @ 16/1 & Manningham @ 50/1) but you're taking a chance that you pick the wrong one. Dutching them is only 6.26/1 and you run the very real risk that Manning gets it instead.
As regards the Pats, Gronkowski is 7/1 with Bet365 but 12/1 with Ladbrokes, which is a big discrepancy for a 3rd favourite.
For a QB Eli's price is actually quite big @ 15/8. His numbers in the Playoffs so far have been very good and comparable to Rogers last year in the big one (24/39 304yds 3TDs)
If a Giants' defensive player wins it then Jason Pierre Paul looks big @ 66/1 (Stan James). 4 sacks, 2 Interceptions, & a blocked FG would do it for me!
The individual odds on each of Giants' WRs is tempting (Cruz @ 16/1, Nicks @ 16/1 & Manningham @ 50/1) but you're taking a chance that you pick the wrong one. Dutching them is only 6.26/1 and you run the very real risk that Manning gets it instead.
As regards the Pats, Gronkowski is 7/1 with Bet365 but 12/1 with Ladbrokes, which is a big discrepancy for a 3rd favourite.
Hardly smashed it. Stans only let me get £2.10 on! 
Jokers.
Eli might be value if you REALLY fancy NYG, but from a probability stand point, its not great. Odds are saying that Eli wins it 80% of the time if NYG win. Id say its more like 65-75% chance.
JPP ok, would like a little bigger. Tempted to cover the starting corners and maybe safeties. If its a shoot-out a player could get a few picks, but then the winning QB would have to have a poorish outing as well.
Jokers.Eli might be value if you REALLY fancy NYG, but from a probability stand point, its not great. Odds are saying that Eli wins it 80% of the time if NYG win. Id say its more like 65-75% chance.
JPP ok, would like a little bigger. Tempted to cover the starting corners and maybe safeties. If its a shoot-out a player could get a few picks, but then the winning QB would have to have a poorish outing as well.
wilfork give over prophet....eli or brady end of thread
Havin a bit of A B myself d13 I think Giants may be able to get run game going and 35/1 aint gonna skin me if it ducks
NO!
they have in years gone by though..
Someone E-Mail em please - I can`t be fecked
they have in years gone by though..
Someone E-Mail em please - I can`t be fecked
anyone who says anything other than the words aaron .. and ... rogers needs to get their head examined
Chad Ocho @ 100/1.... missed the baltimore game due to his father passing away, one big play/TD catch and its all the commentators will talk about, then he'll be 1/100
Ochocinco. Oh my god.....Should be 10,000/1
At least one of them will be playing Harry.
On the note off ocho, its just not happening i think he may only get 1 catch all game. For him to win it he would need over 100yds and 2tds just cannot see it happening 100-1 is too short.
Even then prob wouldnt be enough to take it from brady and thats even if n.eng won the game.
What happens to the market if a non listed player wins? E.G. If I lay Tom Brady and Julian Edelman wins MVP after catching a TD and returning an INT for a TD, would my lay win or be voided?
I can see this being offence dominated and turning into a shootout so you'd have to fancy the QBs.
Manning 2/1 or Cruz 14s look value but this market isn't my kind of bet
Manning 2/1 or Cruz 14s look value but this market isn't my kind of bet
Feb 3, 2012 -- 6:59PM, Beaniash wrote:
anyone who says anything other than the words aaron .. and ... rogers needs to get their head examined
AND MAYYYYYYYYYYYYBE .... DEION BRANCH CLOSE SECOND
I think it will be Manning........ham. 50/1 looks a great price.
I`m on Pierre-Paul @ 66/1.
REASONS WHY
1. If the Giants have any chance they have to get Brady under pressure and P-P is the man to do it.
2. The US media have been praising him all year and who decides the MVP Award winner? Yes, the media. Voting him the winner will endorse their earlier views about him and make them look great. "Told you he was a great player in the making, he`s just won the Super Bowl MVP Award".
REASONS WHY
1. If the Giants have any chance they have to get Brady under pressure and P-P is the man to do it.
2. The US media have been praising him all year and who decides the MVP Award winner? Yes, the media. Voting him the winner will endorse their earlier views about him and make them look great. "Told you he was a great player in the making, he`s just won the Super Bowl MVP Award".
Any thoughts after 1st half?
Bradshaw maybe shading it so far
Bradshaw maybe shading it so far
eli probably has done enough, but it's one of those games which could have a surprise twist in it ... hopefully
HARRY22
Date Joined: 03 Jun 06
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When: 25 Jan 12 17:42
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wilfork give over prophet....eli or brady end of thread
if eli doesnt get this i will quit the forum
Date Joined: 03 Jun 06
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When: 25 Jan 12 17:42
Joined:
Date Joined: 03 Jun 06
| Topic/replies: 26,647 | Blogger: HARRY22's blog
wilfork give over prophet....eli or brady end of thread
if eli doesnt get this i will quit the forum
They may as well name it the QB of the winning side.
Justin Tuck deserves as much consideration as Eli but he wasn't even listed!
Justin Tuck deserves as much consideration as Eli but he wasn't even listed!
don't think you'll be quitting but for my bank balance sake i'd like to wish you a long retirement
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