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The Prophet Of Profit
25 Jan 12 14:45
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Date Joined: 11 Jul 07
| Topic/replies: 208 | Blogger: The Prophet Of Profit's blog
We all know that QB's are the obvious and most likely picks to win (but they represent zero value), so anything in the field stand out?

For me:

Law Firm @ 50/1 - Looked really good last week.  If he keeps it up and gets 2 or more rushing TD's he could have a chance.

Vince Wilfork @ 250/1 - Was arguably MVP in the conference championship.  Longshot that he can replicate something similar, but worth a few quid.

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Replies: 35
By:
The Prophet Of Profit
When: 25 Jan 12 15:05
Last ten winners (and reason if not a QB)

Tom Brady
Dexter Jackson (2 Interceptions)
Tom Brady
Deion Branch (11 Catches, 133 yds)
Hines Ward (5 Catches, 123 yds)
Peyton Manning
Eli Manning
Santonio Holmes (9 catches, 131 yds)
Drew Brees
Aaron Rodgers
By:
db1974
When: 25 Jan 12 15:52
You must have smashed Wilfork, he's only 100/1 now!

For a QB Eli's price is actually quite big @ 15/8. His numbers in the Playoffs so far have been very good and comparable to Rogers last year in the big one (24/39 304yds 3TDs)

If a Giants' defensive player wins it then Jason Pierre Paul looks big @ 66/1 (Stan James). 4 sacks, 2 Interceptions, & a blocked FG would do it for me!

The individual odds on each of Giants' WRs is tempting (Cruz @ 16/1, Nicks @ 16/1 & Manningham @ 50/1) but you're taking a chance that you pick the wrong one. Dutching them is only 6.26/1 and you run the very real risk that Manning gets it instead.

As regards the Pats, Gronkowski is 7/1 with Bet365 but 12/1 with Ladbrokes, which is a big discrepancy for a 3rd favourite.
By:
The Prophet Of Profit
When: 25 Jan 12 16:12
Hardly smashed it.  Stans only let me get £2.10 on! Laugh Jokers.

Eli might be value if you REALLY fancy NYG, but from a probability stand point, its not great.  Odds are saying that Eli wins it 80% of the time if NYG win. Id say its more like 65-75% chance.

JPP ok, would like a little bigger.  Tempted to cover the starting corners and maybe safeties.  If its a shoot-out a player could get a few picks, but then the winning QB would have to have a poorish outing as well.
By:
HARRY22
When: 25 Jan 12 17:42
wilfork give over prophet....eli or brady end of thread
By:
d13phe
When: 25 Jan 12 17:43
A few punts for me:

Green Ellis @ 50/1

Bradshaw @35/1
By:
barkinggreville
When: 25 Jan 12 19:10
Havin a bit of A B myself d13 I think Giants may be able to get run game going and 35/1 aint gonna skin me if it ducks
By:
The real Moaner
When: 29 Jan 12 22:30
Do Betfair have a market for this?
By:
RAPS
When: 29 Jan 12 23:50
NO!

they have in years gone by though..

Someone E-Mail em please - I can`t be fecked
By:
thecribs
When: 03 Feb 12 14:45
ccccrrrrrruuuuuuuuzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
By:
Beaniash
When: 03 Feb 12 18:59
anyone who says anything other than the words aaron .. and ... rogers needs to get their head examined
By:
aaronh
When: 03 Feb 12 19:49
^^

top stuff from the Chief Mug
By:
trickynic123
When: 04 Feb 12 00:42
Chad Ocho @ 100/1.... missed the baltimore game due to his father passing away, one big play/TD catch and its all the commentators will talk about, then he'll be 1/100
By:
The Prophet Of Profit
When: 04 Feb 12 15:17
Ochocinco. Oh my god.....Should be 10,000/1
By:
HARRY22
When: 04 Feb 12 15:35
Just below wilfork Wink
By:
The Prophet Of Profit
When: 04 Feb 12 16:47
At least one of them will be playing Harry.
By:
skyblues
When: 05 Feb 12 13:11
On the note off ocho, its just not happening i think he may only get 1 catch all game. For him to win it he would need over 100yds and 2tds just cannot see it happening 100-1 is too short.
By:
skyblues
When: 05 Feb 12 13:12
Even then prob wouldnt be enough to take it from brady and thats even if n.eng won the game.
By:
The real Moaner
When: 05 Feb 12 13:57
What happens to the market if a non listed player wins? E.G. If I lay Tom Brady and Julian Edelman wins MVP after catching a TD and returning an INT for a TD, would my lay win or be voided?
By:
horse9
When: 05 Feb 12 16:12
I can see this being offence dominated and turning into a shootout so you'd have to fancy the QBs.
Manning 2/1 or Cruz 14s look value but this market isn't my kind of bet
By:
HARRY22
When: 05 Feb 12 18:51
cant really see past the QBs..
By:
Beaniash
When: 05 Feb 12 20:33

Feb 3, 2012 -- 6:59PM, Beaniash wrote:


anyone who says anything other than the words aaron .. and ... rogers needs to get their head examined


AND MAYYYYYYYYYYYYBE .... DEION BRANCH CLOSE SECOND

By:
Glossy
When: 05 Feb 12 21:42
I think it will be Manning........ham. 50/1 looks a great price.
By:
themightymac
When: 05 Feb 12 22:52
I`m on Pierre-Paul @ 66/1.

REASONS WHY

1. If the Giants have any chance they have to get Brady under pressure and P-P is the man to do it.

2. The US media have been praising him all year and who decides the MVP Award winner? Yes, the media. Voting him the winner will endorse their earlier views about him and make them look great. "Told you he was a great player in the making, he`s just won the Super Bowl MVP Award".
By:
db1974
When: 05 Feb 12 23:04
The 2/1 for Eli is way too big
By:
db1974
When: 06 Feb 12 01:12
Any thoughts after 1st half?

Bradshaw maybe shading it so far
By:
d13phe
When: 06 Feb 12 01:17
both QBs with decent numbers

winner takes it imo
By:
HowieTheRookie.
When: 06 Feb 12 01:20
Giants Punter MVP so farLaugh
By:
book
When: 06 Feb 12 01:48
can't see brady winning it,hes having a mare
By:
book
When: 06 Feb 12 02:05
more poor play & hes still odds on,lol
By:
elise
When: 06 Feb 12 02:57
eli probably has done enough, but it's one of those games which could have a surprise twist in it ... hopefully
By:
HARRY22
When: 06 Feb 12 03:00
HARRY22
Date Joined: 03 Jun 06
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When: 25 Jan 12 17:42
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| Topic/replies: 26,647 | Blogger: HARRY22's blog
wilfork give over prophet....eli or brady end of thread

if eli doesnt get this i will quit the forum Grin
By:
The real Moaner
When: 06 Feb 12 03:02
They may as well name it the QB of the winning side.

Justin Tuck deserves as much consideration as Eli but he wasn't even listed!
By:
HARRY22
When: 06 Feb 12 03:03
how good was manningham catch...that was huge
By:
elise
When: 06 Feb 12 03:04
don't think you'll be quitting but for my bank balance sake i'd like to wish you a long retirement
By:
db1974
When: 06 Feb 12 03:11
Eli gets it
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