Super Bowl Points Line

Same happened in 2007.
Coughlin will have a plan to stop Brady, in 2007 it was run the ball and keep the Pats offence off the field, create frustration then play hard physical defence, and it worked.

I think it's slightly different this time in that Eli is no longer a game manager he's a game winner if allowed to go aerial, Bradshaw is OK but Jacobs still runs like a 220lb fairy, Eli dropped back around 50 times last night, if he does that and Brady matches it 2 weeks (in a dome where there are obviosuly no weather issues) I don't see how the line can go under....

I would agree. The only way that the Giants will stop Brady is to lock him in the dressing room.

Lucas Oil Stadium is not a Dome.

Statistically the points line is right where it should be for these teams. Why do people always assume the line setters are wrong?
If you think the game will be different to how both teams have played throughout the season then the under is a bet, but based upon a season of experience and current game plans they will about cover this.

Eli and the Giants put up 20 against the 49ers, the 4th ranked D overall. The Pats are 31st overall on D. By that logic you could expect 27 points or more against the Pats. Given the Pats are 3 point faves that puts them at 30 points. That's 57 right there.

Line is right any way you approach it statistically.

"Why do people always assume the line setters are wrong?"

Well the opening line for the game was wrong. Opened at 3.5, now in to 3.  Moving towards 2.5.

This game should go Overs easy.  It might look like a mug bet but it isnt.

Never in doubt