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Thanksgiving Week - WOO HOO - 8 live games
Not all lines are out yet but here's the ones I like so far
Dolphins +7.0 @ Cowboys
I think the Cowboys are overrated and haven't really beaten much - they should/could have lost to the Redskins last weekend and I don't really understand why they are giving up 7 pts to a Dolphins team who are playing very well the last couple of weeks. I will admit that the Fins have also not beaten much the last couple of weeks but they are more than capable of putting it up to the 'Boys here.
Seahawks -4.0 vs Redskins
Like the Dolphins, the Seahawks are another team who have played well the last couple of weeks having started the season poorly while the Redskins have lost the last 6 on the bounce. IMO this line should be 6.0 or even 7.0
Not all lines are out yet but here's the ones I like so far
Dolphins +7.0 @ Cowboys
I think the Cowboys are overrated and haven't really beaten much - they should/could have lost to the Redskins last weekend and I don't really understand why they are giving up 7 pts to a Dolphins team who are playing very well the last couple of weeks. I will admit that the Fins have also not beaten much the last couple of weeks but they are more than capable of putting it up to the 'Boys here.
Seahawks -4.0 vs Redskins
Like the Dolphins, the Seahawks are another team who have played well the last couple of weeks having started the season poorly while the Redskins have lost the last 6 on the bounce. IMO this line should be 6.0 or even 7.0
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I'm sniffing around the Packers -6 against the Lions.
It takes me about 3 hours to write up a game (I know it doesn't look like it!) so woo hoo 24 hours work  |
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it takes me a while too, although last week there was **** all there
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Im the other way on dallas, i think romo is playing very well this month and feel this will be one game to far for miami, Though ive took the 6.5. Miami and moore are playing well at the moment but alot off these at home and only beat my woeful chiefs on the road, i just see dallas winning this by 10.
Packers -6 i feel they took the eye off the ball in a little below par performance on sunday with this game in mind and still won easily. Though id kind off love the lions to beat packers here i just think packers are playing to well at the minute not to win this by a td. Ravens -3 Dont like 49ers making the long trip on a short week, both very good defences and im expecting the game to be close, but feel their is more value with the home 3 than the dog 3 in this game. Gl all. |
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this is worrying, i agree with all that, apart from i think miami are a '.500' team
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I like a couple of totals lines on Thanksgiving, I'm looking at under for Lions/Pack game @ 56 and overs Cowboys/Fins game at 44.
Cracking Thursday nights viewing... |
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I reckon -6 on the packers is the best bet of the season so far
the lions are being the lions again and Stafford is throwing picks for fun Their D can't stop anybody despite how fearsome they apparently are and Rodgers indoor is a very scary thought given how he throws the ball In green bay! |
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True d13, I just wonder whether the Packers have become complacent, they've leaked points against poor teams this year and rank #30 in total defence, I know Stafford has become a pick machine in recent weeks but he can still get the Lions down the field and given the Packers inability to stop big plays them winning by a clear 7 or more may be a tough ask especially as this is the first Thanksgiving game for years where there's real play off implications of the result.
I'm starting to talk myself out of the unders play now.... |
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People may disagree with me but i think the packers have been laying off teams the past couple of weeks on purpose to give Rodgers and co a game.
I reckon the D will come to play in this game big time |
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Love that d13 !
Though through 10 weeks they leaked 212 points and 3920 yards, this isn't a very recent dip from the D.... |
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Thanksgiving
 just a pity there's not one every other week.Packers haven't been complacent...it's just that the defence has been playing poorly all year......they are struggling to create a rush in most games and are having too many communication breakdowns in the secondary....the inside backers are not best in coverage as well. The big equaliser for them is the consistant ability to take the ball away. |
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my picks are up @ my site
it's basically what skyblues said but with a pic of a cheerleader  |
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What's the link??????
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I got a theory on the Packers and that's that it is Aaron Rodgers fault they leak so many points.
The reason for this is they move the ball so quickly and score on most posessions they give their oppo plenty of time to move the ball themselves - watch Brady in a 2 min drill, he'll use up 110 secs of it, I reckon Rodgers would score the go ahead TD and leave his defence out there for 60 secs.... |
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Jordy Nelson anytime TD @10/11. Paddy P.
Has scored one in 8/10 games and has had 4 in the last two games, the guy has tons of speed, good hands, and will torch Detroit's secondary at some point. Fancy the game will be a shootout too, also fancy over 55 total points! |
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Yes value that CJ .....Rodgers is going to Nelson more and more lately, surprising that 10-11 is still there especially since other books are best price 4-7.
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Colts/Panthers over 46
Bungals -7 Cards +2.5 Seahawks -3 Eagles + 3.5 Eagles/Pats over 50 Jets/Bills over 42 Good luck all |